Posted on 12/12/2017 3:34:25 PM PST by House Atreides
Alabama votes on Tuesday in a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Jeff Sessions, now the attorney general. The last polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Strong support for Roy S. Moore, the Republican, is expected in rural, mostly white parts of the state and in its northern half. The Democrat, Doug Jones, aims to create a lead in the urban counties that include Birmingham and Montgomery, and across a band of largely black counties.
One critical battleground is a trio of smaller, whiter cities: Mobile, Tuscaloosa and Huntsville. Mr. Moore won a hard race in 2012 by keeping things close there. Mr. Jones hopes to win the cities by a convincing margin.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
What bothers me at this point, is that Birmingham has only 2 of 50 some precincts reporting.
That one area alone could come back to haunt us.
CNN was showing Moore winning 80/20 in many rural counties ...
Reminiscent of Nov ‘16 - the NYT “Election meter” was the one that got it right first for Trump - fingers crossed!!
Ping to 702.
| Votes | Rounded % |
||
| Moore | Rep | 128,025 | 53 |
| Jones | Dem | 112,318 | 46 |
23% reporting (518 of 2,220 precincts)
You better be right!
“Yes! I loved watching CNN last November 2016 when Hillary lost.”
That was great after Foriduh turned around for us.
Moore’s 20,000 ahead. That’s gonna be hard for Birmingham, etc to make up and still beat the rurals.
Hope he’s right!
I’m pretty much ready to call it for Roy Moore with a 4-6% margin. Once you get to 20-25% reporting the established pattern tend to hold unless something very strange happens.
When it’s over, Moore will be lucky to win by 3%.
Or troll the graveyards.
Jones just dropped under 46% ... hard to make it up now ...
I’m sure we are going to see the usual dem tactic of holding back the counts in all the dem counties.
Not even sure who that guy is LOL just wanted to post the tweet :-)
I had mu hunch Trump was going to win, several months before Nov 2016, after attending a Trump rally in Everett, WA which is a solid blue state.
The enthusiasm and energy of the 10,000 inside Xfinity arena and the 8000 outside who could not get in due to fully packed arena, told me why Trump was going to win. That arena had never been packed full in it’s 10 years of existence. So it was a new record! When Trump finished speaking, there were 8000 piled up outside waiting to get in.
We had arrived 3 hours early, and it took 2.5 hours in line several blocks long, to get in.
We know from past experience that the heavy dem areas hold back till the end. Maybe to see if they need to come up with some extra votes.
“The Slimes actually had him losing when their early data came.”
I hate defending the Slimes, but their election night website, for the time being, is pretty good. It’s objective. As districts report their results, they update their predictions based on past elections. There isn’t much, if any, special sauce. Anything you saw “early” was merely some districts reporting early. Quite frankly, you could have seen Trump up by 20% in California on election night with < 1% of the vote totals (even including illegals ;-) ). Small sample size = large margin of error :-).
I think Moore will win this by 10 points so long as the doofuses in the liberal strongholds don’t play their friggin’ idiot reindeer games. He’s up by 8 with 25% of the vote in, but the lib strongholds still need to report.
Jefferson county is not at all just black folks. It has a lot but many hard core rep subs
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