Posted on 09/17/2014 5:30:01 AM PDT by LeoMcNeil
The Washington Post is now predicting the Democrats have a 51% chance of retaining control of the Senate. Just a couple months ago the Republicans were 80% likely to win the Senate. From the GOP perspective, they’ve gone from a very likely win to at best a 50-50 race. The Washington Post decline in Republican fortunes mirrors other prediction services, all of which show a Republican drop off from a month or two ago. We’re less than seven weeks away from the November election. Campaigns are just getting heated up and people are just starting to think about paying attention. Nevertheless, there is cause for concern for Republicans.
It’s easy to dismiss these predictions based on state polling. It’s becoming increasingly difficult to poll with any accuracy. Cell phones are part of the problem, predicting election day turnout has made things even more difficult. Nevertheless, it’s been clear over the past few weeks that there hasn’t been a shift towards Republicans. If anything, in several states, there has been a shift towards Democrat candidates. Historically 2014 should be a wave election for the opposition party. We have a President who on a good day polls in the lower 40’s. His signature program is opposed by 60% of the country. His foreign policy is increasingly seen as a disaster. The economy is stagnate. All of this points to an opposition party victory, in this case a victory for the GOP.
It’s still early of course, the GOP wave of 2010 didn’t become evident until October. However, you have to wonder what the Republican Party is selling to the American public. What is the national GOP message? The answer is simple, there isn’t one. The Republican Party is banking on a victory for no other reason than Obama and the Democrats are unpopular. This is a spectacularly foolish decision on the part of the GOP. They’re basically counting on people to vote for a Republican for no other reason than the candidate isn’t a Democrat. What that person will do in office for six years or what the GOP plans to do over just the next two years appears to be irrelevant in the minds of the GOP campaign wizards. These wizards, mind you, have lost three of the last four elections.
If the Republican Party wants to be successful this year and in the future they actually have to stand for something. Instead, the party is sitting back trying to be as inoffensive to the liberal media as possible. They’re hoping the Democrats implode. While each election is local, without a basic national platform how can the GOP expect to win in November? Most Americans understand that their vote in a local election amounts to little more than a rubber stamp for whichever party the candidate is part of. Without a basic national platform, what exactly are voters voting for if they vote Republican? Opposition to Obama perhaps, but in Senate races what about the four years after Obama is gone?
The Republican Party is so afraid of telling the country what they believe that they’re willing to waste a golden opportunity to win the Senate. The campaign wizards who have lost three of the last four elections are all based in Washington and New York. They’re afraid of the liberal media and they’re afraid of the power of the press. Rather than defeat the left at their own game, the party is swayed by the insular political press. In reality, conservative ideas aren’t offensive outside of the beltway and Manhattan. The Republican Party should be embracing basic family values and conservative economic policy. These issues have receptive audiences in Iowa, North Carolina and in other states with contested Senate races. Instead of sharing its vision, the Republican Party says nothing. In saying nothing, they’re on the way to losing in November.
” The campaign wizards who have lost three of the last four elections are all based in Washington and New York. “
The money quote.....
No way the Democrats save themselves this fall. They’re screwed and they know it.
It surprises you that the GOPe could blow a sure thing??? really?
Notice how in this last week, all at once, the GOP losing.
Sp predictable. All to create division and misery on the right.
Our side loves to fall for it. If we lose, it will be blatant fraud by dems, coupled by malaise on our part.
We lose this time because of fraud, 2016 is already over.
Who is dismissing this claim? I see poor, pathetic campaigns being thrown away by establishment Republicans, who think they can sneak in a victory without running attack ads against Obama and the democraps.
Happens every election. About a month out the media push polls arrive telling us the public is sour on the Republicans. They were saying the same thing in 2010.
The Republican candidates are products of the Washington Establishment.
Candidates like Tom Tillis, Mitch McConnell, Lamar Alexander, Thad Cochran and Pat Roberts.
They defeated conservatives in Primaries using outrageous tactics. Now, many conservatives are planning to stay home in November.
And these morons are surprised.
The democrats and liberal media had to do something to keep their side in the game, all the negative stories about the coming GOP "wave" were threatening to depress the democrat base, so someone in the bowels of the Whitehouse had to call up the polling firms and make some targeted threats to produce a round of favorable polling (not joking - See the Justice Department investigation of Gallup before the 2012 election)...
Who is promising the most free stuff?
Being in a hot rush for war doesn’t help the GOP but I agree a lot of this talk about the GOP facing disaster is a media creation.
The GOP has plenty of internal problems right now but those can be set aside because we need this win more than we need the white house.
The progressive media is an example of the tail wagging the dog. They repeat what they want to be true over and over and enough that what they repeat becomes self-fulfilling. They learned that trick when Clinton was president.It usually works, but I’m not sure about this time. I’m thinking a vast majority feel they’ve been sold a bill of goods with our pool-shark president and that reflects on every Democrat.
You are right, they won't be saved by themselves, they will be saved by the r's watering down their message and leaving conservative Tea Party members with no one to vote for.
As for the old bullshit of "If you don't vote republican you are only voting democrat" that is bull shit. A republican wants my vote he or she better be a Republican, not a sickening democrat follower calling itself a republican.
I'm not, nor do I know any TP's that are voting for the lying scum susan collins, she is a baby killing, homosexual loving clinton embarrassing, freedom denying democrat, running again as a r.
The Democrats can’t save themselves, you’re right.
But the Republicans can snatch defeat from certain victory - they’ve done it before and they don’t seem opposed to doing it again.
I wouldn’t be so sanguine.
Pat Roberts is Kansas is a true Conservative.
Milton Wolf should not have run.
Name one thing a Republican has given the people to vote for? Commies always have a thing to vote for...Communism!
WAPO should be worried about its own future..... Prospects are bleak...
It wasn’t more than 10 days ago that Nate Silver was predicting doom for democrats. I can’t think of a damn thing that has happened to all at once make the dem schlubs in the Senate more appealing.
This is an obvious tactic by the dem party and the media to depress our side. But, it works, because we end up doing more damage to ourselves by believing them.
If we win, the good conservatives like Cruz, will gain stature and have more ability to influence RINOs. It also gives us more power to try and affect policy.
I don’t know, maybe it is all too late. But losing again will do nothing to create a conservative groundswell, it will just empower the Obama admin. even more.
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