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Hillary Clinton has gained ground on Donald Trump, who has slipped in key measures of the presidential race after the first debate. First, the horserace. Clinton is ahead of Trump by three percentage points: 43-40 percent in the four-way matchup, according to a new Fox News Poll of likely voters. Her advantage is within the poll’s margin of sampling error. Two weeks ago, Clinton was up by one (41-40 percent). Third-party candidates Gary Johnson (8 percent) and Jill Stein (4 percent) remain in single digits. In the two-candidate head-to-head, Clinton tops Trump by five: 49-44 percent. Two weeks ago, Trump...

Pennsylvania is definitely in play for this year’s presidential election. That’s obvious from Donald Trump’s impromptu Geno’s cheesesteak run and the Pennsylvania visits from the Obamas and numerous celebrities for Hillary Clinton. The polls show it too: A once double-digit lead for Hillary Clinton now down to 2.4 percentage points, according to the Real Clear Politics average. That Pennsylvania will likely be close this year is no surprise. Aside from 2008, Pennsylvania has routinely had one of the tightest races of any state in the last several elections. What’s surprising this year is how it’s in play. In this cray...

College-educated whites who've been quiet in their support for Donald Trump will emerge in droves to vote for the Republican presidential candidate on Election Day, veteran political analyst Dick Morris, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton, tells Newsmax TV. "People who do not normally vote — high school-educated whites largely — and normally stay out of the process are now thronging into the electorate to vote for Trump," Morris, author of "Armageddon: How Trump Can Beat Hillary," said Thursday to J.D. Hayworth on "America Talks Live." "To give you a feel of how extensive this could be, if you...

Pat Caddell talked to Breitbart News Daily SiriusXM host Alex Marlow on Thursday about the apparent disconnect in election polling, stating, “The secret is nobody knows what we’re polling.” Caddell continued: There are different ways of doing it. They come out with different results … because the polling tends now to be very snap – who’s ahead, who’s behind. We’re not looking deep enough into the attitudinal structure of this race. And that’s where I have repaired myself, which is to really try to dig into that because that is what, in the end, what will be determinative. “Some of...

Hillary Clinton is feeling the pressure in the race for the White House — even after a strong night in the first 2016 presidential debate. Clinton has a huge staff advantage over Donald Trump, which should help her turn out supporters this fall. The Electoral College is tilted in her favor, and demographics are moving in the Democratic Party’s direction. She’s running to succeed a popular president who is firmly on her side, and the economy is strengthening. She’s also running against Trump, who has divided the Republican Party while alienating large groups of Americans. Despite all those advantages, Clinton...

Here is an example of his latest work on the Emerson CO poll where Trump is supposedly up 3: Colorado: TRUMP vs Hillary vs Johnson vs Stein. Emerson, 9/9-9/13, 600 LV Results: TRUMP 41.9% | Hillary 38.3% | Johnson 12.8% | Stein 1.7% Adjusted: TRUMP 45.1% | Hillary 35.1% | Johnson 12.8% | Stein 1.7% 1. This poll oversampled DEM. (Page 14) Democrats 34.2% | Republican 29.4% | Independent 36.4% http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_784e507857734ddb84b32e9d6ee1022c.pdf 2. Realistic Party ID % is - DEM 31.5% | REP 31% | Ind+Other 37.5% 1) Colorado: Party Affiliation (July,2016). Rep = DEM Active + inactive = Total 3.65...

The "stamina," the "look": A new poll suggests voters are buying in to Donald Trump's insinuations about Hillary Clinton's health. They're ignoring the medical reports. Voters — especially men — have more confidence that Trump is healthy enough for the presidency than Clinton, according to the Associated Press-GfK poll. It's a disconnect considering Clinton has released more medical information than Trump, and that outside doctors who've looked at the available data say both candidates seem fine. But it shows the political points Trump scored after the Democratic nominee's much-publicized mild case of pneumonia....

The newly released poll reveals Hillary Clinton could lose the presidency. Donald Trump is riding high after Monday night’s debate performance! A new UPI/CVoter’s state tracking poll released the day after the big event shows that Trump could amass enough votes to win the presidency. According to UPI current numbers suggest that Trump would earn “292 votes and Clinton would get 246 with 270 needed to secure the oval office.” But Trump’s lead still remains narrow. “If the battleground states are not counted, the race would be tied 191-191,” UPI reported. Florida is one of the key swing states that...

Geneva Reed-Veal, whose daughter Sandra Bland died in police custody in Texas; Sybrina Fulton, whose son Trayvon Martin was killed by a neighborhood watch volunteer in Sanford in 2012; and Gwen Carr, whose son Eric Garner died after New York City police used a banned chokehold on him, are part of Mothers of the Movement, women whose children were by guns or at the hands of police. They campaigned for Hillary Clinton in Pompano Beach on Sept. 26, 2016. The outcome of the presidential race in Florida could hinge on how many black voters, who turned out heavily for Barack...

