Posted on 02/01/2016 8:58:20 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Major retailers in the United States are shutting down hundreds of stores, and shoppers are reporting alarmingly bare shelves in many retail locations that are still open all over the country. It appears that the retail apocalypse that made so many headlines in 2015 has gone to an entirely new level as we enter 2016. As economic activity slows down and Internet retailers capture more of the market, brick and mortar retailers are cutting their losses. This is especially true in areas that are on the lower portion of the income scale. In impoverished urban centers all over the nation, it is not uncommon to find entire malls that have now been completely abandoned. It has been estimated that there is about a billion square feet of retail space sitting empty in this country, and this crisis is only going to get worse as the retail apocalypse accelerates.
We always get a wave of store closings after the holiday shopping season, but this year has been particularly active. The following are just a few of the big retailers that have already made major announcements…
-Wal-Mart is closing 269 stores, including 154 inside the United States.
-K-Mart is closing down more than two dozen stores over the next several months.
-J.C. Penney will be permanently shutting down 47 more stores after closing a total of 40 stores in 2015.
-Macy’s has decided that it needs to shutter 36 stores and lay off approximately 2,500 employees.
-The Gap is in the process of closing 175 stores in North America.
-Aeropostale is in the process of closing 84 stores all across America.
-Finish Line has announced that 150 stores will be shutting down over the next few years.
-Sears has shut down about 600 stores over the past year or so, but sales at the stores that remain open continue to fall precipitously.
But these store closings are only part of the story.
All over the country, shoppers are noticing bare shelves and alarmingly low inventory levels. This is happening even at the largest and most prominent retailers.
I want to share with you an excerpt from a recent article by Jeremiah Johnson. The anecdotes that he shares definitely set off alarm bells with me. Read them for yourself and see what you think…
*****
I came across two excellent comments upon Steve Quayle's website that bear reading, as these are two people with experience in retail marketing, inventory, ordering, and purchases. Take a look at these:
#1 (From DJ, January 24, 2016)
"Steve-
[Regarding the] alerts about the current state of the RR industry. This is in line with what I've been noticing as I visited our local/regional grocery store, Walmart, and Target this week in WI. I worked in big box retail for 20 years specializing in Inventory Management. These stores are all using computerized inventory management systems that monitor and automatically replenish inventory when levels/shelf stock get low. This prevents "out of stocks" and lost sales. These companies rely on the ability to replenish inventory quickly from regional warehouses.
As I shopped this week and looked at inventory levels I was shocked. There were numerous (above and beyond acceptable levels) out of stocks across category lines at all three retailers. And even where inventory was on the shelf, the overall levels were noticeably reduced. Based on my experience, working for two of these three organizations in store management, they have drastically/intentionally reduced their inventory levels. This is either due to financial stresses/poor sales effecting their ability to acquire new inventory, or it could be the result of what was mentioned earlier regarding the transporting of goods to these regional warehouses. Either way this doesn't bode well for the what's to come. Stock up now while you can!"
#2 (From a Commenter following up #1 who didn't provide a name, January 26, 2016)
"I'd like to tailgate on the SQ Alert "based on my experienceâ¦" regarding stock levels in big box stores. This weekend we were in two such stores, each in fairly isolated communities which are easily the communities' best source for acquiring grocery items in quantity.
I myself worked in retail (meat) for thirty years so I know exactly what a well-stocked store looks like, understand the key categories and category drivers, and how shelves are stocked and displays are built to drive sales and profits. I also understand supply chain and distribution methodologies quite well.
Each of the stores we were in were woefully under-stocked. This time of year-the few weeks following the holidays-is usually big business in groceries and low stock levels suggest either poor ordering at the store level, poor purchasing at the distribution level or a purposeful desire to be under-stocked.
Anyone familiar with the retail grocery industry is also familiar with how highly touted "the big box store's" infrastructure is. They know exactly when demand is high and for what items and in what quantities. It is very unlikely that both stores somehow got "surprised" by unusually high demand. It is reasonable then to imagine that low stock levels in rural areas with few options is a purposed endeavor to assure that both the budget conscious and the folks in more remote areas are not fully able to load up their pantries.
Simply put I believe the major retailer in question is doing their part to limit the ability of rural America to be sufficiently prepared. Nevertheless, we are wise to do our best to keep ahead of the curve. God bless your efforts, Steve."
*****
Yes, this is just anecdotal evidence, but it lines up perfectly with hard numbers that I have been discussing on The Economic Collapse Blog.
