The “Daily Kos article” on which this thread is based is a post by someone trolling Daily Kos who immediately got banned (check the comments). It does not represent what the Kossacks are thinking, or even what the Kossacks want us to think that they’re thinking. It’s the equivalent of some liberal signing up at FR and posting how the GOP is going to lose Senate seats and lose the House.
Regarding the claims in the post, they are preposterous. I am more bullush than most, but it is ridiculous to believe that the GOP will win the Senate races in DE, IL and OR (NJ, NM and VA are possibly, although huge longshots, and MI and M are unlikely as well). In the House, he lists every potentially winnable seat—although many of them are not winnable with the candidates that we have and with the level of funding that they have—and also threw in a few districts that betray his ignorance (for example, Sanford Bishop came close to losing in a huge upset in GA-02 in 2010, but redistricting made his dustrict black-majority and entirely safe for any Democrat, particularly its incumbent). And as for the governor’s races: quite a bit of fantasy there as well.
I think that we’re going to gave a great night next Tuesday, with net pickups of 10 in the Senate and maybe 20 in the House, and that we could end up with 38 of the 50 governorships. But, barring something unforeseen, we’re not going to approach the fantasy set out by the guy trolling Daily Kos.
Oops, fat fingers on my iPhone:
based *on* a post
bullush = bullish
NJ, NM and VA Senate seats are possible, but huge longshots
MI and MN Senate seats are unlikely
dustrict = district
Oops, I just noticed that I said that the GOP could end up with 38 out of 50 governorships. That would take a remarkable night in which not only would the GOP pick up AR, CO, CT and IL while holding AK, AZ, FL, GA, KS, ME, MI and WI (losing only PA), but also with the GOP picking up more difficult RI, HI, MA, MN, MD and NH. I think that the GOP will be at 32, not 38, governorships after Nov. 4 (I must have been thinking of the 32-18 advantage when I wrote 38).
Agreed.
Oberweis is just like his ice cream. Melts in the heat. That perpetual loser cost us a real candidate who would have given Durbin a run for his money.