Free Republic

President Joe Biden’s 2024 polling numbers among black and Hispanic Democrats are perhaps the worst since Walter Mondale in 1984, New York Times’s Nate Cohn warned Tuesday based on Siena College national polling. While Biden’s support among white Democrats remains steadily below 50 percent, his support among black and Hispanic Democrats has plummeted since he assumed office. “Biden’s weakness among nonwhite voters is broad, spanning virtually every demographic category and racial group, including a 72-11 lead among Black voters and a 47-35 lead among Hispanic registrants,” Cohn wrote.

In a survey of 600 Republican primary voters, 59% said Trump would be their first choice, followed by 13% for DeSantis. That’s down from the 24% the Florida governor previously logged, when he was seen as closing in on Trump. “DeSantis collapsed,” said Democratic pollster Mark Bocian, who conducted the survey with GOP pollster Tony Fabrizio. “The one candidate who back in April really seemed to be a potential contender, seemed to have a narrative to tell, has totally collapsed, and those votes went to Trump.” More than 60% of primary voters said each indictment faced by Trump was “politically...

Starting the most in-depth analysis of the Trump OR Bust vote. Plus, interviews, debates, arrests and Q&A!

A new Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll out Wednesday found that former President Donald Trump is increasing his grip on the Republican Party but still distancing a majority of the American electorate. The poll found that 63% of Republican voters “now say they want the former president to run again,” noted an AP summary. The strong support from inside the GOP marked an increase from the same poll last April, which showed 55% of Republican voters wanted to see Trump on the party’s ticket again. “Seven in 10 Republicans now have a favorable opinion of Trump, an...

2024 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES: DESANTIS FALLS TO SINGLE DIGITS, BIDEN STAYS STRONG Forty-nine percent (49%) of Republican Primary voters in New Hampshire plan to support former President Donald Trump for the 2024 nomination, a 40-point advantage over all other candidates, similar to his 41-point lead in March. As the field of candidates has come more into focus since March, Florida Governor DeSantis no longer holds second place with double digits, instead has fallen to 8%. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie surpassed DeSantis for second-place in the Republican field: 9% of voters support his 2024 bid, while 8% support DeSantis. “DeSantis...

Richard Baris: If It Were Anyone But Trump, This Would Be Over 9 minute clip of interview between bannon and baris about the state of the election.

Both Trump and DeSantis tied for first place with 41 percent support each in their home state. No other potential candidate came close. Pence fell 38 percent points behind with three percent support. Christie, Ramaswamy, and Haley came one point behind with two percent support, and zero percent supported Elder, Hutchinson, and Scott. Overall, eight percent of Florida GOP voters are “not sure” who they would support. Notably, 71 percent chose DeSantis as their first-choice candidate, compared to 57 percent who said the same of Trump. When asked who would be their second-choice candidate, 30 percent said DeSantis, followed by...

Internal polling from backers of Ron DeSantis show the Florida governor gaining ground against primary competitor Donald Trump in the first-in-the-nation primary contest state of Iowa. A new Never Back Down PAC survey shared with Axios has DeSantis closing the gap between frontrunner Trump by 14 percent since his presidential announcement. But when the other candidates were taken out of the equation and DeSantis and Trump were put in a head-to-head matchup, the pro-DeSantis PAC found the two frontrunners are effectively tied in Iowa – compared to the governor's 14-point deficit in mid-May. A new CNN survey conducted the day...

Recent polling on transgender rights has been fairly uniform, but you won’t see that reflected in the headlines touting the surveys. “Americans’ Complex Views on Gender Identity and Transgender Issues,” read a headline from Pew Research last year. In fact, the only issue on which Americans even slightly disagree is whether transgender people should be protected from discrimination. Otherwise, 60% believe a person’s sex is assigned at birth, and even larger percentages say that trans athletes should compete against others of their birth gender.There’s nothing really “complex” about how Americans feel when it comes to transgender issues. Nor are they...

Democratic strategist Donna Brazile said Sunday on ABC’s “This Week” that Democrats need to “wake up” following a new Washington Post-ABC News poll in which President Joe Biden’s approval ratings fell six percentage points between February and May. The poll also found former President Donald Trump would beat Biden in a head-to-head matchup in 2024.

it seems there is a suppression of polling about the popularity of RFK Jr. Only one poll, inadequate about the candidates from Morning Consult. that had only Biden, RFK Jr, and space lady Williamson

14 min Warroom clip of Richard Baris Peoples Pundit polling. Clip starts with MSNBC reporting their polling of Trump and DeSantis. Richard then discusses that his polling matches theirs. Clip ends with Richard stating the polling shows 14% reported they will not vote unless it’s Trump. Bannon believes the range is 10%-20%. Many here don’t understand that mindset. Regardless, it’s a fact and the GOP cannot win without them. Note: our enemies including GOPe and DeSantis know this. They don’t care if they lose. Richard posted the data on Peoples Pundit Locals.

DeSantis: 39% Trump: 37% Haley: 7% Pence: 6% Tim Scott: 2% Chris Sununu: 2% Pompeo: 1%

Here are the major polls taken since November of a Donald Trump vs. Ron DeSantis primary race. The ones with an asterisk show Trump's share of the Trump + DeSantis vote in a multiway poll. [Chart in source doesn't reproduce. The takeaway: At one extreme is an Emerson poll that has Trump at 55%, at the other extreme is an Ipsos poll that has him at 25%, and the other 16 are pretty evenly distributed among those two endpoints.] So we know in a Trump vs. DeSantis primary, Trump will get somewhere between 25% and 55% of the vote. Good...

America is beginning to take the next election cycle a bit more seriously these days, as the Republican field begins to see its first competitors step up.President Trump was the first candidate to officially throw his hat in the ring way back in November 2022. Nikki Haley has begun her bid for the White House, and investment firm manager Vivek Ramaswamy has also recently jumped in the race.Republican voter enthusiasm at the moment seems to be pointing to a match-up that isn’t even a sure thing at this point – Donald Trump vs. Rick DeSantis. Even the left wing media...

Donald Trump: 42% Ron DeSantis: 36% Nikki Haley: 5% Mike Pence: 4% Mike Pompeo: 4%No other candidate tops 2 percent of the vote.

Is Donald Trump the clear favorite and front-runner to win the Republican nomination? Or is he badly weakened and even an underdog against Ron DeSantis?At the onset of the Republican campaign, the polls are exceptionally divided on Trump’s support among Republican primary voters.

President Biden would easily beat former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 election matchup — but would lose if he faced off against Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, according to a recent poll. In a rematch of the 2020 presidential contest, the 80-year-old Biden would prevail over his 76-year-old predecessor by eight percentage points in the popular vote — 49% to 41% — but would fall to the Sunshine State’s Republican governor by 45% to 42% in a head-to-head contest, the WPA Intelligence survey released Jan. 13 found.

Harvard-Harris poll, GOP 2024 Primary (November 16-17): Trump 46, DeSantis 28, Pence 7., Cruz 3, Haley 2.

Florida governor Ron DeSantis led former president Donald Trump by eleven points in a new poll of likely Republican primary voters by the Republican Party of Texas. The survey, conducted by CWS Research on November 12 and 13 among likely GOP voters statewide, asked respondents, “If the upcoming 2024 Republican Primary for president were held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Tim Scott, Mike Pompeo, Nikki Haley and Mike Pence, for whom would you vote?” Forty-three percent of respondents said they would support DeSantis, while Trump followed in second with 32 percent of the vote. Thirteen percent...