[freespirited]

Here is what RCP has posted.

General Election: Palin vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Palin (R)	Spread
RCP Average	7/5 - 8/7	--	54.3	36.8	Obama +17.5
CNN/Opinion Research	8/5 - 8/7	930 RV	55	41	Obama +14
McClatchy/Marist	8/2 - 8/4	807 RV	56	35	Obama +21
PPP (D)	7/15 - 7/17	928 RV	53	37	Obama +16
Quinnipiac	7/5 - 7/11	2311 RV	53	34	Obama +19

[grey_whiskers]

CNN, PPP, and Quinnipac routinely oversample Democrats, and the internals for none of the polls are given in your post.

And remember -- Carter was up by 30 points over Reagan in the spring before the election.

Looks like Sarah's doing just fine.

Cheers!