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To: amorphous
I doubt Shoebat really believes what he's saying. If Turkey invades Syria, the Russians will probably get steamrolled, because Turkey is one of the more capable NATO members and has local superiority in numbers and equipment. Russia will also have significant difficulty with resupply.

Unless Russia counters Turkey's move by invading Turkey itself, WWIII's not happening, because NATO primarily commits to defending the territorial integrity of its members against foreign aggression. I don't think anyone believes that Syria is part of NATO, and Russian defensive actions against Turkey in Syria aren't exactly foreign aggression.

What might happen is that the Russians might test NATO's resolve by flattening Turkish air bases with ballistic or cruise missiles. My suspicion is that NATO won't respond with missiles against Russian air bases.

18 posted on 02/05/2016 10:04:27 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: Zhang Fei
NATO primarily commits to defending the territorial integrity of its members against foreign aggression

That's a key point right there. If Turkey invades Syria and Russia then responds, NATO can argue that Turkey started things, and so the mutual self-defense clause does not apply.

30 posted on 02/05/2016 10:14:15 AM PST by Leaning Right (Why am I holding this lantern? I am looking for the next Reagan.)
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To: Zhang Fei

Just the opposite - You are forgetting the Russians have their most advanced weapons in place for which there is no counter as yet. Resupply through Northern ports and by air over Iran - where most supplies are coming in from now.

There are no US/NATO missiles which can currently get past the S400 and S300 bateries. No planes can get close enought to the coast to launch stand off missiles.

The Turks will lose control of the Kurds and disaster will follow.


42 posted on 02/05/2016 10:28:35 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: Zhang Fei
What might happen is that the Russians might test NATO's resolve by flattening Turkish air bases with ballistic or cruise missiles.

And if that doesn't do it, don't be surprised if Russia arms these missiles with tactical nukes - Putin has already hinted that it might become necessary to use them. And, IMO, Putin will do what ever it takes to keep Syria from becoming an Islamic state - even if it means the total destruction of Syria (Isaiah 17).

43 posted on 02/05/2016 10:28:42 AM PST by amorphous
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