Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Busy day planned for tomorrow?
The sad part here is the Evangelical right does not realize how much damage has occurred because of the attitudes espoused by them..
Does sweetums want that nasty bar of soap in his mouf?
Actually, yes. You?
Nice try, but I'm not the one here trying to make my living in politics.
I'm just a women with a computer living off her husband's money.
You're actually trying to pass yourself off as a player.
Absolutely.
Nite all...we have another few months to go at this.
GO BEARS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
LOL! Rich!
I don't think it's the Evangelicals; I think it's the group that has co-opted them to use them for their own agenda.
I'm just posting my opinions, like everybody else.
And you didn't have to wait very long. LOL
Night ((( Blackirish ))) Good luck to your Bears!!!
My first choice for the nominee will be a fiscally and socially conservative patriot.
He'll be a no nonsense articulate conservative with a fire in his belly to defeat the enemy, both foreign and domestic. He will have a solid track record of fighting for national security, for our constitutional rights, for limited government and for traditional family values.
He will be unabashedly and unapologetically diametrically opposed to Hillary Clinton/Osama Obama, et al. He will present to the nation a clear choice between unfettered godless Marxist liberalism and treasonous leftist cowardice, and true blue (red state) conservative patriotism. We do not choose to attempt to out Hillary Hillary.
He will demonstrate a calm, confident, iron willed ability to defeat Islamic Fascism, take immediate control of the borders and immigration policy, force a withdrawal of nuclear weapons from terrorist states like Iran and North Korea, allow and help Israel to defend herself from terrorism, take control and solve our nation's problems in obtaining/drilling for oil, deal with South American communism with a firm resolute hand, regain control of the House and Senate on his no nonsense conservative coattails, promote and get confirmed constitutionalist judges, drive for and overturn Roe vs Wade, fight for and re-institute states rights in education, crime fighting and local laws dealing with issues near and dear to the local people, fight for and make permanent and deepen the tax cuts while fighting for and actually reforming the income tax and privatizing social security and medicare, and permanently ending America's flirtatious ideas of possibly entertaining the idiotic leftist b/s called global warming.
Oh, did I leave off closing down, repealing, overturning, abolishing unconstitutional federal departments, agencies, congressional acts and court decisions and returning the power of government to the states and we the people? We'll take those too.
I don't see any reason for conservatives to promote or fight for anything less in the primary.
And I am 100% opposed to removing the pro-life, pro-family, pro-gun, or freedom of religion planks from the conservative platform to accommodate a social liberal, even if he does have glittering star power.
I oppose giving up on conservative values. I oppose Arnoldizing the presidency. It's not working for California and will not work for America.
I fear a run to the mods that "Ambassador Keyes has naugahyde on his face". :)
If we're all so useless, why do you spend so much time with us?
Why aren't you over playing on the threads with the real movers and shakers?
See? I knew that missing your naps would do that to you. :-)
Incoming, you better get your Kevlar.
hehehehehehehehehe
That'll be the day.
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