Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Plants and shrubs.
2007's OCTOBER SURPRISE!
Really?
Right.
Oh, gee. And I was trying so hard to present a clear alternative to meeting Hillary half way to a Marxist/socialist Utopian hell. Did you hear her demanding today to "take" the "outrageous" oil company profits and use them for the common good? Hope no one from our side tries to out Hillary Hillary there.
Truly.
That's why I'm not in politics. Using my best "talents" here at FR. If I can get myself in order, I might be able to make a going in politics.
NOT gonna happen!
Since the above is an example - just write it down Jim. I'm sure we can find someone around here to read it for you. It would be great to see you truly enter that world and take FR with you. Way too many people have pretended to be your voice.
Hope life is well.
TS
I got caught up in all the fun here. I find these Rudy threads entertaining.
I'm surprised this did not get more traction in the news (did it get any traction at all?).
I'm in the stockmarket and this kind of thing does not bode well for stockholders for obvious reasons. Yet I did notice her comments made narry a nick in the markets.
Isn't THAT our goal?
I also read, on FR, that President Bush made grumbling noises about the pay of CEOs V they "little guys" and that MARXIST tripe did NOT sit well with me at all.
You and I both. The TV got boring, so here I am eating a late night snack and sipping hot tea.
I just went and read that thread. I am speechless.
Stunning.
I will listen intently to all serious and qualified conservatives who throw their hats into the ring and will carefully examine their positions and track records and will weigh and discuss their potential for success before making any moves to support only one candidate.
All that came about by FReepers who didn't even bother to watch the damned speech. They bought the leftwinged press' bait, hook, line, and sinker.
I think you're wrong but not tonight. I'm shot.
Regards,
TS
Hunter's protectionism won't sit well with Wall Street or business either.
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