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Slava Ukraini-Glory to Ukraine
The Streetwise Professor ^ | February 22, 2014 | The Professor

Posted on 02/22/2014 1:48:56 PM PST by No One Special

Events are unfolding at a furious pace in Ukraine. I decided not to blog about them last night, because I knew that whatever I wrote would be superseded within minutes, and that was definitely the case. The same is probably true now, but enough has transpired to justify some comment.

Yesterday saw the negotiation of a deal between the opposition leadership and Yanukovych in which the president made major concessions, including a return to the 2004 constitution (with much more limited presidential powers), the resignation of the interior minister, and the creation of an independent investigation overseen by the EU. But his concessions were insufficient for the crowds assembled at the Maidan. The opposition leaders were nothing of the sort: they led only themselves, having lost whatever influence they had over the Maidan the moment they commenced to negotiate. When they went to the Maidan platform to announce the deal, their ostensible followers reacted with rage. They were-and are-willing to accept nothing less than Yanukovych’s resignation.

Then the really wild rumors began. First, it was reported that Yanukovych had fled Kiev. But where? Initially, the claim was Harkiv. Then, a plane allegedly carrying Yanik was tracked flying south. Sochi? No: the plane flew on and on, eventually landing in the UAE. But was Yanukovych on it?

Apparently not. He was apparently in Harkiv after all, where an assemblage of regime loyalists was meeting. Then came the second rumor: that Yanukovych had resigned.

That rumor lasted a good 90 minutes, and then Yanukovych appeared on television, saying he had not resigned and would not resign. He accused the opposition of being Nazis who were mounting a fascist coup like Hitler’s in 1933.

In the meantime, the police left the streets of Kiev. Berkut units brought to the capital returned to Sevastopol and other cities. The parliament passed a series of new laws, naming a new acting PM and new ministers, and demanding Yanukovych sign all the laws it had passed and the constitutional change or resign. A law releasing Tymoshenko and invalidating the law under which she had been jailed also passed.

And as I write, the Rada has voted to remove Yanukovych from office, and Tymoshenko has left the hospital where she had been imprisioned.

The deal struck yesterday was midwifed by the EU, but although it deserves some credit, the laboring mother was the Ukrainian people, not just on Maidan, but throughout the country. Why did Yanuokovych make so many concessions? I surmise that he was stunned that the campaign of sniping that killed dozens only seemed to increase the determination of the opposition crowds rather than send the scurrying home. The seizure of government buildings throughout the country and the switching of sides by police and interior units in various cities made it plain that he had insufficient strength to control the country. And the firing of the commander of the army suggests that he wanted the military to intervene, but it refused: as I noted from the very beginning, the actions of the army and security forces would be decisive. Thus stymied, Yanukovych tried to buy time and made concessions, but clung to power hoping that he could reverse matters in time.

Now it appears that he has retreated to his eastern redoubt, and is planning to wage a civil war from it. Separatist rallies are occurring in the east.

Given his rhetoric-which dovetails perfectly with that coming out of Russia-it is only a matter of time before he calls on the fraternal support of big brother Russia.

How will Putin respond? I don’t know, but the rhetoric emerging from Russia-including threats to attack the Crimea if “Ukraine breaks apart,”

which is exactly what is happening-makes it plain that there is a substantial likelihood of Russian intervention, at least in the east. Moments ago Russia announced that the opposition had violated the deal which the EU had guaranteed, thereby creating the predicate for an intervention. (Though, interestingly, the Russian representative did not sign it, leaving in a huff.) Russia’s UN ambassador Churkin has blamed the “western powers” for destabilizing Ukraine. This further suggests an intervention is in prospect.

Which makes Obama’s reaction all the more shocking. Obama had a phone call with Putin yesterday. Afterwards, the White House announced that the conversation had been “constructive and workmanlike.” The administration made it sound like Putin was in agreement with Obama, and that he has a genuine interest in a peaceful outcome in Ukraine.

He might, but only on his bloody-minded terms. His actions have been and continue to be anything but constructive. Indeed, they have been nothing but destructive and threaten to become even more so.

It is astounding that Obama is publicly acting as if Putin is not ultimately and primarily responsible for this entire catastrophe in Ukraine, because that is exactly the reality. By validating Putin as a constructive force in Ukraine Obama is enabling the Russian president’s impending intervention and will make himself and the United States look utterly foolish when that happens. Just like in Syria.

From the early days of this, I anticipated that civil war was a very possible outcome in Ukraine. It looks for all the world that this possibility is about to become a reality, although I have been repeatedly surprised at the path to that outcome.

This is a tragedy.

Godspeed to the Ukrainian people. May we do what we can to give them a chance at independence and freedom. But I fear that there is a mismatch of will and capability-especially will-and that the ultimate outcome will be a partition of the country, with Yanukovych ruling over a rump state in the east (until Putin tires of him), and with Putin scheming to find the way to achieve his ultimate objective of gaining control, de facto or de jure, over the entire nation.

This is the end of the beginning, at most. As bad as things have been, they are almost certain to get worse. There is a real possibility that Ukraine will emerge free, but I fear that Ukrainians will have to fight for that freedom.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: russia; ukraine; ukrainecrisis; ukrainehistory; viktoryanukovich
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To: alloysteel
much as the crises that France and Great Britain went through a few years ago, of which the Soros international cartel profited greatly by what was essentially “insider trading”on exchange rates.

Insider trading? LOL!

Betting against the government was more like it. You could have done the same, no inside info needed.

21 posted on 02/22/2014 4:12:22 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: 1rudeboy

Wait until you see his sharks!

