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A SWING TOWARD THE PRESIDENT  Bush 49.83 | Kerry 47.33April 20, 2004 On April 13, the race was tied at 48.9. Since the data were collected for last week's Composite Poll, Condoleeza Rice has testified, the PDB was released, further complaints have arisen that Bush was "asleep at the switch" prior to 9/11, violence in Iraq has increased, Kerry returned from vacation and ratcheted up his attacks on Bush and released the Kerry Middle-Class Misery Index, liberal radio Air America appeared in several major cities and Bush held a news conference for which he was roundly criticized for a weak...

A US geophysicist has set the scientific world ablaze by claming to have cracked the holy grail: accurate earthquake prediction, and warning that a big one will hit southern California by September 5.Russian born UCLA professor Vladimir Keilis-Borok says he can forsee major quakes by tracking minor tremblers and historical patterns in seismic hotspots that could indicate more violent shaking is on the way. And he has made the chilling prediction that a quake measuring at least 6.4 magintude on the Richter scale will hit a 32,000 square km area of southern California bt September 5. The team at the...

A 2000 Repeat?  Bush 48.9  Kerry 48.9April 13, 2004 The race for president is currently a tie, with each candidate pulling 48.9% of the vote in the fully allocated April 13 Federal Review Composite Poll. Bush has kept it close in a tough news week for him and the country, largely due to a 4 point lead in the Gallup poll, a substantial lead in the Iowa Electronic Market and the results of last week’s Composite Poll in which Bush held a slight lead. Other polls, however, including Newsweek and FoxNews show Kerry with a 4 and 1 point lead,...

Tuesday, March 30, 2004 12:36 p.m. EST Hillary Predicts October Surprise New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is predicting that this year's presidential election will be very tight and the victor will win because of "something unforeseen." "It will be very close," the former first lady tells the New York Post's Cindy Adams. On how the contest will ultimately be decided, Clinton said, "It will be outside forces - something unforeseen that suddenly happens - that tilts the election one way or the other." In 1992, Clinton's husband won the White House after Reagan Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger was indicted on...

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is predicting that this year's presidential election will be very tight and the victor will win because of "something unforeseen." "It will be very close," the former first lady tells the New York Post's Cindy Adams. On how the contest will ultimately be decided, Clinton said, "It will be outside forces - something unforeseen that suddenly happens - that tilts the election one way or the other." In 1992, Clinton's husband won the White House after Reagan Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger was indicted on Iran-Contra charges four days before the vote. Though the indictment was...

US manufacturers group predicts strong '04 rebound Reuters, 02.23.04, 2:55 PM ET CHICAGO, Feb 23 (Reuters) - The National Association of Manufacturers said on Monday that it expects a strong recovery in manufacturing this year, with the sector outperforming the economy as a whole. The organization, which unveiled its forecast at National Manufacturing Week in Chicago, said it expects manufacturing production to increase by more than 6 percent this year, with U.S. gross domestic product up 4.1 percent. "We are more positive about the outlook for manufacturing and the general economy than we have been over the past two or...

<p>WASHINGTON - Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger came to the nation's capital Sunday and made a bold but perfectly clear political prediction: President Bush will carry California in November if he helps the state dig out of its multibillion-dollar budget mess.</p> <p>"There's no two ways about it," he told Tim Russert, host of NBC's "Meet the Press," discussing a state that has gone strongly Democratic in recent presidential elections.</p>

<p>The US military is "sure" it will catch Osama bin Laden this year, perhaps within months, a spokesman declared yesterday, but Pakistan said it would not allow American troops to cross the border in search of the Al Qaeda leader.</p>

Professor predicts landslide for Bush Monday, January 19, 2004 - PITTSFIELD -- George W. Bush will be re-elected in a "landslide" next November, a University of Massachusetts political scientist predicts. Addressing a regular meeting of the Berkshire County Republican Association at the Berkshire Athenaeum last week, Jeffrey L. Sedgwick, an associate professor of political science at UMass-Amherst, used the results of various polls to back up his contention that Bush's margin of victory will be wide and that the GOP will garner 15 to 20 additional seats in Congress. Many of those seats, said Sedgwick, will be in the Senate,...

