"Mama Said Knock You Out" ("I'm Gonna Knock You Out")
We can only speculate what the “punch in the face” for Cruz will be. Therefore, I will speculate. 1. No one can receive votes unless they are nominated. 2, To be nominated ,one must have the majority of 8 states delegates. 3. Trump has them, Cruz doesn’t. 4. A delegate cannot vote if they are bound legally to non nominated candidate. 5 Trump is the only eligible candidate. 7.There are 500 bound delegates that can’t vote ( including cruz’s) 7. Trump need 50%= one of eligible delegates that can vote.8. Trump wins nomination with only 987 votes ( not 1237) following his exclusive nomination. No one else can be placed in nomination.
Now, that is a punch in the face, not just for Cruz but for the GOPe. Go Trump!!
For all of that to happen rule 40B can not be changed, correct?
I believe that 2012 rules are not binding on the 2016 convention rules committee. If Mr. Trump had actually had good advisers, he would have been working the ground game like the team Cruz put up. Trump should have been looking at the tactics Cruz was using and evaluating whether his team needed to do the same. He didn’t until hiring Manafort.
The convention rules committee has been thoroughly pre-seeded by Cruz. This was neither a surprise nor obscure part of the process. Trump will have a say in the rules committee but will not be as dominant as he could have been if he would have high quality advisers at the beginning. Crappy manager.
He had the resources, but did not do it. Other candidates had to choose where they spent their resources. They failed.
Trump as a Commanding General with unlimited resources...he is losing a game he should be winning handily. He did not hire the best, he did not spend his resources early enough, and now he may have run out of a resource that cannot be bought, TIME.
To bad, so sad.
The rules will probably favor Cruz, because Mr. Trump was asleep at the wheel.
DK
Apropos your number 2 and 3: A few Priebus comments over the past few days have gone under the radar but may be pertinent. Today Priebus said he’s not quite to the point where he’s putting Bailey’s on his corn flakes, but almost. IOW, he’s feeling the heat. Also, a few days ago, Priebus said that it was unlikely rule 40 would be changed UNLESS IT WAS INCREASED. It was an article on Brietbart that I can’t find right now, but that comment stayed with me.
Priebus has been dodging incoming from all azimuths. If he’s really over it, could he could possibly have cut a deal with Trump to have enough delegates vote to increase the number of states required by rule 40? That would effectively end the controversy and give Priebus his life back. Trump wins on the first ballot because his name is the only one in contention, he become the de facto head of the party, and lets Priebus keeps his position in return. The rest of the GOPe could squeal and squawk and not invite him to their cocktail parties, but maybe he doesn’t care. Getting shut out of the nomination would certainly be a “political punch in the face” to Cruz.
"Mama Said Knock You Out" ("I'm Gonna Knock You Out")
