NH Primary Predictions (Trump Wins, but by how much?)

The latest Polls and Last Night's Debate ^ | 2016-02-07 | parksstp

[parksstp]

People laughed at me when I made my IA predictions and said Trump was capped at 27%. Lo and behold I was right. And that IA map trend foreshadowed things to come in SC if the race contenders don't shrink.

But NH is a different state with a lot more liberal/moderate RINOs and Independents that lean liberal but vote in the GOP primary for candidates like McCain, Romney, Huntsman, etc.

So here's an easy to comprehend breakdown of what is going to happen on Tuesday night.

[dforest]

He did not win it fair and square. It could have been fair and square if he had not lowered himself to dirty tactics. This is how he spoiled any victory. Cruz needs to geow up.

Shame on Cruz.

[PA-LU Student]

I agree I think that the Govs and Rubio will sit around 12 13 % I see Gilmore,Carson,Carly getting under ten points combined. I went with nine for the math, leaving 44% to divide between Cruz and Trump. Most polls have Cruz at around 15%, but his debate last night was solid I see him getting up towards 20 or 21% Leaving Trump at 23 to 24%

Trump 23 to 24
Cruz 20 to 21
Rubio 15
Christie 12
Kasich 11
Jeb 10
Carson 4
Carly 4
Gilmore 1

This makes the rest of the race very interesting, because both the winners of the last two contests can go to SC and say look I can win in my stomping grounds, and be competitive every where else. In the end I think that bodes better for Cruz, because historically Conservatives do not do well in places like New Hampshire.

[DrewsDad]

I hear Cruz is going to stop the flow of aluminum foil. You better go stock up.

[wny]

I don’t think NH matters much....I think this time next month Cruz, Rubio and trump are running 1,2,3

[wny]

The way he won Iowa? You mean by getting the most votes?

[Georgia Girl 2]

After last night I don’t know exactly how big Trumps win will be but its sure to be yuuuuuge! :-)

[Liz]

I heard Cruz was giving free lobotomies to his supporters....glad to see you got yours.

[ConservingFreedom]

keeps calling for a 500% increase in H1b work visas...

Really? When is the last time he called for that?

[DrewsDad]

Nah, you must have been dreaming about that Trumpcare that covers everyone while the "Government" pays for it.

TRUMPCARE

[DrewsDad]

Liz seems to have her own interpretation of things.

From the Cruz Immigration Plan

• Amend the H-1B visa program to fulfill its original purpose: Work with Congress to pass reform legislation for the H-1B visa program that will:
  • Create an advanced degree requirement: Only individuals with advanced degrees in their respective fields may be brought to the United States with an H-1B visa. And preference will be given to those with advanced degrees from American universities.
  • Create a “layoff cool-off” period for all H-1B visa applications: Companies must wait one or two years between laying off a worker and bringing in any H-1B foreign workers to ensure that the program is not used to displace American workers.
  • Establish accreditation or recognition requirements for overseas schools: The recent lack of federal oversight of the H-1B visa program has fueled a cottage industry of diploma mills. Foreign academic institutions must meet minimum accreditation standards at least as stringent as those imposed on American universities in order to qualify for the advanced-degree requirement.
  • Require sworn affidavits describing domestic hiring efforts: Companies will provide sworn statements and documentation that detail their efforts to hire Americans before requesting foreign workers through the H-1B visa program. Individuals who make false statements in these affidavits will be subject to perjury charges.
  • Suspend companies from H-1B visa eligibility for failure to help foreign workers obtain green cards: Many companies misuse the H-1B visa program to train foreign workers that they intend to send back overseas to compete with America. The law must impose additional requirements on employers to pursue Legal Permanent Resident status on behalf of their H-1B visa-based foreign workers, or risk loss of access to the program.