Posted on 09/17/2014 5:30:01 AM PDT by LeoMcNeil
The Washington Post is now predicting the Democrats have a 51% chance of retaining control of the Senate. Just a couple months ago the Republicans were 80% likely to win the Senate. From the GOP perspective, they’ve gone from a very likely win to at best a 50-50 race. The Washington Post decline in Republican fortunes mirrors other prediction services, all of which show a Republican drop off from a month or two ago. We’re less than seven weeks away from the November election. Campaigns are just getting heated up and people are just starting to think about paying attention. Nevertheless, there is cause for concern for Republicans.
It’s easy to dismiss these predictions based on state polling. It’s becoming increasingly difficult to poll with any accuracy. Cell phones are part of the problem, predicting election day turnout has made things even more difficult. Nevertheless, it’s been clear over the past few weeks that there hasn’t been a shift towards Republicans. If anything, in several states, there has been a shift towards Democrat candidates. Historically 2014 should be a wave election for the opposition party. We have a President who on a good day polls in the lower 40’s. His signature program is opposed by 60% of the country. His foreign policy is increasingly seen as a disaster. The economy is stagnate. All of this points to an opposition party victory, in this case a victory for the GOP.
It’s still early of course, the GOP wave of 2010 didn’t become evident until October. However, you have to wonder what the Republican Party is selling to the American public. What is the national GOP message? The answer is simple, there isn’t one. The Republican Party is banking on a victory for no other reason than Obama and the Democrats are unpopular. This is a spectacularly foolish decision on the part of the GOP. They’re basically counting on people to vote for a Republican for no other reason than the candidate isn’t a Democrat. What that person will do in office for six years or what the GOP plans to do over just the next two years appears to be irrelevant in the minds of the GOP campaign wizards. These wizards, mind you, have lost three of the last four elections.
If the Republican Party wants to be successful this year and in the future they actually have to stand for something. Instead, the party is sitting back trying to be as inoffensive to the liberal media as possible. They’re hoping the Democrats implode. While each election is local, without a basic national platform how can the GOP expect to win in November? Most Americans understand that their vote in a local election amounts to little more than a rubber stamp for whichever party the candidate is part of. Without a basic national platform, what exactly are voters voting for if they vote Republican? Opposition to Obama perhaps, but in Senate races what about the four years after Obama is gone?
The Republican Party is so afraid of telling the country what they believe that they’re willing to waste a golden opportunity to win the Senate. The campaign wizards who have lost three of the last four elections are all based in Washington and New York. They’re afraid of the liberal media and they’re afraid of the power of the press. Rather than defeat the left at their own game, the party is swayed by the insular political press. In reality, conservative ideas aren’t offensive outside of the beltway and Manhattan. The Republican Party should be embracing basic family values and conservative economic policy. These issues have receptive audiences in Iowa, North Carolina and in other states with contested Senate races. Instead of sharing its vision, the Republican Party says nothing. In saying nothing, they’re on the way to losing in November.
“Hey we’re not Obama”... thats pretty much it...
A few Dims are running on that same position!
There’s a reason the RATS are ferociously fighting Voter ID: it’s working.
The more ground we take, the more Voter ID laws are passed around the country, we’ll eventually get the fraud back to a manageable level.
If the Republicans take the Senate, it will be the end of civilization as we know it. Nancy said so. Surely, she wouldn't lie — like she did about keeping your healthcare plan, keeping your doctor.
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The polling is turning out to be as confusing as it was in 2012 — The Republicans win big, The Dems are gaining and will keep their majority.
Of course, many of those polls are designed to try to help persuade voters for or against.
Exactly. I will not be voting for any establishment GOP candidate this fall. I will not support the continued destruction of my country. And since there is no difference between the gop and dnc anymore, it would be hypocritical to vote for the gop wouldn’t it? That would be voting to continue to enslave ourselves. And a third party does not appear to be viable. After this fall’s elections, if attitudes don’t change then that really leaves just one option for true conservatives (which i will not type).
You can go ahead and set aside your convictions, principles and logic if you please. A lot of us have had it with the GOP pissing on us and calling it rain.
They are the reason this country is in this mess. Obama has done only what was to be expected, but the GOP has not opposed him at all. Six years of mediocrity. The only spirited rhetoric has been pointed at conservatives—not one serious campaign against Obama.
Disgusting! Go ahead. Send some more moderates to save the county. Good luck with that.
Disgusting! Go ahead. Send some more democrats to save the county. Good luck with that.
Just the typical leftist strategy to divide our opposition to socialism.
Reading some posts here, you can see it works as so many want to devour our own.
While there is significant desire for change there is very little leadership to get it done.
Over and over again...story after story...written as if fraud doesn’t exist and it’s in the hands of the people. The leftists are not going to relinquish control of this country.
Some folks just prefer the ease of outrage to doing any heavy lifting.
I have no love for the moderates but we must wrest control of congress from the democrats. I’m just not a dead ender moron who believes that letting the democrats finish the country off will lead to its restoration.
I'm praying. But I'm still buying ammo.
Nice try WaPo
It’s simple. If people see the economy as improving, Obama (and the Democrats) will get credit. If people are concerned about the economy, the will look to the Democrats to help them out. I’s all over.
The closer to the election polls change. The much earlier polls aren’t
polling likely voters but the public in general.
Yeah but Karl Rove will make another coupla million bucks...and thats whats most important after all
That leaves LA, AR, and NC and we only need two of those.
I think CO is lost---Udall came back, and there is the pot-smoking coalition out there.
It wasn’t til mid-October ‘10 that we became aware we were going to landslide, wasn’t it?
I wrote my piece before seeing the most recent Iowa poll. If the Republicans can’t win Arkansas, they aren’t going to win the Senate. You would like to think they could win in North Carolina but they’re struggling there. The same in Louisiana.
Just a guess but looks like it’s part of a campaign to make the claim the republicans won because they “disenfranchised” Hispanic voters.
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