Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Well, that's good to know; I'm going right back through my Freepmail right now and post some of the lovely things that have been sent to me.
I'm sure there are quite a few others that have some Freepmails they've gotten they'd like to post, too.
I have to side with Howlin here, posting FReepmail is a no!
What is it about narses writing FR mail to Howlin first that you don't understand? It's really none of your business or mine so you really shouldn't be concerned.
The mods have actually done a good job in realizing that it's primary season and the punches get a bit harder right now. Like the color commentators say about the refs in big games - let them play.
Of course, the flip side is, they get about triple the abuse volume to which they are accustomed.
It use to be a banning offense.
I guess the rules have changed.
Thanks for the factual posting, Peach. I applaud you for always trying to post factually.
You know as well that freepmail is not license to say things to someone that cannot be said in the open forum.
I think that is a good idea! Bet there is a double standard though!
Are you a desparate housewife? We have all been told that's what we are! :)
Have to remember to tell several campaigns I work for that I am only a desparate housewife. Joined two local races in the last week and they would be interested to hear that. What a putdown -- want to bet it gets a pass too!
But we are the ones calling people names! Give me a break!
Spam is all the rage now.
I think we should post the same positive Rudy articles on every single page. It's what's being done with anti-Rudy articles and it seems to be okay with the mods.
I am now more confused than I was before. I will try to be polite, even to those who call me names. Is that the basic message?
People that say stuff like that have major issues with women; we've known that for years.
I am trying to as well! My current view (subject to change as new facts come to light) is that Rudy appears to be our best shot at keeping the Hildabeast out of the White House. I understand that he is far from the most conservative candidate running, but at this time he appears to be the most conservative one who has a chance at winning.
I wonder how President Reagan would view those on both sides of the Rudy candidacy who are already engaging in personal abuse and displaying anger to the detriment of any civilized discussion. President Reagan never found it necessary to attack his political opponents in such a disrespectful manner -- much less fellow Republicans. Perhaps we all need to try harder to live up to his example and act like adults.
Those who cannot keep their cool within the confines of Free Republic are going to have limited ability to convince others who politically are well outside the boundaries of most Freepers. That's not good, because most people are not as conservative as Freepers and we can't win nationally without appealing broadly to the people, as Reagan did.
It's a long way to the primaries. No sense firing all of the ammunition so early anyway.
And it was right to the mod's face. We must have very patient mods putting up with that and the spam.
I'm so glad to know that spam is okay now because now that my computer is back in business, I have some things I think I should post on every single Rudy page, over and over and over.
LOL
Bunnyslippers tends to post the same Rudy pic on the rudy threads, would you consider that spam?
Being a male, I hope I'm not a desperate housewife.
I don't engage in nasty FR mails and I forwarded the only two I've ever received to Jim.
I have taken to reading comments and laughing when it gets like this -- nothing else you can do!
Brought to you courtesy of a "desparate housewife!"
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