Why a Trump Landslide of Reagan Proportions is coming -vanity

November 7, 2016 | self

[Future Useless Eater]

Real Clear Politics, (RCP) aggregates only the polls its Chicago-based HQ prefers, and as a result it still calls Florida BLUE!
They briefly had Florida RED, until N.C. had to be put in Trump's column. If they also allowed Florida to stay RED,
that would predict Trump's 270 electoral votes and the win, which is something Podesta's 'Rats are desperate to NOT allow before the election.



Everyone realizes Trump should win his own 2nd-home state.
But rigged pollsters tricked Trump in May with phoney Florida polls, which by his own admission caused him to lose Ohio.
And phoney pollsters are trying this again with more rediculous Florida data....

But in reality..

Florida's preference for Trump also surpasses several states that RCP already painted RED...

And Florida's preference for Trump is comparable to these un-disputed states...

There are ALSO these...

The bottom line is that to those of us who study details carefully, this should be a TRUMP LANDSLIDE.
If it is not, then heavy "rigging" has certainly occurred....

Methodology: These charts are my interpetation of data from ISideWith.com, with the following assumptions and adjustments:      
      - Everyone who told ISW their #1 most preferred candidate is Trump or Clinton is assumed to be a likely voter.
      - Trump + Clinton combined shall garner a presumed 90% of all votes cast, so their data is re-weighted to 90%, with 10% presumed for "other".
      - Numerical numbers  in the top right of each chart include a small amount of momentum adjustment since ISW uses 30-day averages.
Notes: ISW does admit it samples slightly more R than D, and I can't tell if they sample an appropriate ratio of Males vs Females,       
        so on most ISW data, I presume their data to be roughly 5% "off" in the GOP's direction.
       ISW data currently consists of 33.4% Democrats / 36.0% Republicans / 30.6 Independents.
       LA Times uses Dem+6 points, plus they over-samples Females by 11 points.
       The actual Nationwide sentiment on Trump vs Clinton may be somewhere between the two polling methods (ISW vs LA Times)
       These charts are intended for educational, and comparison purposes. 
       If you don't agree with this data you can apply for a refund of how much you paid to read this.
       IsideWith daily internet polling data came from here:   https://www.isidewith.com/poll/801555698
FutureUselessEater
FUE

[justlurking]

You have some interesting graphs, but what’s your source of data?

[bgill]

We already voted for Trump but are getting more worried by the minute.

[bgill]

You think he’ll win NM? Never understood why they tend to go blue.

[wny]

this is delusional...

[MplsSteve]

I’m not nearly the statistician you are - but I’m looking at two states, Virginia and Florida. Those are the same two states I looked at back in 2012. I told myself “If Romney has a chance, he needs these two states”.

I was looking at the county by county breakdown for both states and saw that Romney was not performing as well in NoVa and the I-4 corridor. I realized then, that barring a bizarre running of the table in other states, that Romney had lost.

If Trump can win both of those states, he stands a good chance at being elected President. Otherwise, it’ll be a short night.

[proudpapa]

Well done...

I’ve been predicting since the conventions a 40 state win for Trump.

I’ve based this on...

1. Likeability. Who would you rather hangout with at a backyard BBQ?

2. Corruption. I knew at some point the corruption would be revealed. Between wikileaks, Project Veritas and an aggressive Trump calling out Crooked Hillary. It’s been better than imagined.

And finally, Trump is a winner. He doesn’t know how to lose. And he knows how to hire top talent.

[hinckley buzzard]

Makes sense to me.

[Kay]

Fascinating.

Care to post an example graph of a Democrat state, such as California?

[Future Useless Eater]

Care to post an example graph of a Democrat state, such as California?

Its interesting that you asked, because I hadn't realized how poorly Clinton is doing even in the deepest-blue states.

There's a very slim chance for example, that California may even go RED if things turn out better than I had predicted.

Clinton's two strongest pockets of Weiner-c'RATS are D.C. and Massachusetts....

The mismatch between percentages above and below is because, the data above was normalized to (100% Clinton + Trump),
but in my charts it is normalized to (90% Clinton + Trump) leaving 10% of voters presumed to be choosing "Other".

[RitaOK]

Thank you very much. Prayers up...
Good job, there.

[GoldenState_Rose]

TO GOD BE ALL THE GLORY.

[Innovative]

Very interesting. Thanks for posting the info and the ping.

[Voluntaryist]

Incredible! Thank you for the ping :)

[Arthur Wildfire! March]

There is only one way Hillary can possibly win — cheating.

Her crowds are pathetic unless she bribes the audience with entertainers. Kaine held one event where only THREE people waited in line.

[9YearLurker]

Old news—the RCP no-toss-ups has been 272-266 for Clinton since yesterday. And that doesn’t count the 4 votes from NH to get him over the top.

(Or alternate/backup paths with PA, MI (where it is forecast to rain!), NM, CO or VA.)

[corlorde]

Turnout, turnout, tuuuuuurnout!

[Elsie]

Habakkuk 3:17-18 (NIV)

¹⁷ Though the fig tree does not bud
    and there are no grapes on the vines,
though the olive crop fails
    and the fields produce no food,
though there are no sheep in the pen
    and no cattle in the stalls,
¹⁸ yet I will rejoice in the Lord,
    I will be joyful in God my Savior.

[Grampa Dave]

Thanks for the data and the ping!

'Today is our Independence Day!' Trump urges voters to 'close the books on the Clintons'

The verdict of Hillary’s jury will be announced Tuesday evening.

[Grampa Dave]

BOL!

Best comment of the day.

Thanks for your excellent comments/observations during this election.

You are a good new FRiend!

Dave

[OneVike]

Greay work, and I feel a landslide coming.

I guess I know trump will win, but I am hesitant to go crazy on calling it a landslide.

Which is a much better feeling than 2008 and 2012 when I wanted a win and was hesitant to guarantee it.

Today I guarantee a win, and I do believe it will be over 300 EV, but I pray you are right and he wins like Reagan did.

I also pray he has coat tails