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In early 2029, Earth will likely lock into breaching key warming threshold, scientists calculate
The Associated Press ^ | October 30, 2023 | BY SETH BORENSTEIN (D-AP)

Posted on 10/30/2023 3:13:35 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

In a little more than five years – sometime in early 2029 – the world will likely be unable to stay below the internationally agreed temperature limit for global warming if it continues to burn fossil fuels at its current rate, a new study says.

The study moves three years closer the date when the world will eventually hit a critical climate threshold, which is an increase of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) since the 1800s.

“It’s not that the fight against climate change will be lost after six years, but I think probably if we’re not already on a strong downward trajectory, it’ll be too late to fight for that 1.5 degree limit,” said study lead author Robin Lamboll, an Imperial College of London climate scientist.

The study in Monday’s journal Nature Climate Change calculates what’s referred to as the remaining “carbon budget,” which is how much fossil fuels the world can burn and still have a 50% chance of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius since pre-industrial times. That is the threshold set by the 2015 Paris agreement.

Even though the carbon budget looks to run out early in the year 2029, that doesn’t mean the world will instantly hit 1.5 degrees warmer than pre-industrial times. The actual temperature change could happen a bit earlier or as much as a decade or two later, but it will happen once the budget runs out, Lamboll said.

(Excerpt) Read more at apnews.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: chat; climatechange; climatechangehoax; fakenews; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; hoax; notnews; propaganda; socialism
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1 posted on 10/30/2023 3:13:35 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

5.3 years left ?


2 posted on 10/30/2023 3:15:49 PM PDT by 11th_VA (<><)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

It’s cute that they base their statistics since the late 1800’s to project where climate is going to go. That’s like using todays weather forecast to predict weather for the next century.


3 posted on 10/30/2023 3:16:07 PM PDT by Vermont Lt (Don’t vote for anyone over 70 years old. Get rid of the geriatric politicians.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

In the year 2929...


4 posted on 10/30/2023 3:16:36 PM PDT by Larry Lucido (Donate! Don't just post clickbait!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

No it won’t, it will be frozen.


5 posted on 10/30/2023 3:18:05 PM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Others say it will be cooling. Whatever it does whatever we do won’t change it. The biggest polluters in the world have no intention of killing their economies in the name of the environment. Only our government and its voters are that stupid


6 posted on 10/30/2023 3:18:54 PM PDT by cableguymn
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

7 posted on 10/30/2023 3:18:57 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

So, you environment nuts, which is it? Fossil fuels, or atomic solutions? Because solar and wind aren’t going to cut it.


8 posted on 10/30/2023 3:19:21 PM PDT by asinclair (What doesn't kill you makes you stronger)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
A new contender in the liars' contest, having not one thing to do with legitimate science or the scientific method.

Trying to scare you and yours into yielding to them more power and control over you and yours.

9 posted on 10/30/2023 3:19:46 PM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never...in nothing, great or small...Winston ChurchIill)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Still peddling the same old scare tactics. Wouldn’t be AP, else.


10 posted on 10/30/2023 3:21:09 PM PDT by Chad C. Mulligan
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Pay me 15 Billion and I’ll fix it for you. No sweat.


11 posted on 10/30/2023 3:21:26 PM PDT by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
"the internationally agreed temperature limit for global warming"..

😄😆😅🤣🤪

12 posted on 10/30/2023 3:24:09 PM PDT by Eagles6 (Welcome to the Matrix . Orwell's "1984" was a warning, not an instruction manual.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

> In a little more than five years – sometime in early 2029 – the world will likely be unable to stay below the internationally agreed temperature limit for global warming… <

Oh, heck. I picked the spring of 2029 for my military coup to take over all the states admitted to the Union while James Buchanan was president (Minnesota, Oregon, and Kansas).

This climate thing is bound to cause huge disruptions in 2029. I guess I’m going to have to rethink my timeline.


13 posted on 10/30/2023 3:24:21 PM PDT by Leaning Right (The steal is real.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

All that scaremongering isn’t working. They went from global warming to climate change to climate disaster to climate catastrophe and people aren’t buying. So now time to up the ante another notch.

Btw whenever you see the phrase “scientists calculate” as in this article, it means it’s BS. If any prediction is based on caclulation, especially of far off events, it’s complete and total BS. Funny how they can’t even ‘calculate’ correctly temperature a week from today but they can predict doom with certainty.


14 posted on 10/30/2023 3:25:03 PM PDT by libh8er
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We’ve got five years, stuck on my eyes
Five years—what a surprise!
We’ve got five years, my brain hurts a lot
Five years—that’s all we’ve got!

15 posted on 10/30/2023 3:25:06 PM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: libh8er

Don’t forget “global boiling”, like Israel-hating António Guterres said earlier this year.


16 posted on 10/30/2023 3:26:16 PM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: asinclair

“So, you environment nuts, which is it? Fossil fuels, or atomic solutions?”

That’s a false dilemma. Their solution is to leave the few of us that survive starving and shivering in caves, like in the good old days.


17 posted on 10/30/2023 3:26:47 PM PDT by rightwingcrazy (;-,)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-of-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions/

These clowns are shameless with their bad predictions.

They should have to pay a million dollar fine every time they pull this garbage.


18 posted on 10/30/2023 3:26:58 PM PDT by cgbg ("Creative minds have always been known to survive any kind of bad training." Anna Freud.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

19 posted on 10/30/2023 3:27:05 PM PDT by Iron Munro (Sun Tzu: An Evil Man Will Burn His Own Nation To The Ground To Rule Over The Ashes. )
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

“Climate doom”! It’s always just a few years out! Yet none of these “forecasters” can correctly predict what the weather will be this coming weekend. Often, they even get their prediction of tomorrow’s weather wrong. Let’s upend our entire society and economy on their predictions that have yet to come true even once.

New York was supposed to be under ice and Miami was supposed to be under water by now. Based on their predictions, I’m supposed to have beach-front property at this time but I’m still over 100 miles from the nearest ocean beach.


20 posted on 10/30/2023 3:28:29 PM PDT by CFW (I will not comply!)
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