But the ABC Propaganda poll has Hillary up by +12.
Who shall we believe?
Some democrat moron on Maria Bartaromo this morning said Trump can’t get more than 38% of the vote. Said Hillary Clinton will beat him like a drum. The two dems, plus Ed Rollins referenced Fox’s latest poll that had Clinton leading Trump in every statistical category, including being seen a “changed agent”. Rollins sounded like a democrat talking. No on ever mentions every single poll drastically oversampling democrats.
Respondents
The survey’s daily results (for those posted on 7/29/16), were based on interviews conducted via Internet panel nationwide and vary daily (400+ target). Top line results for the first day represented a rolling weekly average, or the last seven days, and results will now represent a three-day average. Interviews were NOT conducted on Independence Day (July 4). The number of respondents will grow throughout the cycle and interviews are repeated.
Sample
All responses in the sample should be treated as “opt-in Internet panel” even though a percentage of respondents were specifically targeted based on registration status (more on that below in population). They are still ultimately considered opt-in and we do NOT treat them as a random sample. Respondents either received a mailer, an email, responded to social media ads or a website-based ad, or contacted us through another mode.
During screening or initial interviews, respondents are asked to give their names, contact information (i.e. email and/or phone), as well as the city and zip code where they are registered or plan to register to vote. This is so we can attempt to re-interview, to obtain regional data etc. The information is also used to verify registration status when possible (based on the state) for respondents who were not already identified.
We’ll attempt to contact a respondent for a repeat interview up to 10 times before removing them from the panel.
Population
The top line results are of likely voters, or at least our best estimate of registered voters we view to be most likely to vote based on past voting history, enthusiasm and registration status. We do not includes respondents who report they are not registered during initial interviews in the results, but also don’t immediately remove them as a potential panelist. They may register in the future and we view them as worthy of a follow-up. We do not completely eliminate them and will follow up to reduce the probability we will exclude potential new voters.
I have a theory about polls. Human pollsters are like salespeople; they are only human and will likely overestimate their prospect “before the close”. Polls run by liberals will tend to slant toward their hero because they’ll project their own agenda upon undecided independents or, as most Freepers know anyway, will simply falsify data to what they perceive is their advantage. I’m fine with that because I think it will backfire, drastically in terms of voter turnout.
THe Push polls have begun their traditional foolishness.
Trump will gain this coming week. I think the truer picture is that Trump is actually at 51% , pulling away from Clinton who is at 42 %
That’s why the MSM and the talking heads are doing all of their caterwauling. They are over the top desperate.shrill , propagandists gone amuck.
I saw one talking head this morning say to a Trump Campaign manager, “How do you sleep at night. I won’t let my kids watch Trump on TV!”
What a laugh.
Governance by emotion and traducing of logic. That s actually fascist.
Probably about right - and half of that Johnson/undecided vote will actually go to Trump, and half the Johnson/undecided/Stein vote will stay home. That 42% for Hillary has been seen in so many polls that it is starting to look like a ceiling.
Listening to MSM sources, whether their tired Sunday morning shows, their dumb @$$ evening news, and whatever other putrid pseudo news offerings - is the equivalent to inserting glass shards in your ears. You want to listen to garbage good luck because garbage in, garbage out.
Those numbers show Stein at 4.2%, doing better than her customary 2-3%.
Those stats sure seem to show how these 3rd party voters could influence the election.
Together Johnson and Stein are about 11% of the vote, so, a number of those voters are surely, not solid in their support of Johnson or Stein.
Can somebody please forward this to Trump’s dipsh*t campaign manager Kellyanne Conway.
Undecideds will break 3-4 to 1 at least Trump
We are going to win. This is Brexit. TRUMPEXIT from globalism. HE IS THE GREATEST American since George Washington by far!! Go trump.
So why is Kellyanne saying they are behind? Is she the GOPe mole that Conservative Treehouse has always alleged she was?