“Uh, hello, Princess, hello? This purports to be some GOP internal polling. GOP is short for “Grand Old Party”, aka the Republican party.”
UH HELLO Maggie dear.....I am talking about the “other” polling aka polls that have us so far behind it looks useless and over with. Obviously not if this GOP poll (and I think EVERYONE knows what that stands for)..
I do hope in the states listed we ARE truly moving ahead and that this pollster have it correct!
General Election: McCain vs. Obama
(Starting October 11 partisan affiliated polls will not be added to the RCP Poll Averages.)
Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/25 - 10/31 — — 50.2 43.8 Obama +6.4
Rasmussen Reports 10/29 - 10/31 3000 LV 2.0 51 46 Obama +5
Diageo/Hotline 10/29 - 10/31 876 LV 3.6 51 44 Obama +7
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/29 - 10/31 1201 LV 2.9 49 44 Obama +5
I’m so very sorry, I didn’t realize that you weren’t referring to the poll at hand.
While I tend to agree the entire tale is VERY unlikely, there are a few things going that make it possible, if not likely.
McCain has patched together a very unusual coalition. Many PUMAS have said he is the ONLY Republican they would vote FOR. Otherwise they would have just stayed home. They also would not have worked FOR the GOP Nominee. That is a HUGE difference IMO.
But AT THE SAME TIME McCain managed to select a VP that has ignited a passion in the conservative base unseen since Reagan. I really don’t think Bush stirred up this kind of passion as Palin has. There is something going on here that is almost indescribable. When a person has “it” you can’t really waste time trying to explain it, it just IS. Palin has it.
The third leg to this stool is the collective doubt about Obama. It isn’t just one doubt, it is a collection of different doubts. McCain would be toast without any one of the 3 legs of the stool. He would have toppled over, but he has managed to craft the only path to a win. Doubts about Obama, McCain is a person the moderate and even somewhat liberal Dems can regard as a hero. And amazingly, the Conservative base is fired up AT THE SAME TIME. Think about that for a second. You have a GOP team and it is a team both somewhat liberal Hillary supporters, and very conservative supporters can vote for. That is, quite frankly, amazing. Again, not since Reagan has that dynamic existed.
I don’t think California is in play, but I can see McCain winning PA by a nice number and that spilling over to at least make NJ closer than normal. Ohio should be a blowout if McCain wins PA. Michigan is an odd state, but I can see it happening because of the socialist angle.
I think a LOT of people are going to come out of the woodwork to vote AGAINST Obama and FOR Palin. They also may be different groups. Obama might boost turnout, but they are forgetting he may boost an equal or larger turnout AGAINST him. And while the MSM will spin it is because he is black, it really is because of the color socialist red.
That is where Obama’s stool is wobbly. He has the one leg of Bush hate up, but his base is a little off...the leg is a bit short because of Hillary. The third leg is that people must seem him as safe enough to vote for. That leg is going to have to be attached with silly string and scotch tape. Will it hold together enough for Obama to win? It is going to fall off eventually, because of who O really is, but will it be Pre or Post election?