Exports are plummeting all over the globe, and the Baltic Dry Index just plunged to another new all-time record low. The amount of stuff being shipped around by air, truck and rail inside this country has been dropping significantly, and this tells us that real economic activity is really slowing down.
If you currently work in the retail industry, your job is not secure, and you may want to start evaluating your options.
We have entered the initial phases of a major economic downturn, and it is going to be especially cruel to those on the low end of the income spectrum. Do what you can to get prepared now, because the economy is not going to be getting better any time soon.
Liberal elite stores in malls without proper security - in a world filthed by elites...
Nah, I don’t want to shop in your stores anymore.
Even if I had to pay extra tax with Amazon - at least I’m not spending my money in stores owned by liberal elites.
Exactly. Aside from the staffing (loss of jobs? move to order fill?) it WOULD appear to be the way to go.
Add similar/smaller ‘outlets’ for damaged, returned (too $$ to ship back), etc.
Wow Apex is moving on up. I remember when the entire retail section of Apex used to be the Piggly Wiggly, the Grocery Boy Jr. and the Tastee Freez.
Part of this is a shift to spread out drive-up shopping centers, so you don’t have to walk past 20 stores to get to the one you want.
Part of it is the devolution of malls into teenager and unemployed adult hang-outs, to the detriment of shoppers.
Loss of jobs...might be a prickly problem...but lower number of necessary employees allows the able to rise with incentive to stay. Retail sales has a very high turn over rate with a double hit, severance package, search expense, training costs.
Net effect would be very positive across several levels.
That’s a really good insight. It is stuff like that, that keeps me coming to Free Republic.
Not sure about that, esp. w/ the automation these days that are available: Unload into rack ABC/slot XYZ, customer comes, robotic forklift/etc. retrieves from ABC/XYZ for delivery.
Anymore (see: fast food), there’s little incentive for customer service, hustle, friendliness, etc. That robot can do a better job all around.
Or the ever increasing violence of Obama’s peeps that goes on anywhere large number of people congregate. If you are an older say over 50 shopper why expose yourself to that crap. Just go online and wait for the nice UPS man to stop by. Today my wife tried online shopping/drive up pickup from Kroger.
This sounds like a retro idea, but Wards actually STARTED as a mail-order catalog company, and moved to retail stores later.
They were ahead of the game from the beginning. Maybe they should have stayed there.
I don’t usually shop at Walmart but this morning I woke up to a plugged up head on our boat. Took a quick trip to Walmart for some white vinegar and a plunger. Found the plunger but the space for white vinegar was empty. I stood there 20 minutes and asked every employee I saw if they’d go check the back for me. I waited and waited and never saw any of them again. I was getting ready to leave my basket sitting there when another employee turned down the aisle and I asked him. He was gone about 5 minutes and I was turning to leave when he came down the aisle with one bottle of vinegar for me. Lol
To be clear, my motivation in buying on-line is twofold:
1. Best price.
2. No Sales Tax (Starve the Government beast!)
That's it. The first is being an informed consumer. The second is to keep as much of my own money as possible, preventing it from feeding our corrupt government.
Don't know anyone who wouldn't want to do the same.
Prevue of the coming Communist/Socialist Utopia...........
While the State of Illinois does send out use tax forms, collecting use tax was ruled un-Constitutional here in Illinois back in 1998.
Smart/Informed taxpayers in Illinois throw the form out.
Except that the majority of people incur only incidental medical expenses in a typical year, if any at all, so the amount of the deductible isn’t usually a factor. Different around child-rearing time and in old age, as I said earlier.
snip - “Usually a partial benefit will be available the day after your application is processed. Ongoing benefits are available monthly. SNAP benefits (formerly food stamps) are distributed from the first of the month through the twentieth, depending on the last four digits of your Social Security Number. Cash benefits are issued on the first of the month, even if it falls on a weekend or on a holiday. Any benefits you have left over at the end of the month will be carried over to the next month.”
.
ebt cash is first of month like clockwork. The snip is from the NM HHS website.
Thanks for being honest and posting the SNAP part for which benefits are distributed over the first three weeks of the month. I love visiting your state, BTW.
THE WORLD IS ENDING!!!
(either that or Amazon is growing)
Not on your list, but Kohl’s is closing its oldest store in JCPenny’s hometown. Given the relative stealth of that closing, I have to wonder whether there aren’t other Kohls closed/closing/to be closed.
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