No he cannot. Cruz has a better chance of getting hit in a drone strike than winning NH. SC is going to be a climb also. Then Trump will take Nevada and FL. Unless some unknown tsunami strikes.
DMR’s Seltzer was uneasy with her Trump +4 final - Cruz overperformed by 8 - but I expect she’ll have more confidence with NH.
If Cruz hammers DT with his ‘wasn’t worth it’, that could be good for 3pts, his IA MO should yield 2pts minimum.
What did Seltzer most recently predict for NH?