Happy New Year's Eve to all at Free Republic!!! Make your predictions for 2004. Good Luck!!!

Did anyone else hear Monsoor relate that a agent in place in Irag will reveal where special lab and other locations for WMD's?

A Macroeconomic model developed by Yale University is predicting a huge popular vote victory for President Bush next year, similar to the one enjoyed by Ronald Reagan two decades ago. Based on factors such as inflation, GDP growth, and number of quarters of positive economic growth, the model, whose parameters are updated every quarter, is forecasting a Bush victory with over 58% of the vote: ********************************************************************************** Presidential Vote Equation--October 31, 2003 The predictions of GROWTH, INFLATION, and GOODNEWS for the previous forecast from the US model (July 31, 2003) were 2.4 percent, 1.8 percent, and 1, respectively. The current predictions...

CAMPUS : events & lectures -- Though College Democrats brought George Stephanopoulos to Northwestern, his prediction of Republican victory in the 2004 presidential election appealed mostly to their opposition. Speaking to a nearly packed crowd at Pick-Staiger Concert Hall, Stephanopoulos, President Clinton's senior adviser, was pessimistic about the Democratic party's chances of retaking the White House in 2004. "It looks like we are coming out of the recession," Stephanopoulos said. "Wages are starting to go up. Productivity is starting to go up. Generally if you look at polls across the country people respect President Bush even when people don't agree...

The following AP story is excerpted from this morning's Washington Post: 'Terminator' in Calif. Recall Race By ERICA WERNER The Associated Press Thursday, August 7, 2003; 7:55 AM LOS ANGELES - With a surprise jump into California's recall race, actor Arnold Schwarzenegger touched off the heaviest tremors in the state's political earthquake to date, saying he wasn't afraid of attacks sure to come from Democrats and conservative Republicans alike. But the aftershock from a day of topsy-turvy developments in the drive to recall Gov. Gray Davis came just hours later, when Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante broke party ranks to...

When this post goes up, it will have a number somewhere in the 9995xx range, maybe 9996xx if I get distracted while typing this. We're only a few hundred threads away from rolling over the odometer.I have no idea at what point JohnRob started his numbering scheme, so I don't know if thread 1000000 will truly be the one millionth thread posted on FR, or even anywhere close. But then, this post has no point other than fun anyway, so who cares?Make your guess! What will be the subject of thread 1000000? The winner gets to claim the title of...

The siren is on

Just saw Chris on MSNBC and he predicted Davis would be recalled by 52-48% and that since the race has tightened up, he expects Cruz Bustamante to be the next governor.

Odigo says workers were warned of attack By Yuval Dror Odigo, the instant messaging service, says that two of its workers received messages two hours before the Twin Towers attack on September 11 predicting the attack would happen, and the company has been cooperating with Israeli and American law enforcement, including the FBI, in trying to find the original sender of the message predicting the attack. Micha Macover, CEO of the company, said the two workers received the messages and immediately after the terror attack informed the company's management, which immediately contacted the Israeli security services, which brought in the...

  Astronomer Predicts Major Earthquake for Japan, Other Experts Express Doubts TOKYO (AP) _ A Japanese researcher is causing a stir in Tokyo with a prediction based on his study of radio waves that a major destructive earthquake is highly likely to hit the city this week. Yoshio Kushida, a well-known self-taught astronomer who runs his own observatory just outside Tokyo, published on its Internet site his prediction that a quake with a magnitude of 7 or greater was likely to strike the metropolitan area on Tuesday or Wednesday. The prediction was soon picked up by a popular weekly magazine...

The warning from David Cook, general counsel for the nation's electric reliability organization, was stark: "The question is not whether, but when, the next major failure of the grid will occur."