Keyword: intrade
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One misconception is that Mr. Perry’s standing had been declining in primary polls prior to Thursday evening. This simply isn’t the case, at least not to any degree of statistical significance.
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Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012: 49.6%
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At the betting market Intrade, Texas Gov. Rick Perry has overtaken Mitt Romney and is now considered the most likely person to win the Republican presidential contest. Mr. Perry is given a 35 percent chance of claiming the nomination as compared to Mr. Romney at 29 percent; Michelle Bachmann is a distant third place and assigned a 9 percent chance of winning.
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News-futures website Intrade...Mr. Perry’s nomination odds reached a high of 33 percent Thursday morning, eclipsing Mr. Romney for the first time. Mr. Romney, trading at 32 percent,..... Mrs. Bachmann’s odds have dropped from highs of 22 percent a few days ago to slightly less than 10 percent after a report by the Daily Caller revealed that she suffered from debilitating migraines.... Bettors give President Obama a 57 percent chance of getting re-elected
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John Delaney, founder and CEO of Intrade, the prediction market, has died while trying to climb Mt. Everest. He was less than 50 meters from the top, according to the Daily Mail. Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/intrade-founder-john-delaney-dies-on-mt-everest-2011-5#ixzz1NWGn2RKK
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I was curious what Intrade was saying about the 2012 GOP race. So I've listed who they are favoring for both the presidential and VP nominations. I am not listing anybody with less than a 4% chance. In descending order: Mitt Romney 25% Tim Pawlenty 12.3% Mitch Daniels 10.9% Mike Huckabee 8.3% Newt Gingrich 6% Sarah Palin 5.5% Jon Huntsman 4.3% Michele Bachmann 4.1% ------------------------------------- For VP: Marco Rubio 24.9% Mike Pence 19.9% Chris Christie 15% John Thune 13% Bobby Jindal 9.8% Sarah Palin 9% Mike Huckabee 7.9% Tim Pawlenty 7.5% Scott Brown 7% Paul Ryan 7% Bob McDonnell 5.5%...
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A few hours ago Christine was trading @ $7 / share on intrade. Now she's up to $15 / share. Biggest jump (more than 100%) on any political race/outcome on intrade today, thus far.
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Prediction market: The Democrats to control the Senate after 2010 Congressional Elections: Last price: 48.9
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Before the primary, this was trading around 85. With O'Donnell, it is now trading at 20. She has a lot of ground to make up.
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LV paper reporting panic in Reid's camp.
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At the moment, Reid is at 50, Angle at 50.5. She's been inching up slowly on him lately, and has finally gone higher than him.
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Prediction market: The Democrats to control the Senate after 2010 Congressional Elections: Last Price: 49.5 Well, well, well....
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Currently Intrade has it plus 8 in the Senate for the GOP and plus 45 GOP for the House. Looking good, but stay vigilent!
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U.S. regulators seized five more troubled banks on Friday, including three banks owned by Bank of Florida Corp, bringing the tally of banks closed so far this year to 78. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp said Bank of Florida - Southeast; Bank of Florida - Southwest; and Bank of Florida - Tampa Bay had a combined $1.48 billion in assets and 13 branches between them. EverBank of Jacksonville, Florida, has agreed to acquire the banking operations, including a combined $1.32 billion in deposits, the FDIC said. In addition, regulators shut Las Vegas-based Sun West Bank. The bank had $360.7 million...
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Mitt Romney has been the frontrunner for several months but Sarah Palin has been steadily climbing and closing the gap. It is essentially dead even, as of today, but for the first time she has a small lead and it is expected she will pull ahead. Intrade represents a type of stock market which trades in predictions regarding outcomes of future events. If you believe that Sarah Palin will be the Republican nominee in 2012, you can purchase a "contract" for the prevailing price, currently 25.8. Romney is currently 26.0. This price is determined by the contact traders themselves (anyone...
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I always check on Intrade, the online trading market because over the long run it has proven to be very accurate and has much better graphics and more buzz than other online markets for politics. As I write this, Intrade predicts a seven-seat gain for Republicans in the Senate. As for House of Representative races, the stock price for Democrats winning has been declining, while the GOP winning stock has been sharply rising. The overall prediction from Intrade stocks is that the Republicans will gain 35 House seats.
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Intrade has the bill passing at 81%, having spiked up over the past 2 days. Watch the HMO stocks as well. If this passes, they should rally pretty hard, which is ironic because Obama uses them as his villain. UNH, WLP, AET are up about 2% in a down market, which also points to more likely than not this debacle passing. Healthcare stocks up (another $2.5 trillion to spend on healthcare!) and everything else down is a realistic result of this thing passing.
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ll 'Obamacare' health care reform become law in the United States? 'Obamacare' health care reform (see contract rules) to become law before midnight ET 30 Jun 2010
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