Free Republic

[...] Matchup Republican wins Democratic wins Margin of error Cruz vs. Clinton 50.6 49.4 1.4 [...] Trump vs. Clinton 46.9 53.1 1.1 [...] According to our multilevel model, the expected number of electoral votes won by Cruz against Clinton is only 256. [...] According to the model, the expected number of electoral votes won by Trump against Clinton is 236, which is 34 fewer than the 270 needed to win the election. [...]

UPDATE: I have removed Governor Jindal’s twitter handle from the title. His staff reached out to me to say he is not engaging in politics right now. In the wake of the Lafayette shooting, he has gone off the campaign trail to focus on the situation in Louisiana. Today he is attending the funerals of the victims. It is stuff like this that has Donald Trump in first place, kicking everybody else’s back side. And it is stuff like this that is going to see Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 100% start rising in the polls. I realize Sen. Ted Cruz...

SALT LAKE CITY – A new church essay reveals Mormon church founder Joseph Smith had an underage bride and was married to other men's wives during the early days of the faith when polygamy was practiced. The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints says most of Smith's wives were adults, but one was a 14-year-old girl who was the daughter of Smith's close friends. Research shows the marriage might not have involved sex.

It was supposed to be a revolution. Ron Paul was set to take America and the world by storm by winning primary after primary on his way to the White House. The supporters of the ten-term US Congressman from Texas were convinced that the money he raised would equal support at the actual ballot box. Now in the cold hard days of January, the truth has broken though. So what has happened to Ron Paul? The answer isn't difficult; his support was never very large to begin with. It was magnified by a presence on the Internet (or the "Internets"...

Planned Parenthood Los Angeles (PPLA) has threatened to file a lawsuit against Lilia Rose, a student journalist at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). The suit stems from an undercover investigation in which Rose recorded herself going into a PPLA clinic in Santa Monica, Calif., posing as a 15-year-old pregnant girl accompanied by her 23-year-”old boyfriend.” A 23-year old having sex with a 15-year old would be considered statutory rape. In addition, the clinic would be required to report an abortion provided to a 15-year old. Rose covertly video taped the encounter. The tape revealed that she was advised...

Statement from Thomas Gensemer, Managing Director, Blue State Digital This afternoon, an employee at our firm, Phillip de Vellis, received a call from Arianna Huffington of "The Huffington Post" regarding the "1984" video currently circulating online. Initially, de Vellis refused to respond to her requests. He has since acknowledged to Blue State Digital that he was the creator of the video. Pursuant to company policy regarding outside political work or commentary on behalf of our clients or otherwise, Mr. de Vellis has been terminated from Blue State Digital effective immediately. Blue State Digital is under contract with the Obama Campaign...

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Sexually charged music, magazines, TV and movies push youngsters into intercourse at an earlier age, perhaps by acting as kind of virtual peer that tells them everyone else is doing it, a study said Monday. "This is the first time we've shown that the more kids are exposed to sex in media the earlier they have sex," said Jane Brown of the University of North Carolina, chief author of the report. Previous research had been limited to television, said the study which looked at 1,017 adolescents when they were aged 12 to 14 and again two years...

GRAND ISLAND, N.Y. (AP) - An elementary school bus driver was fired after sharing a statistic she had read about embryonic stem cell research with students, then encouraging them to tell their parents about it.