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Polls (GOP Club)

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  • Florida Early Vote update, 10/26/2016

    10/26/2016 5:49:12 AM PDT · by SpeedyInTexas · 34 replies
    10/26/2016 | self
    Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 44.6% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point. 47.6% of REP ballots, have been returned and 44.7% of DEM ballots have been returned. 10/26/16: REPs - 606,144, DEMs - 569,783 lead of 36,361 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.5% 10/25/16: REPs - 556,058, DEMs - 525,076 lead of 30,982 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.7% 10/24/16: REPs - 503,632, DEMs - 483,019 lead of 20,613 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0% 10/23/16: REPs - 496,040, DEMs - 476,292 lead of 19,748...
  • Why I'm (still) betting big on Donald Trump to win

    10/25/2016 9:45:41 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 34 replies
    Fox News Opinion ^ | October 24, 2016 | Wayne Allyn Root
    Every mainstream media outlet in the country keeps saying Trump is losing badly. They say this as if it’s fact. And based on many polls, it does look that way. But so did Brexit. That was the vote for UK to leave the EU. No one anywhere in the establishment…or media…or any major politician thought it would pass. But it did. I believe this is our Brexit. And I’m putting my money where my mouth is. I’m betting big on Donald Trump to win the election. Here’s why. I had the honor of attending the presidential debate as a guest...
  • Is Trump really losing? In this anti-establishment year, outlier polls could speak loudly

    10/24/2016 8:24:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 42 replies
    The Oregonian ^ | October 24, 2016 | Douglas Perry
    "We are behind," Donald Trump's campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, said Sunday on "Meet the Press." But are they really? Many of Trump's most ardent supporters refuse to believe the polling trend. And it is at least possible they're onto something. Data expert Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com puts Hillary Clinton's chances of winning the presidential election at 86.2 percent. The New York Times is even more bullish, insisting the Democratic nominee has a 92 percent chance of coming out on top. But while most polls do put Clinton comfortably out front -- some by double digits since a rash of sexual-assault...
  • The Trump Monster Vote is Coming - 10-24-2016 (VANITY)

    10/24/2016 1:34:39 PM PDT · by bobsunshine · 50 replies
    Trump Facebook ^ | October 24, 2016 | Self
    Something is going on !!!! At Todays Rally in Florida, over 23,000 watched live on YouTube and over 53,000 on Trump’s facebook page. Just checked again and his Facebook Page for this Rally has over 1,400,000 views and it’s only been over for 1 hour. The Naples rally has now over 2,100,000 views on his Facebook Page. Check out the Great Picture of Trump and Law Enforcement from the airport in Palm Beach By Contrast, Clinton’s rally (NH) earlier today has only 791,000 views on her Facebook Page.
  • IT’S NOT OVER YET! Trump actually now LEADING the race e according to the poll which has best record

    10/24/2016 7:44:40 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 28 replies
    The Sun ^ | October 24, 2016 | Danny Collins
    AN opinion poll that correctly predicted the last three US Presidents has announced Donald Trump is in pole position to win the White House. The Republican candidate‘s faltering campaign was widely seen to be in chaos with some pollsters putting him 12 PER CENT behind rival Hillary Clinton. But a IBD/TIPP survey has thrown the cat amongst the pigeons by declaring Trump to be on 42 per cent - two ahead the Democrat nominee. And far from being a maverick result, the company has a knack of picking the winning horse. The joint Investor’s Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence...
  • Rasmussen White House Watch: Still Neck-and-Neck (Trump +2)

    10/24/2016 5:54:07 AM PDT · by Zakeet · 11 replies
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 24, 2016
    Donald Trump still has a slight edge in Rasmussen Reports’ latest White House Watch. The new national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump with 43% support to Clinton’s 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets five percent (5%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee picks up three percent (3%). Another three percent (3%) like some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are not sure.
  • [From November 1, 2012] Rove predicts Romney victory with at least 279 Electoral College votes

    10/23/2016 6:16:37 PM PDT · by drpix · 36 replies
    Thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/thehill.com ^ | November 1, 2012 | Meghashyam Mali
    For those worrying over Rove now predicting a Trump loss!
  • YOUGOV POLL: UNDECIDED AND THIRD-PARTY VOTERS LIKED TRUMP IN THIRD DEBATE

