Free Republic

In case of a tie, the House of Representatives would decide. This favors Trump. But what are the odds? I make a guess...The above map is not contrived or convoluted. It is the current state of affairs except for Nebraska and a small lead for Harris in Nevada, reversed in the above map. However….Please note Republicans Push to Change Nebraska’s Electoral SystemNebraska Republicans are pushing for the state to change its electoral vote process to a winner-take-all system, which could give former President Donald Trump an extra electoral vote in this year’s close presidential race.Nebraska’s all-Republican congressional delegation sent a...

TOP MAINE DEMOCRAT acknowledged on Thursday that there’s likely not enough time to change the state’s Electoral College rules before the election to counterbalance Nebraska Republicans trying to alter their own state’s rules to benefit Donald Trump

Homeland Security on Wednesday officially designated the Electoral College vote count and certification as a special national security event, putting the U.S. Secret Service in charge of security surrounding the process. The move comes in response to the 2021 count, which saw a mob storm the Capitol to try to head off the count that certified President Biden as the winner over former President Donald Trump. The vote counting joins other major events such as the national nominating conventions, presidential inaugurations and the president’s annual State of the Union address.

David Frum did stop short of banging his fists or stamping his feet. But on today's CNN This Morning, the Trump-detesting Canadian could not contain his frustration at the prospect that, thanks to the "probably stupid" rules of the Constitution, Trump could win the election with an Electoral College majority despite losing the popular vote count. Frum was responding to a statement by Edward-Isaac Dovere that some in the Kamala camp believe that if the election were held today, she would lose. Frum began by claiming: "We need to be more specific about what we mean by 'lose." Depends on...

Paul Sperry @paulsperry_ BREAKING: Biden-Harris DHS has designated the Electoral College vote count + certification process as a "National Special Security Event" to prevent another Jan. 6, and has assigned the Secret Service to coordinate and implement a "comprehensive security plan" to respond to riots 10:27 AM · Sep 12, 2024

Since the 2000 presidential election, the left has worked to undermine the legitimacy of the Electoral College, labeling it a relic of slavery. No doubt, if Donald Trump returns to the White House while again losing the popular vote, these attacks will be renewed with fervor. In fact, it has already begun as commentators denounce the undemocratic nature of the system. Just last month, the New York Times published a piece trashing the Constitution and asserting that the Electoral College’s only purpose was to protect slavery. These critiques are based on misconceptions and hostility toward the very structure of our...

OK, so I may have used Twitter some 5 times in the last 10 years or so since I first joined. If anything is worth reading or posting - this is what Free Republic is for. So anyway I go to X.com to see for reference a tweet I posted in 2020. X says I have no posts. AND it says I joined in July 2023. Google tells me that is when Twitter became X. So did X wipe out all my previous Twitter posts? Has this happened to anyone else? Not gonna lose any sleep over this, but just...

Chris Hayes called the Electoral College “a wildly dangerous institution that undermines democracy' MSNBC host Chris Hayes fumed over new poll results showing former President Trump as the favorite to win the Electoral College and therefore the presidency in November. On his X account Friday, the "All in With Chris Hayes" anchor blasted recent poll results from famed pollster Nate Silver showing that Harris would most likely beat Trump in the national popular vote if the election were held today, though Trump would win the Electoral College. "It’s clear as day the Electoral College is, to quote the great Justice...

Last week, two polls revealed that the Virginia election is a tight race within the margin of error. Roanoke College poll showed Kamala Harris leading Trump by just three points, a finding echoed by Quantus poll with the same narrow margin. Virginia, a traditionally blue state that last went Republican in the 2004 presidential election, was looking like a potential Trump pickup before Biden dropped out, however conventional wisdom was that with Kamala Harris topping the ticket, Virginia was no longer in play. That's clearly not true. Is another blue state that looked good for Trump before Biden dropped out...

