I think there was another analysis that said if Romney just picked up the 2004 Bush voters that stayed home because they didn’t like McCain in 2008 and kept the rest of the base, he would win just on the math alone.
Polls don’t matter, the liberal media doesn’t matter, because in the end it all comes down to what kind of organization you have to get out the vote.
Bush and Rove had their act together in this area, I think McCain didn’t, but I would be surprised if Romney didn’t have the operations in place, considering he is a businessman and he had really good GOTV during the primaries.
Nice analysis. I'd like to see a poll that includes this question and the responses to it.
GOTV is the drip irrigation of politics (as opposed to the sprinkling of broadcast ads that can evaporate before they hit the ground). I hope R+R have GOTV nailed down tight because in the end, this is all that will really matter.
Got this in email from the Romney campaign yesterday...
Because of supporters like you, we’ve been able to build a record-breaking ground operation. With the help of nearly 73,000 volunteers, we’ve contacted 26 million voters and identified over 2 million swing voters.
That means we’ve made 6 times more phone calls and knocked on 16 times more doors than the entire 2008 campaign.
You’ve made it more than a campaign -- you’ve made it a nationwide movement.
Those are impressive numbers and they could easily double between now and Election Day. I'm not overconfident but I'm feeling very good about this compared to 2008.
McLame had it in the bag....with Sarah PULLING him over the finish line, 3 points ahead, if I remember correctly.
Until, of course, he “suspended” his campaign to “get back to DC” and vote FOR the bail out.
Then the bubble burst. With that, and NOT allowing Sarah free reign, we got cursed with this idiot/evil in chief.