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Evaluating the Political Chess Board (Trump is Godzilla, Hillary is Tokyo)
blog.dilbert.com ^ | May 19th, 2016 @ 10:38am | Scott Adams

Posted on 05/19/2016 10:44:39 AM PDT by Trumpinator

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Scott Adams' Blog Top Tech Berkeley Start-ups Evaluating the Political Chess Board

Posted May 19th, 2016 @ 10:38am in #Trump #clinton2016

Trump has pulled ahead of Clinton nationally in both the new FOX poll and the Rasmussen Poll. And Trump passed Clinton in favorability according to the newest national poll on that topic. The Megyn Kelly interview (including the hyping of it ahead of time) marked Trump’s third-act turn.

By the way, Anderson Cooper of CNN said last night that CNN finds the FOX polling to be reliable and transparent, in case you wondered.

Meanwhile, Clinton is losing one primary after another to a dehydrated dandelion in her own party. That doesn’t bode well for the coming cage fight with Godzilla.

And Godzilla hasn’t even started to punch hard. He’s still looking at the opposition research and humming. So that’s coming.

Clinton is planning to appear on Ellen with the all-female cast of the new Ghostbusters movie. That’s what overplaying the woman card looks like. One wag on Twitter put it this way:

The New York Times did its best to make Trump look like a sexist, but they only succeeded in destroyed their own credibility when their star witness outed them for making up stuff.

Clinton surrogate Ed Rendel said something that was probably harmless in person, and in the proper context, but taken out of context by outragists it sounded like he was saying Clinton supporters are mostly ugly women. That didn’t help.

Clinton’s team continues to churn out anti-Trump hit pieces that ask you to imagine President Trump in office. By November, voters will think Trump has been running the country for a year and it looked a lot like the Obama administration. That’s called “graduated exposure” and it’s a well-understood psychological phenomenon. The Democrats are working overtime to make Trump feel less scary while believing they are doing the opposite.

Now imagine Clinton and Trump selecting VPs. If Clinton picks a woman, she overplays the woman card to destruction. If she selects a beta male, it will seem cringeworthy to the sexist public. If she selects an alpha male it will annoy her base without gaining a single vote. Clinton loses on every path.

Meanwhile, Trump can pick a man or a woman and it will look natural. No VP will overshadow Trump’s energy. All he needs is a running mate that is competent and a little bit interesting.

Trump announced his list of potential Supreme Court Justices. Republicans seemed to like the list, which makes Trump seem more mainstream even if you don’t like the names on the list.

A jet on the way from France to Egypt has disappeared, and terrorism is the assumed reason. That plays to Trump’s strength, as does every act of terror everywhere.

Trump has gone a few weeks without creating any new provocations on the scale of his 2015 self. The longer he proves he can moderate his behavior to fit the situation – as he did in the Megyn Kelly interview – the more people trust that he isn’t crazy.

Trump’s insults are now understood to be more than random hate. They are weapons-grade persuasion that have been engineered and then A-B tested at rallies. The “Crooked Hillary” harpoon is already doing its damage. If history is our guide, the nickname will bleed her out before November.

Paul Manafort, Trump’s campaign manager, knows how to win. The Clinton campaign doesn’t show the same level of talent, at least in terms of persuasion. Clinton’s logo (the big H) looks like a hospital sign. And their “Love Trumps Hate” slogan is two-thirds “Love Trump.” Any trained persuader knows people put more cognitive weight on the first part of sentences.

I’m teeming with confirmation bias, but from my kitchen counter, I don’t see how it can go any direction but a Trump landslide from here.

I’ll remind readers that I have disavowed all of the candidates. My political views don’t line up with any of them. My interest is in Trump’s persuasion skills.

If you think this blog has too many words with vowels, you should see my book. That thing is full of them.


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: clinton; dilbert; trump
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Oh no, there goes Tokyo, Go, Go, Godzilla!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TvQWBXJOgAI

1 posted on 05/19/2016 10:44:39 AM PDT by Trumpinator
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To: Trumpinator

And that's before Clinton appears on Ellen with the all-woman cast of the new Ghostbusters movie. (Dukakis tank) https://t.co/DjQzNeEvWS— Scott Adams (@ScottAdamsSays) May 19, 2016


2 posted on 05/19/2016 10:45:49 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said. youtube.com/watch?v=HZA9k7WAuiY)
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To: Trumpinator

No, Hillary is Godzilla, Trump is the nuke that kills it, and Tokyo is America that gets saved from the ugly beast.


