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Razor thin... In 2012, the Real Clear Politics state averages were right in 49 out of 50 states. Above is how their map looked this morning. How close is it? If Real Clear Politics is right, Trump just needs to flip one tiny state…

Donald Trump is slightly leading Hillary Clinton in Florida, Ohio, Nevada, and North Carolina, while Clinton is slightly ahead of him in Colorado, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Virginia, according to new battleground state polls from Axiom Strategies and Remington Research Group.

In previous Gallup daily polling including on Monday, Obama has held a 5 percentage-point lead among registered voters. But the Gallup poll to come Tuesday will report results from a smaller pool among those voters, those who are likely to vote. That change in the poll's method will "wipe out" the president's lead, Page said. "Republicans are more energized and more likely to actually go and vote," she added.

Here’s a message to the GOP from Vacationland: Maine is not lost!

Has anyone noticed that Rasmussen has Romney winning or ahead in the 7 Toss Up States? If you scroll over each of the states it looks like a uphill battle for Obama. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard

Real Clear Politics just moved the California senate race from 'leans Democrat' to 'toss up.' Please help GOTV for Carly Fiorina. We can win this!!

Two new polls show the Democratic and Republican primaries for governor of Illinois are both too close to predict ...Looking at the Republican Party's gubernatorial primary, PPP surveyed 573 likely GOP voters, with an error margin of 4.1 points, and Rasmussen surveyed 527 likely primary voters, and said its result had an error margin of 4.5 points. Both companies found a fractured field. PPP's results: Dillard, 19 percent; McKenna, 17 percent; Brady, 16 percent; Ryan, 13 percent; Andrzejewski, 11; Proft, 7 percnet; and Schillerstrom, 1 percent. Rasmussen's results: McKenna, 20 percent; Ryan, 16 percent; Dillard, 13; Andrzejewski and Brady, both...

The close Senate contest in usually reliably blue Massachusetts - a race that could prove crucial to the fate of President Obama's agenda - got tighter and uglier Thursday as the Democratic Party fought to hold on to the seat of the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy. Republican Scott Brown, who has tapped into widespread anger over health care reforms and the economy, surged to within two percentage points of Democrat Martha Coakley in the latest polling. The Rothenberg Political Report and the Cook Political Report, the two leading political handicapping services, shifted the race to the "tossup" category -...

Rothenberg Political Reports has moved the Masachussets race from "Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party" to "Toss-Up." More at the Bay State Report. Now Cook is calling this race a toss up (h/t Washington Independent): The Cook Political Report, calling it “one of the toughest [calls] we’ve had in a long time,” joins the Rothenberg Political report in calling the Coakley-Brown race a “toss-up. The modern electoral history of federal statewide races in Massachusetts argues strongly that while state Attorney General Martha Coakley, the Democratic nominee, could have a close race, at the end of the day it’s unlikely that she...

The race to replace Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate is looking like a toss up, with Republican Scott Brown up 48-47 on Martha Coakley. Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing. Those folks planning to vote in the special election are actually opposed to Obama’s health care plan by a 47/41 margin and only narrowly express approval of the President’s overall job performance 44/43. “The Massachusetts Senate race is shaping up as a potential disaster for Democrats,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.

The Massachusetts Senate race is now a toss up. Buoyed by a huge advantage with independents and relative disinterest from Democratic voters in the state, Republican Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 48-47. Here are the major factors leading to this surprising state of affairs: -As was the case in the Gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia last year, it looks like the electorate in Massachusetts will be considerably more conservative than the one that showed up in 2008. Obama took the state by 26 points then, but those planning to vote next week only report having voted for him...

When you're an MSMer, you're an MSMer all the way--even when faced with facts that might make you like, well, ridiculous . . . Mike Allen, appearing on Morning Joe, has declared the NY-23rd race a "real toss-up" despite a new poll from a respected organization showing Doug Hoffman with a 17-point lead. The claim by Allen, Politico's chief political correspondent's, was so absurd that, on the spot, host Joe Scarborough offered 3:1 odds to Allen and anyone else wanting to place a few kopeks on Dem Bill Owens. View video here.

Washington – The campaign for the 23rd Congressional District seat has turned into a two-person race that is too close to call only days before the election, according to an independent poll released today. Democrat Bill Owens (36 percent) and Conservative Doug Hoffman (35 percent) have emerged as the frontrunners, the Siena College poll of likely voters found. At the same time, Republican Dede Scozzafava – the early frontrunner – has seen her support sink to 20 percent of likely voters, the Siena Research Institute poll found. Scozzafava, a state Assemblywoman and the only candidate in the race with political...

follow link.

The presidential contest in Virginia is heading toward a photo finish. The final Richmond Times-Dispatch Poll of the campaign shows Sen. Barack Obama at 47 percent and Sen. John McCain at 44 percent. Nine percent are undecided -- an unusually large slice of the electorate. The profile of undecided voters suggests that some are potentially opposed to Obama. Because Obama's advantage over McCain is within the poll's margin of error -- plus or minus 4 percentage points -- the contest in Virginia can be considered about even.

there's been rumors that this assHat will probably be the fulltime replacement for tim russert. btw, what do you think of his "projections" i'll stick with barnes

McCain just might just pull an electoral rabbit out of the hat in Virginia! FReep this Digg!!! It's easy, sign up at Digg, vote for this article by clicking the Digg icon (thus keeping the libtards from voting it down/burring it), and then post article after article and video after video on Digg exposing ObamaNation from now until until election day! Everytime a Digger signs into Digg, they should be greeted by the truth! Now let's get busy!! FReep the Vote!!!

A statewide poll of Florida voters for the Presidential General Election released today by Datamar Inc., shows that U.S. Senators Barack Obama and John McCain are in a tie.

The presidential contest in Virginia is heading toward a photo finish. The final Richmond Times-Dispatch Poll of the campaign shows Sen. Barack Obama at 47 percent and Sen. John McCain at 44 percent. Nine percent are undecided — an unusually large slice of the electorate. The profile of undecided voters suggests that some are potentially opposed to Obama. Because Obama’s advantage over McCain is within the poll’s margin of error — plus or minus 4 percentage points — the contest in Virginia can be considered about even.

Down to the wire, Va. still too close to call, poll showsThe survey of 625 likely voters in Virginia found 47 percent supported Obama, 44 percent preferred McCain and 9 percent were undecided. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points. Swing state Should Virginia vote Democratic, Barack Obama probably will win the White House. But should McCain hold the state, the result could portend a McCain comeback nationally. The earliest signs of who will be the next president might spring from Virginia and how undecided white voters such as John Morris and Sidney Blankenbeckler cast their...