DMR’s Seltzer was uneasy with her Trump +4 final - Cruz overperformed by 8 - but I expect she’ll have more confidence with NH.
If Cruz hammers DT with his ‘wasn’t worth it’, that could be good for 3pts, his IA MO should yield 2pts minimum.
What did Seltzer most recently predict for NH?
Look Cruz isn’t going to win NH. He’s probably not going to win any other primary. Rubio will now be ascending. This will shake out at some point with Trump and Rubio in a hot contest and Cruz a distant third. Outside of Iowa Cruz is not viable with enough republican voters. He has never polled well from the beginning.