    10/23/2016 6:05:13 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 9 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 20, 2016 | John Hayward
    YouGov’s post-debate poll finds Hillary Clinton winning the third presidential debate by a 10-point margin over Donald Trump, 49 percent to 39 percent. However, undecided and third-party voters gave Trump a 22-point lead. (VIDEO-AT-LINK) When asked to chose only between Clinton and Trump in the 2016 election, 61 percent of undecided and third-party candidates picked Trump after the third debate, versus 39 percent for Clinton. This could be an encouraging result for Trump, because 9 percent of respondents to YouGov preferred a third-party candidate, or professed themselves undecided. A statistically insignificant number said they did not plan to vote at...
  • (Vanity) What To Expect These Next 14 Days."Hillary Is Leading By Huge Margins In All Swing States".

    10/23/2016 3:21:31 PM PDT · by Pence_Dispenser · 111 replies
    And it's already started.Even on Fox News.Every leftist commentator will at some point say,"Look,Hillary is already way ahead in every swing state".They are going to just keep pushing this lie on all cable news networks every chance they get. No matter what the credible polls are saying, they wont mention it, it's just going to be that Trump is still at 38% and Hillary is leading in all of the swing states, therefore Republicans may as well all stay home. Meanwhile, the "Trump Army" of about 70 Million aren't falling for any of this nonsense !!
  • CBS: 24 Percent of FL Clinton Supporters Would Consider Voting Trump to ‘Shake Up Political System’

    10/23/2016 3:10:04 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 20 replies
    Breitbart ^ | October 23, 2016 | Katie McHugh
    A CBS News poll surveying Florida voters found that almost a quarter of Hillary Clinton supporters would possibly consider voting for Donald Trump to “shake up the political system.” Pollsters, who released the results Sunday, asked Clinton supporters who had not already voted: “Even though you aren’t voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?” Of those who said they planned to vote for Clinton, 24 percent said “shaking up” political leadership in Washington, D.C. would be a reason to vote for Trump. Another seven percent said that “ending political correctness” is...
  • Will Professor Allan Lichtman's forecast on Donald Trump winning the presidency hold true?

    10/22/2016 7:37:58 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    Blasting News ^ | October 22, 2016 | M.G. Singh
    The professor, in an earlier forecast, had predicted that Donald Trump will be the winner but he admits now that this election is testing his module. America is at the crossroads of an acrimonious election as the two candidates #Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton battle each other. As per the latest reports and Gallup polls, Hillary is set to win. She appears to be heading for victory, especially after beating Trump in all 3 debates. In such circumstances, the prediction of Professor Allan Lichtman that Donald Trump will be the winner has now to be taken with a pinch of...
  • Las Vegas Oddsmaker Says Donald Trump Will Win

    10/22/2016 8:33:26 AM PDT · by bigbob · 28 replies
    YouTube ^ | 10-21-16 | Bill Still
    2:41 video Good morning, I’m still reporting on Las Vegas Oddsmaker Says Donald Trump Will Win A lot of you have asked why I’ve not covered the polls for several days. Well, the MSM polls have all fallen into line. Even the UPI State Poll is either right and Clinton is the sure victor, or they too have fallen in the grip of the Clintonistas. I’ll try to do a poll report very early tomorrow morning. But if it’s not up 7 am Pacific, then it won’t come out until noon PST. However, a California reporter friend of mine just...
  • Real Clear Politics&Average Of All Polls.But How Many Pollsters Are Done By Democrats?

    10/21/2016 8:10:17 PM PDT · by Pence_Dispenser · 30 replies
    They say that most polls are done by left leaning groups/organizations.So does this mean that polls by CNN,ABC,NBC & New York Times are included? What about Monmouth? Who is running Monmouth?. It's just peculiar that the polls done by Democrats have Hillary up about 11 points when the more credible pollsters are showing a tie or a two point race. Guess we can agree that something just doesn't add up,and Trump should be ahead by at least six or seven points.
  • Is Trump's claim of election rigging helping him make a comeback in the polls?

