We all should have a good valid number that we can use in our fight for freedom.
The poll of 47% was a sampling of the country and we have around 313,914,040 people, so shouldn’t 148 Million be a good ‘ball park’ figure?
If I did, Where did I run off the rails?
I won’t be offended if you tell me I’m wrong as long as you can detail how I was wrong.
Looking constructive criticism here.
Some stranger comes up and asks me about guns in my home, they're going to get a funny look from me. Surveys rely on participation, and I can assure you that most gun owners I know wouldn't participate.
the Gallup poll says “adults”, which lowers your 313M figure, and also many adults live with other adults, which lowers it even further.
I have never know a gun owner who has just one gun.
I have never know a gun owner who has just one gun.
Not all 313 million are “adults”. The 47% is going to be out of a smaller nubmer than the 313 million.
I suppose that estimate is as good as any. It in now way, however, represents the number of weapons owned totally. Even if only 10% of that number of people owned 10 guns, you’d be nearer to double that many guns. It is perhaps, too, that a smaller percentage, say 5% may even own 20 or more guns......
http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/nics/reports/20130102_1998_2012_state_monthly_totals.pdf
This will give FBI background numbers if that helps. I saw another site that gave a total number of guns sold. I think the radio said that there were 310 million guns in private hands to that is a double check.
Should not the number of illegals be subtracted out as well?
Shouldn't felons be subtracted out also?
It's enough people to stop an invasion by Canada.
I would say you are correct.
But, what the hell, why not just make up numbers, just like the liberals do?
No, horrible math. For starters, you’d be better served by looking at the population of adults (205m) instead of the total population. Then there are going to be myriad factors that will further whittle that number down. The more of those factors you can include the more accurate, albeit smaller, your final 47% is going to be.
Best estimate is 30-34% of “adults” own guns. This translates to something like 42% of households. The number cited from 2010 is about 70-80 million “gun owners”. This roughly agrees with your poll showing 47% of households. The number may be a little higher, given the run on purchases in the last couple of years.
Average household size is about 2.6, or so. So divide your 148,000,000 by a number between 1 and 2.6 to account for the average number of gun owners per household. I think 74,000,000 is a plausible lower bound on the number of gun owners, maybe 100,000,000 a plausible upper bound, based on what you told me.
What Good Can a Handgun Do Against An Army?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-backroom/2312894/posts