22 posted on 02/22/2014 4:14:13 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Do they have frickin’ laser beams on their heads?


23 posted on 02/22/2014 5:19:39 PM PST by EEGator
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To: TigersEye

Just watched the whole thing. Thanks. Very brave young people.


24 posted on 02/22/2014 5:20:14 PM PST by No One Special
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To: Sacajaweau

Apparently, somebody believes that being democratically elected gives one the power to jail political opponents, pass dictatorial laws, kidnap, torture and murder those who are of different opinion.
How can you be defending this man? It’s indefensible.

People who blame Soros make more sense, and that’s not saying much


25 posted on 02/22/2014 5:21:14 PM PST by Ivan Mazepa
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To: alloysteel
Are you the president of the Soros Fan Club? You sound like him!


26 posted on 02/22/2014 5:24:36 PM PST by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong! Ice cream is delicious! We reserve the right to serve refuse to anyone!)
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To: No One Special

Yes they are. It’s a tough video to watch.


27 posted on 02/22/2014 5:39:26 PM PST by TigersEye (Stupid is a Progressive disease.)
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To: EEGator

You’ve seen them!!!


28 posted on 02/22/2014 5:53:35 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

29 posted on 02/22/2014 5:56:03 PM PST by EEGator
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To: LowTaxesEqualsProsperity
"Many of the West Ukraine 'protestors' are neo-Nazi fascists. Complete with Nazi symbols, which are being scrawled in Kiev."

I haven't yet been able to find information showing that any large portion of them are neo-Nazis but am very interested in seeing links to such information with sources. Protest leaders did identify small contingents of neo-Nazis making trouble.

There was this from earlier, but it and associated reports only mentioned the general dangers of the last couple of months from fighting between police and civilians, sporadic looting, robbing, etc.


30 posted on 02/22/2014 6:07:39 PM PST by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of corruption smelled around the planet.)
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To: LowTaxesEqualsProsperity

Fascism and Socialism: Still Not Opposites
National Review Online ^ | FEBRUARY 22, 2014 | Jonah Goldberg
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3125967/posts


31 posted on 02/22/2014 6:57:47 PM PST by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of corruption smelled around the planet.)
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To: LowTaxesEqualsProsperity
The Interpreter

London-based Herzen Foundation and the New York-based Institute of Modern Russia

Earlier today:

Excerpt:
This is not a coincidence. Yanukovych is reportedly in Kharkiv, a pro-Yanukovych stronghold (or it’s supposed to be), and he’s at a conference of the “Ukrainian Front,” a collection of politicians, and pro-government street thugs, who are willing to die for the President. But as a recent article by John Schindler, on The XX Committee, points out, the Ukranian Front appears to be deeply influenced and controlled by the Russian government. In fact, the Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Russian State Duma, Alexei Pushkov, is present in Kharkiv right now. Here’s what the report has to say about the nature of the Ukrainian Front:

It seems Moscow is not pleased with its protege Yanukovych and his inability to crush the opposition, so it is forming a new grouping to “assist” the hardliners. Given that the appearance of the Ukrainian Front has been heralded with a birth announcement in the Kremlin’s official newspaper, Russian approval and support can be assumed.

Moreover, the embrace of Stalinist-era rhetoric by the Ukrainian Front indicates a great deal, and will serve as a needless irritant towards Ukrainians who detest Stalin and his murderous legacy. In a similar vein, Communist activists have unveiled a bust of Stalin in Western Ukraine, a provocation that is about as offensive to most locals there as a statue of Hitler would be in the rest of Europe. Of course, hailing Stalin’s victories in the 1940′s is of a piece with the current Kremlin vilification campaign against all Ukrainians who do not want their country to be subjugated by Russia, a nasty agitprop line that regrettably has Western supporters, not all of them unwitting dupes.

Now that the Ukrainian Front has entered the picture, with Moscow’s imprimatur, expect the situation in Ukraine to only get worse. It would be difficult to overstate the danger Ukraine and Europe are in at the moment thanks to intimidation, meddling and provocation by Vladimir Putin’s Kremlin. European governments would be well advised to not permit naked Russian interference of a violent and coercive sort in Ukrainian politics: this cannot end well.


And now we have rallies in Sevastopol, where the Russian Black Fleet is anchored, in favor of reuniting with Russia (jump to update 1410).


32 posted on 02/22/2014 7:01:04 PM PST by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of corruption smelled around the planet.)
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To: LowTaxesEqualsProsperity

So far, I’ve found that antisemitism in Ukraine has been spoken and acted out by both Russian identity and other Ukrainian groups. It appears that most of the antisemitic political speech has come from some of the Ukrainian nationalist politicians, while most of the physical attacks were perpetrated by Russian identity skinheads.

A political opponent of Yulia Tymoshenko, former Prime Minister now freed from prison, publicly said that she was Jewish from an assumption that it would hurt her political prospects. Most Ukrainians have rejected candidates who publicly spoke antisemitism, although there’s also been too much tolerance for publicly expressed antisemitism (not enough public criticism against antisemitic statements).

It looks like there’s much antisemitism in former Soviet satellite countries. There’s also much antisemitism in Russia. The same is true of all of the nations on the planet to various extents. Israel has no really trustworthy international friends.


33 posted on 02/22/2014 10:50:19 PM PST by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of corruption smelled around the planet.)
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To: familyop

>>while most of the physical attacks were perpetrated by Russian identity skinheads.<<

LOL. I’d like to see what methods you are using to determine their ethnic identity. Or maybe some Ukrainian nationalists told you?


34 posted on 02/22/2014 11:21:11 PM PST by cunning_fish
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