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Rudy and the Republican Nomination
http://www.joinrudy2008.com/News/DocumentPrint.aspx?DocumentID=19580 ^ | 2 Feb 2007 | Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director

Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom

Rudy and the Republican Nomination


New York, Feb 2 -

To: Team Rudy
From: Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date: February 2, 2007
Re: Rudy and the Republican Nomination

Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.

Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.

According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:

The Mayor also enjoys strong approval among white evangelical Christians (76%) and self-described conservative Republicans (82%).

In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”

In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.

The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.

Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:

State

Mayor Giuliani

Closest Competitor

Source

California 33% 19% (Gingrich) ARG - Jan. 11-17
Florida 30% 16% (Gingrich) ARG - Jan. 4-9
Illinois 33% 24% (McCain) ARG - Jan. 11-14
Michigan 34% 24% (McCain) ARG - Jan. 4-7
Nevada 31% 25% (McCain) ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06
New Jersey 39% 21% (McCain) Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22
North Carolina 34% 26% (McCain) ARG - Jan. 11-15
Ohio 30% 22% (McCain) Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28
Pennsylvania 35% 25% (McCain) ARG Jan. 4-8
Texas 28% 26% (McCain) Baselice Jan. 17-21

Conclusion

Recent polling continues to suggest Mayor Giuliani is very well positioned within the party – particularly when compared to other potential Republican candidates – to win the nomination.

Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.

Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: athleticsupporter; electionpresident; giuliani; giuliani2008; medialies; milking911; president; rudy; support
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To: The Shrew

BUMP!


921 posted on 02/02/2007 10:21:15 PM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: The Shrew

LOL!


922 posted on 02/02/2007 10:22:13 PM PST by Ms. AntiFeminazi (no comment)
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To: onyx

Go look! I mean it.....his father had THE PROTICOLS OF THE ELDERS OF ZION pamphlets. I kid you not!


923 posted on 02/02/2007 10:23:26 PM PST by nopardons
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To: nopardons

Doesn't "white shoe" law firms mean gay law firms? Wearing white shoes to work is just so gay. :)


924 posted on 02/02/2007 10:23:36 PM PST by Torie (The real facts can sometimes be inconvenient things)
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To: The Shrew; Howlin
The Shrew: Right now Rudy and his crack campaign staff are trying to walk the line of Foreign Policy/WOT perceived expertise...

Very few comments tonight have drawn me into this enlightening, and I must say spirited discussion. The area you describe is is in reality the handful of aces that Rudy currently holds. I will not make light of it. However, beyond 9/11 Rudy is left with a great deal less to commend him to the Pub base.

I, too, saw a red light flash when gun control was characterized as possibly not having its customary place near to the heart of the party. Rudy can not be too careful with this one.
925 posted on 02/02/2007 10:24:04 PM PST by PerConPat (A politician is an animal which can sit on a fence and yet keep both ears to the ground.-- Mencken)
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To: garv
Rudy will not win the Republican primary without solid 70+ acceptability to Republican voters.

So you're saying conservative primary voters are going to vote for Washington insiders who as Congresscritters/Senatcritters had their chance to implement a conservative agenda instead of stoking their fat egos and running for the WH who pander to the far right, only to get blown away in the general.

926 posted on 02/02/2007 10:24:21 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist (Forgot your tagline? Click here to have it resent!)
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To: Registered
what myths?

The ones you and your newfound liberal friends are trying to propagate, of course.

927 posted on 02/02/2007 10:24:28 PM PST by EternalVigilance (With Republicans like these, who needs Democrats?)
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To: Torie

Not unless it's before Easter or after Labor Day.


928 posted on 02/02/2007 10:24:35 PM PST by Howlin (Honk if you like Fred Thompson!!!)
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To: nopardons

I read that earlier...didn't know what to make of the public admission.


929 posted on 02/02/2007 10:25:13 PM PST by Dolphy
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To: EternalVigilance
Ronald Reagan called himself a PRAGMATIST! I guess that means that Reagan wasn't a Conservative.
930 posted on 02/02/2007 10:25:25 PM PST by nopardons
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To: EternalVigilance
your newfound liberal friends
your newfound liberal friends
your newfound liberal friends
your newfound liberal friends
your newfound liberal friends
your newfound liberal friends
your newfound liberal friends
your newfound liberal friends
931 posted on 02/02/2007 10:25:34 PM PST by Howlin (Honk if you like Fred Thompson!!!)
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To: Spiff
So, do you have something against Keyes supporters?

No, it was just a joke.

But I have a question: Will Keyes be a free agent for the CA GOP to run against Boxer? LOLOL

932 posted on 02/02/2007 10:25:37 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist (Forgot your tagline? Click here to have it resent!)
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To: nopardons

LOL -- I looked. You'll be teaching class in FR mail....lol.


933 posted on 02/02/2007 10:25:48 PM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: Registered

I was drinking a Coca Cola and quit because I was laughing so hard!


934 posted on 02/02/2007 10:26:05 PM PST by PhiKapMom (Broken Glass Republican -- Rudy/Newt -- Take back the House and Senate in 2008)
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To: Torie

NO white shoes after Labor Day.


935 posted on 02/02/2007 10:26:39 PM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: Howlin

A true southerner will understand that remark!


936 posted on 02/02/2007 10:26:53 PM PST by Tarheel (If you can make it there, you can make it anywhere... Rudy--2008)
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To: PhiKapMom

Are you my newfound liberal friends?


937 posted on 02/02/2007 10:27:15 PM PST by Howlin (Honk if you like Fred Thompson!!!)
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To: EternalVigilance
The ones you and your newfound liberal friends are trying to propagate, of course.

Be specific here. What myth regarding you am I propagating? You accused me, I'm calling you out.
938 posted on 02/02/2007 10:27:34 PM PST by Registered (Politics is the art of the possible)
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To: dirtboy

Oh I see...in a couple of months. :-)


939 posted on 02/02/2007 10:27:44 PM PST by nopardons
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To: dirtboy

Oh I see...in a couple of months. :-)


940 posted on 02/02/2007 10:27:50 PM PST by nopardons
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