Forgive me if I violate rules. not sure about where to post,, vanity etc
I think this is just the most blatant example of oversampling democrats; a 13 point spread! and registered voters at this point in the election. I am looking at the RCP archives and all polls in october 2004 were of likely voters
Just a setup to cover massive voter fraud by the RATs via ACORN, et al.
Twenty-seven percent of the people polled were registered Republicans? What kind of result did they expect? Ah, these people will never change. And they lost whatever credibility they had as a news source a long time ago.
BS—psyops.
this is giving the Obamabots a reason to riot when they lose...things will be ugly
More crap from Newsweek. YAWN
I think it is a good idea to focus on the outlandish polling methods used. Good job scrolling ALLLLLL the way down to the bottom to get this tidbit.
DUH what did you expect???
Republican 27%; Democrats 40 %. Is the media insane!? They give the Dems a 48% advantage in weighting. Ludicrous.
“Registered voters; Republican 27%; Democrats 40 %”
Good God. Talk about cooking the data.
That might be a record! LOL
2004 was 39 vs 39
And it will be close to that again.
Dem 40%, Ind 30%, Rep 27%, Others 3%.
OK, whatever.
That is one crappy poll.
party | number | percent |
democrat | 402 | 40% |
independent | 325 | 30% |
republican | 280 | 27% |
other | 28 | 3% |
factor in the party breakdowns:
this yields total potential votes (in millions):
party | McCain/Palin | Obama/Biden |
democrat | 3.6 | 65.52 |
independent | 19.8 | 18.92 |
republican | 48.95 | 3.85 |
total potential voters | 72.35 | 88.29 |
now factor in voter turnout using the 2004 results:
(sorry... this was the best i could do for voter turnout info: wiki-link )
party | turnout in 2004 | McCain/Palin | Obama/Biden |
democrat | 62.08% | 54.81m | |
republican | 72.58% | 52.5m |
a total of 2.31m votes separates the two sides using these numbers. which, btw, would be a statistical tie NOT a blow out or run-away campaign, as the drive-bys would have you believe (after all, they are trying to shape opinion.. not report it)
and how big is the ACORN effect? hmm... 1.9m million fraudulent voter registrations could easily steal this election
on a side note: operation chaos puts all these numbers in the crapper as it would under sample republicans and oversample dems, while assuming operation chaos operatives wouldn't lie to the pollsters