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NH Primary Predictions (Trump Wins, but by how much?)
The latest Polls and Last Night's Debate ^ | 2016-02-07 | parksstp

Posted on 02/07/2016 9:26:20 AM PST by parksstp

People laughed at me when I made my IA predictions and said Trump was capped at 27%. Lo and behold I was right. And that IA map trend foreshadowed things to come in SC if the race contenders don't shrink.

But NH is a different state with a lot more liberal/moderate RINOs and Independents that lean liberal but vote in the GOP primary for candidates like McCain, Romney, Huntsman, etc.

So here's an easy to comprehend breakdown of what is going to happen on Tuesday night.


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2016; cruz; gop; trump
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To: parksstp

He did not win it fair and square. It could have been fair and square if he had not lowered himself to dirty tactics. This is how he spoiled any victory. Cruz needs to geow up.

Shame on Cruz.


21 posted on 02/07/2016 11:04:30 AM PST by dforest
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To: parksstp

I agree I think that the Govs and Rubio will sit around 12 13 % I see Gilmore,Carson,Carly getting under ten points combined. I went with nine for the math, leaving 44% to divide between Cruz and Trump. Most polls have Cruz at around 15%, but his debate last night was solid I see him getting up towards 20 or 21% Leaving Trump at 23 to 24%

Trump 23 to 24
Cruz 20 to 21
Rubio 15
Christie 12
Kasich 11
Jeb 10
Carson 4
Carly 4
Gilmore 1

This makes the rest of the race very interesting, because both the winners of the last two contests can go to SC and say look I can win in my stomping grounds, and be competitive every where else. In the end I think that bodes better for Cruz, because historically Conservatives do not do well in places like New Hampshire.


22 posted on 02/07/2016 11:09:14 AM PST by PA-LU Student (https://www.tedcruz.org/l/ducking-donald/)
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To: Liz

I hear Cruz is going to stop the flow of aluminum foil. You better go stock up.


23 posted on 02/07/2016 11:16:04 AM PST by DrewsDad (Choose Cruz - The Consistent Constitutional Conservative)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

I don’t think NH matters much....I think this time next month Cruz, Rubio and trump are running 1,2,3


24 posted on 02/07/2016 11:28:14 AM PST by wny
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To: dforest

The way he won Iowa? You mean by getting the most votes?


25 posted on 02/07/2016 11:31:28 AM PST by wny
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To: parksstp

After last night I don’t know exactly how big Trumps win will be but its sure to be yuuuuuge! :-)


26 posted on 02/07/2016 11:42:56 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: DrewsDad

I heard Cruz was giving free lobotomies to his supporters....glad to see you got yours.


27 posted on 02/07/2016 12:14:42 PM PST by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: Liz
keeps calling for a 500% increase in H1b work visas...

Really? When is the last time he called for that?

28 posted on 02/07/2016 12:39:27 PM PST by ConservingFreedom (Trump fans:'he's no more conservative than Mitt'-www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3389209/posts)
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To: Liz
Nah, you must have been dreaming about that Trumpcare that covers everyone while the "Government" pays for it.

TRUMPCARE

29 posted on 02/07/2016 1:35:22 PM PST by DrewsDad (Choose Cruz - The Consistent Constitutional Conservative)
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To: ConservingFreedom; Liz
Liz seems to have her own interpretation of things.

From the Cruz Immigration Plan


30 posted on 02/07/2016 1:44:05 PM PST by DrewsDad (Choose Cruz - The Consistent Constitutional Conservative)
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