A new poll from UNH shows conservative Republican Mayor Frank Guinta of Manchester leading moonbat Congresswoman Shea-Porter in the slightly-GOP-leaning NH-01 by 41%-33% among likely voters. Shea-Porter does not break 40% against any of the other Republican candidates, and NH adults have a net unfavorable opinion of her, with 35% having a favorable opinion and 40% having an unfavorable opinion of her.
In the Democrat-leaning NH-02, 44% of NH adults have a favorable opinion of moderate former GOP Congressman Charlie Bass, with 19% having an unfavorable opinion. Bass leads Democrat frontrunner Katrina Swett (whom he soundly defeated in 2002 in a huge disappointment for Democrats) by 37%-30% among likely voters, and Bass leads Ann McLane Kuster (the other Democrat with a chance to win the primary) by 39%-28%.
Meanwhile, conservative radio talkshow host and 2008 GOP nominee Jennifer Horn is still largely unknown in the NH-02, with only 15% of NH adults having a favorable opinion of her and 9% having an unfavorable opinion of her. Horn leads Kuster by 28%-25%, but Swett leads Horn by 30%-26%.
In the Senate race, the poll shows conservative Republican former AG Kelly Ayotte leading Democrat Congressman Paul Hodes by 41%-33% in the Senate race among likely voters. 38% of NH adults have a favorable opinion of Ayotte, with only 12% having an unfavorable opinion of her; these numbers are much better than those of Hodes, regarding whom 32% of NH adults have a favorable opinion and 27% have an unfavorable opinion.
Meanwhile, conservative Republican Ovide Lamontagne remains largely unknown in the state, with 12% of NH adults having a favorable opinion of him and 9% having an unfavorable opinion of him. Hodes leads Lamontagne among likely voters by 38%-29%; indeed, Hodes runs stronger against Lamontagne than even against two nobodies also seeking the GOP nomination.
http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_winter_congapp20810.pdf
I think that this poll confirms what I had assumed all along: that Ayotte would almost certainly beat Hodes while Lamontagne would almost certainly lose, that Guinta wil lsend Shea-Porter packing, and that, among Bass and Horn, only Bass has the name ID and experience to defeat the Democrat in November. If things don’t change between now and primary day, I’ll be supporting Ayotte, Guinta and (reluctantly) Bass.
RINO! LOL.
I might be campaigning for Horn on the weekends this summer. Bass is NARAL. Don’t give up the ship too early.
Polls showed Dede was going to be the next congressman from NY23. Things changed!
But I'm not gonna root for him in the primary cause Horn trails Swett by 30%-26 with a huge undecided.
NH is one state where I wish the primary was a tad earlier. If there was more time to unite after the primary if a lesser known candidate wins it wouldn't be much an issue. Everyone should know Katrina Swett by now. That she gets the same 30% against both I see as a sign of weakness.