    10/21/2016 6:59:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 23 replies
    The International Business Times ^ | October 22, 2016 | Harriet Sinclair
    Republican presidential nominee is continuing to narrow Hillary Clinton's lead on him, also topping several national polls, a turnaround from the Democrat's previous lead. In a four-way poll by IBD/TIPP Tracking including Gary Johnson and Jill Stein released on 21 October, Trump is leading Clinton with 41 points to her 40, while the same poll by Rasmussen Reports has Trump leading Clinton by two points, Real Clear Politics reported. A head-to-head race by LA Times/USC Tracking has Trump leading by one point on 45 to Clinton's 44 points, although a two-way poll by IBD/TIPP Tracking has Clinton ahead by two...
  • Poll: Who will win the presidential election 2016 Clinton or Trump?

    10/21/2016 7:58:18 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 32 replies
    The Oxford Eagle ^ | October 20, 2016 | Staff and Wire Services
    As a tumultuous campaign nears an end, undecided voters across the country watched the final debate of the U.S. presidential race with a mix of skepticism and rapt attention Wednesday night. They were searching for clarity, and some found it. But others remained painfully undecided just a few weeks before the election, saying neither candidate won them over. Read below what undecided voters had to say after the final presidential debate and take our poll here and tell us: Who will (or should) win the presidential election 2016? Who will win the Presidential Election? Hillary Clinton Donald Trump “I heard...
  • Hillary seeks to 'decapitate' Trump campaign in historic bid to take Texas for the Democrats

    10/21/2016 5:24:17 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 100 replies
    The London Telegraph ^ | October 19, 2016 | Nick Allen in Washington
    Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, has launched a historic bid to win the deeply Republican state of Texas in a bid to destroy Donald Trump's chances of becoming president. Mrs Clinton committed $1.5 million to begin running television advertisements in the Lone Star state, which is usually ignored by Democratic presidential nominees who have not won it for 40 years. Texas has 38 votes in the presidential electoral college, the second biggest number of any state after California. A candidate needs 270 to win. Targeting Texas amounted to a political "decapitation strategy" by taking the biggest Republican state....
  • Hutchinson: Trump can still win despite poll numbers that aren't favorable

    10/20/2016 11:26:54 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 6 replies
    The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette | October 20, 2016 | Emma Pettit
    Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2016/oct/20/gov-hutchinson-says-trump-could-win-responds-candi/?f=news-arkansas
  • Rasmussen delivers post-debate poll triumph for Trump

    10/20/2016 8:29:57 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 17 replies
    World Net Daily ^ | October 20, 2016 | Bob Unruh
    Whatever impact the third and final presidential debate of the 2016 election season may have still is to come, but the day after the event, Rasmussen had GOP candidate Donald Trump up by three points in its polling. “The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online White House Watch survey finds Trump with 43 percent support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 40 percent,” the report said on Thursday. “Six percent still prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, and three percent favor Green Party nominee Jill Stein. Another three percent like some other candidate, and six percent are undecided.” The same...
  • The perils of polling in a Brexit and Donald Trump world

    10/19/2016 6:04:52 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    Tech Crunch ^ | October 19, 2016 | Michael Li and Raymond Perkins
    Over the last decade we’ve witnessed big data tackle issues such as crime, health care, climate change, and even how to select a movie. So, with the availability of ever-growing collections of political data, more sophisticated statistical analysis techniques, and the ubiquitous presence of social media, it is tempting to think that big data should be able to give us a completely accurate prediction of major votes likes Brexit or the American presidential election. After all, statistical error decreases with sample size, so with unbounded data at our fingertips, it’s easy to imagine that measurement error will also vanish. Indeed,...
  • SUNY professor says Trump win at least 87 percent certain; other polls 'bunk'

    10/19/2016 1:15:51 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 40 replies
    The Post-Standard ^ | October 19, 2016 | Kevin Tampone
    Stony Brook, N.Y. — A SUNY professor continues to project Donald Trump as the likely winner of this year's election and he's critiquing polls that predict the opposite in a new opinion piece. Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent. Norpoth is a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island. That flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there, which mostly give an edge to Democrat Hillary Clinton, notes the Daily...