In my previous Wargaming the Electoral College, the map had barely budged in the 10 days or so since Presidentish Joe Biden was shoved off the top of his ticket by high-ranking members of his own party.That's changed in the last four weeks and not to Donald Trump's advantage. Can Robert F. Kennedy Jr. help change it back?Before I try and answer that — and there might not (yet) be a satisfactory answer — a few quick words about the state of the race and one blue and red map to show you what's changed.According to Polymarket bettors, this really...

ennsylvania is the most important battleground in this year’s election. A former manufacturing powerhouse that has played a pivotal part in the development of American democracy since the colonial era, the Keystone State is today a laboratory for the biggest trends redefining politics: above all, working- and lower-middle-class voters’ shift from the Democratic Party of their forebears to the GOP. Not to the generic Republican Party—to Donald Trump’s party. Summarized briefly, the worldview of this crucial voting bloc goes something like this: The Biden-Harris economy is battering my finances, no matter what the government statistics say; illegal immigration and crime...

https://www.npr.org/2024/08/05/nx-s1-5061729/harris-trump-swing-states-electoral-map With all the doom and gloom over polls showing Kamala with a lead by a few points in the popular vote Donald is in excellent shape to win this currently according to NPR at 268 electoral votes. Putting this in context on this day in 2016 Hillary lead by 4.5 points and in 2020 Joe lead by 9 points. We kinda know how those both went.

“What you have is statistical ties across almost every single recent poll,” said Chris Kofinis, a Democratic strategist and public opinion expert. “Are Democrats discounting the threat that Trump poses even with his series of indictments? Absolutely.” Most political experts believe the 2024 election is likely to be close in terms of the all-important Electoral College and that the number of swing voters will be small. Even in losing, Trump won far more votes than any Republican ever had in battlegrounds such as Arizona, Wisconsin, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan.

So much for the establishment media’s overhype of Democrat presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris: a scientific model published on Tuesday demonstrates that GOP nominee for president former President Donald Trump is heavily favored to win the election. Statistician Nate Silver’s model, which pulls together polls and other data to forecast the probabilities of which candidate will win in November, opens the new race between Trump and Harris with an aggressive prediction of a likely Trump victory. Trump is forecast to have a 61.3-percent chance of winning, while Harris only has a 38.1-percent chance of winning. That means Trump has...

There is only one Democrat who thinks he’s winning or in a good position to win: Joe Biden. Every other member of his party, excluding his Rasputin-like inner circle, knows he’s in trouble. Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA) reportedly told donors that House Democrats face annihilation if the president remains in the race. The polling reflects that the map has only improved for Donald Trump ever since Biden’s abysmal June 27 debate. CNN’s John King’s projection of the 2024 race isn’t just brutal for Joe Biden; it’s also something of an epitaph. We’re sixteen weeks away from Election Day, and with...

Coming soon to a country near you!....................

As leftist prosecutors bring charges against individuals involved in alleged alternate electors in the 2020 election, a resurfaced video of Hollywood actors reveals a striking hypocrisy. The video, dating back to 2016, showed the actors pleading with the Electoral College to overturn Donald Trump’s victory against Hillary Clinton.

For as long as I can remember, the left has been sneering at anyone who points out that the United States is a republic, not a democracy. They find the notion almost as unsophisticated and fascistic as flying a revolutionary-era flag.Even some people I admire dismiss the democracy/republic debate as a semantic distraction. They shouldn’t.The other day, CNN’s Donie O’Sullivan tried to make Trump fans who repeat this factual contention look like a bunch of dumb, lockstepping authoritarians. To explain the problem, CNN even recruited “democracy” expert Anne Applebaum, who noted that, “America is a democracy. It was founded as...

Let’s not beat around the bush. It is more likely than not that Donald Trump will return to the White House next year. Right now, polling averages show Trump with a slight popular vote lead over incumbent President Joe Biden. And, even if Biden overcomes this small deficit, the Electoral College system effectively makes Trump votes count more than Biden votes. Although there may be signs that the Republican Party’s advantage in the Electoral College is fading, that advantage was substantial in the last two presidential elections. Democrat Hillary Clinton beat Trump in 2016 by more than two points in...

RUSH: They weren’t taught about the Founding Fathers. They weren’t taught about the concept of federalism. You can’t understand the Electoral College unless you know what federalism is, and federalism is one of these terms that, in many cases, means the exact opposite of the word as it’s currently applied. The word “federalism” you might think that means federalism trumps everything; federalism means federal domination. It does not mean that. It means the exact opposite, in fact. It means the states are sovereign and the federal government cannot tell ’em what to do in so many different ways. But I...