None of the polls have been good from what I’ve been able to see, but there aren’t many and they of course oversample Ds. I’m in Ohio so I don’t have any feet on the ground so to say, but I have had a feeling from the getgo that Donald is more of a native son to them then ‘carpet bagger’ senator Clinton ever was. So I think that despite the very few polls available he will take it.
At the least it will be closer than they currently anticipate.
3 NY polls on rcp indicate Clinton +18-+24.. The + 24 didn’t give internals. The +18 has a 49/27/23 (D/R/I) split which I feel is a bit too heavy handed on both the D high and the I low.