A Post Debate Poll conducted after the presidential showdown at Hofstra University finds Hillary Clinton put on the best performance, but Donald Trump won votes. While voters 47% to 44% think that Mrs. Clinton “won the first presidential debate,” Mr. Trump won over undecided voters who changed their mind by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. Nine percent (9%) were undecided on the question of who won the debate. Among those who were undecided (5%) before the debate, 31% changed their mind and now say they’ll support the New York businessman. By comparison, only 11% of previously undecided voters said...

As I predicted yesterday, Trump “won” the debate. If one looks at the various reactions, especially from “neverTrumpers” like Ben Shapiro or John Podhoretz, you get pretty much what you’d expect: “whaaaaa, whaaaa, we told you so, he can’t debate, she won.” The trouble is, these people are as out of touch with ordinary Americans as Cankles is. First, yesterday I said that it would not matter who “won’ the debate (the style points, etc.) What mattered was who the polls said won, and the vast, overwhelming majority say Trump won—often by 20 points or more. Now of course these...

Local and national polling shows a neck and neck race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in Minnesota. MINNEAPOLIS, M.N. — For over 50 years, Minnesota has remained a safe haven for democratic presidential votes. Even in 1984, Minnesota was the only state in the union to vote for Walter Mondale instead of Ronald Reagan, who won in a landslide. However, a new KSTP/SurveyUSA poll shows the race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is much closer than originally thought in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. The new poll numbers released by KSTP this morning show Clinton leading Trump 46%...

Clinton or Trump: Who do you think won the first presidential debate?

Just before the first presidential debate Monday night, a new round of polls has been released that should strike fear into the hearts of Democrats. First off, the national race is looking very tight indeed. Democrats had hoped that Clinton had rebounded after a couple of respected polls last week showed her taking a 6-point lead over Trump. But the newest polls from major outlets — ABC News/Washington Post, Quinnipiac, and Bloomberg — show Clinton up 2, up 1, and down 2 to Trump in a four-way matchup that includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. But what’s probably scarier for...

With just hours to go before Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are to appear on stage together before an expected audience of 100 million viewers, just a single point separates the two candidates in two key battleground states: Colorado and Pennsylvania, according to the most recent polling from CNN. In Colorado, Trump leads with 42 percent of voters compared to Clinton with 41 percent. Third party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein come in third and fourth places, respectively, with 13 and 3 percent of voters. Meanwhile, Clinton maintains a razor-thin 45-44 percent lead over the Republican in Pennsylvania. Johnson...

Three Breitbart/Gravis state polls of likely voters — Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina — demonstrate how close the presidential election between Democrat Hillary R. Clinton and her GOP rival Donald J. Trump has become just before the first presidential debate. In Minnesota, Clinton and Trump are tied with each having 43 percent of the vote, said Doug Kaplan, the managing director of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling firm that executed the poll. In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads Trump with 46 percent to his 43 percent, and in North Carolina the former first lady leads Trump 44 percent to the New York...

ST. PAUL—A new Minnesota presidential poll continues to show a closer contest than is common in the state, with Hillary Clinton up by 7 points. However, if Minnesota voters are like Americans in general, half were waiting for debates to begin to make up their minds. A just-released SurveyUSA poll from the Twin Cities' KSTP-TV indicates that if the election were held before the Monday, Sept. 26, opening presidential debate that 46 percent would vote for Democrat Clinton while 39 percent were behind Republican Trump....

As the first one-on-one presidential debate between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump nears, Trump has surged in the polls and the candidates are now in a dead heat. A new poll from Bloomberg shows Trump leading his Democratic rival by 2 points. Other polls show Clinton still holding the lead, though not by much. Clinton leads Trump by just 1.5 points, according to a Real Clear Politics poll average, down from 2.4 points a day ago. As recently as last month, this spread was considerably wider, with Clinton leading Trump by as much as 7.6 points. FiveThirtyEight's forecast...

(TWEET-AT-LINK) A model from election-forecasting whiz Nate Silver shows Donald Trump once again closing in on Hillary Clinton, as he did right after the party conventions in July, and warned that Clinton's lead is "a lot less safe" than President Obama's lead in the polls in 2012. Silver's FiveThirtyEight website currently gives Clinton a 58.1 percent chance and Trump a 41.9 percent chance of becoming president. That's not the closest the two candidates have been, as Silver's widely-respected projection showed them neck-and-neck on July 30. Clinton opened a wider lead over Trump in August in Silver's model, but Trump has...

It appears the race in PA has tightened. That’s according to the latest Morning Call/Muhlenberg survey, which has Hillary Clinton at 44% and Donald Trump at 41%. Just a week ago, Morning Call and Muhlenberg College had Clinton with a 47% to 38% advantage over Trump. If Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included, Clinton’s lead over Trump narrows to two points, 40% to 38%. Johnson and Stein get 8% and 3% respectively. Demographics Digging into the crosstabs, Trump’s gains seem to come from additional support from Republicans (85/5) and the middle of the...