I think I have an idea what we are seeing in the numbers. It's something he says in the article about the small business owners: in 08, it wasn't just that people didn't like McCain. They were so ready for a change from Bush/2006-2008 policies that they were willing to vote for Zero regardless of his background, policies, or ideas.
I think the same is now true, to a lesser degree, with Romney. It isn't that people like or don't like his policies or ideas. THEY DON'T CARE anymore than in 08. They want Zero out, not Romney in!
What tells me this is the case is the lack of Romney signs and stickers---still far more than Obama this time around---yet there is a high level of local activity in phone banks (setting records in our are and, as I have heard, in FL) and walkers. These aren't "pro-Romney" people but anti-Obama.
Even the job approval, I think, doesn't reflect this in polls. I wonder if you had, without mentioning Romney, a poll that said something like "Do you think Obama deserves another 4years," his "yes" numbers would be in the high 30s.
I sure like these numbers better than '08, professor--Ohio and everywhere else...
Ping to post 34.
Poll Ping.
Florida ground game- at least in Central Fl where I am is SUPERB this year. I know several people who have NEVER done anything political who are walking the neighborhoods and making phone calls. Just got a text from one of them making calls this afternoon from our local Romney office- she said it’s starting to change to enthusiasm for Romney along with- don’t care WHO is running, am voting against O.
My son who is on FB (I refuse to get on FB!) tells me some interesting changes he’s noticed this year. Some of his formerly liberal “friends” have changed to libertarian and are looking hard at Romney..but no matter whether they vote for R or not- they will not vote for O. Also- the ones who are diehard O fans no matter what have gone very quiet since Benghazi.
Just a little bit of anecdotal stuff from the hotly contested Florida I-4 corridor.