As much as I like Palin, she will only run if she can win. She cannot take a second loss and remain at the top of the conservative thought leadership.
My prediction is that if Perry becomes a serious candidate (the Gingrich hires are a big sign he will...), then Sarah will endorse him over Romney. If Sarah ran against Perry and Romney, then Romney would probably win the nomination. I would imagine that Bachmann or Ryan would be seen as Perry’s VP pick.
Sarah may run as VP again, stay as a pundit or become the Secretary of Interior/Energy or Commerce.
>>As much as I like Palin, she will only run if she can win.<<
Also, she can only win if she runs.
Based on her behavior in the last month or so, I say she won’t. Not she shouldn’t (although that is clearly a subject of great debate) — simply, she won’t.
I await the usual attacks of me as a Romney-supporting homosexual-agenda commie liberal socialist (who needs consistency when you are hurling invective?) illegal-alien-supporter because I DARE predict she won’t run.
I have been run out of a lot of FR arguments (the AM has been overloaded with “abuse” hits for me disagreeing with people), but I just can’t allow it to happen when I am reading the tea leaves.