3 posted on 05/19/2016 10:47:18 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: Trumpinator
They are weapons-grade persuasion that have been engineered and then A-B tested at rallies. The “Crooked Hillary” harpoon is already doing its damage. If history is our guide, the nickname will bleed her out before November.

Mountain. Nantucket Sleighride The cold hard steel of the harpoon's point Struck deep into its side. We played out line and backed the oars And took the cruel sleighride.

4 posted on 05/19/2016 10:48:20 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said. youtube.com/watch?v=HZA9k7WAuiY)
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To: Jim 0216

You have not watched Godzilla movies. Nuke is candy to Godzilla. That’s cool - not everyone is a comic book/sci-fi culture geek.


5 posted on 05/19/2016 10:49:18 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said. youtube.com/watch?v=HZA9k7WAuiY)
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To: Trumpinator

OK, something kills Godzilla - what is it?


6 posted on 05/19/2016 10:49:59 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: Trumpinator

Trump is Godzilla, Hillary is Tokyo


LOL!


7 posted on 05/19/2016 10:50:01 AM PDT by samtheman (Trump For America.)
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To: Trumpinator

Who’s Mothra?


8 posted on 05/19/2016 10:53:59 AM PDT by MrsEmmaPeel (a government big enough to give you everything you want, is big enough to take everything you have)
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To: Trumpinator
it sounded like he was saying Clinton supporters are mostly ugly women.

Back in the halcyon days of my long-vanished youth, we used to refer to such statements, perhaps quaintly, as "the truth." ;)

9 posted on 05/19/2016 10:55:55 AM PDT by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle (If you can't graciously honor JimRob's wishes, then kindly stay the hell out of JimRob's house.)
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To: Trumpinator

DoublePlus Excellent


10 posted on 05/19/2016 10:58:26 AM PDT by samtheman (Trump For America.)
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To: Jim 0216

Nothing kills Godzilla.


11 posted on 05/19/2016 10:59:32 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said. youtube.com/watch?v=HZA9k7WAuiY)
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To: Jim 0216

Asphyxiated.


12 posted on 05/19/2016 10:59:34 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy (qq)
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To: rightwingcrazy

OK then Trump is the Asphyxiator, asphyxiating the ugly Godzilla-Hillary beast and saving the planet.


13 posted on 05/19/2016 11:02:11 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: Trumpinator
Trump


The rest of them
14 posted on 05/19/2016 11:02:18 AM PDT by nesnah (Liberals - the petulant children of politics)
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To: MrsEmmaPeel
Perhaps even more critically: who ends up taking on the thankless duties of the Shobijin? ;)
15 posted on 05/19/2016 11:03:16 AM PDT by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle (If you can't graciously honor JimRob's wishes, then kindly stay the hell out of JimRob's house.)
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Hillary is Mosul ;)

16 posted on 05/19/2016 11:03:43 AM PDT by BiggerTigger
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To: Trumpinator

OK, then Trump is the “nothing” (the hidden “something”) that kills the ugly Godzilla-Hillary beast and saving the planet


17 posted on 05/19/2016 11:04:24 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: Trumpinator

I much prefer the Godzilla from the 50s in those Japanese Godzilla productions, the low budget one with the zipper on his back.


18 posted on 05/19/2016 11:06:24 AM PDT by chuckee
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To: Trumpinator

Scott Adams has been one of the best sources for sound analysis this election season.


19 posted on 05/19/2016 11:06:28 AM PDT by Objective Scrutator (All liberals are criminals, and all criminals are liberals)
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To: All
Hillary surrogate, Ed Rendel, said something that sounded like he was
saying: "Clinton supporters are mostly ugly women." That didn’t help.

I guess Rendel did not get Paul Manafort's helpful message:
"Better shut up, Eddie, b/c you're about to hit a rough patch."

20 posted on 05/19/2016 11:09:52 AM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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