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The first post-hot mic poll is out, and it suggests that Donald Trump is in deep, deep trouble
The Washington Post ^ | October 10th, 2016 | By Philip Bump

Posted on 10/10/2016 5:04:46 PM PDT by Mariner

Even before The Washington Post reported on a 2005 recording of Donald Trump making crude comments about exploiting his celebrity to sexually assault women, Hillary Clinton's campaign was on the upswing. Her strong performance in the first presidential debate had pushed her national polling numbers up fairly quickly. Not as quickly as after the party conventions, mind you, but even before a new NBC-Wall Street Journal poll released on Monday, she led by about five points.

Then the new poll came out. As always, one poll could be an outlier. This poll has a relatively high margin of error of about 4.6 percent. It's always worth being cautious until more polls come in. But with all of those asterisks applied, the results of the poll are dramatic.

Clinton leads Trump in a four-way contest by 11 points with likely voters. In a one-on-one race, she leads by 14. That's up from their last polls by five and seven points, respectively.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; bias; compost; grope; scampoll; skewedpolls
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To: Mariner

This was a setup with Ryan and the RINos partnering with Hillary . Ryan had a copy of the tape , even before he endorsed Donald . So this just a theory , but they hatched a plan months ago to endorse Trump as appear to be in unity with the party knowing full well of the tape, and others to come that will drop. Ryan knew it was coming, and his plan all along was to lead a rebellion after its release and take the moral right with him so as to insure a Hillary win as to maintain the Washington gravy train of foreign money .. The phony polls, are just all part of the plan as to create a narrative that Ryan is leading a revolt ...but Too bad their plans are going to be a failure , like every other take down of Trump, it just backfires because the Washington insiders have no clue of how the electorate can see right through their lies.


41 posted on 10/10/2016 5:26:05 PM PDT by seastay
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To: tuffydoodle
If Clinton wins, WE lose.

At least we'll know where we stand.

42 posted on 10/10/2016 5:26:52 PM PDT by Drew68
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To: TMA62
Registered voters, which is the least accurate of any poll.

It's better than "adults." Slightly better.

43 posted on 10/10/2016 5:27:40 PM PDT by Future Snake Eater (CrossFit.com)
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
Just down the linked page, Compost links the article "Two-thirds of independents say the lewd Trump video isn’t a big deal. But …"

So what is it? You can tell they are lying when they can't get their story straight. "We didn't steal any cookies and besides it was Jimmy's idea."

44 posted on 10/10/2016 5:29:18 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Mariner

I can’t wait to see the post-debate polls.


45 posted on 10/10/2016 5:29:19 PM PDT by Future Snake Eater (CrossFit.com)
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To: Mariner
I think it is important to realize eventually skewed polls is the only weapon they will have left.
They will outright lie.
Now, the thing to do is to stay on issues that win for Trump.
As for this one issue of Trump perhaps being a male chauvinist pig, it pales in comparison to Hillary's hypocrisy of claiming to champion for woman while, purposefully and calculatingly enabling her rapist husband and threatening his victims.

Trump is not that man anymore, but she is still that woman! There will probably be more tapes and or accusations coming up, I am sure, but he is defensible by by admission of a sordid past and asking Americans for forgiveness, she will not be.

Eventually Hillary's campaign will figure out that it does not help them.

46 posted on 10/10/2016 5:29:41 PM PDT by right way right (May we remain sober over mere men, for God really is our one and only true hope.)
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To: Mariner
The same polling outfit that had Ben Carson ahead nationally in the primaries while Trump was leading in every other poll?

Funny, Trump gained ground yesterday in the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll.

47 posted on 10/10/2016 5:29:50 PM PDT by Kazan (Trump: Pit bull, Hillary: Pound of hamburger)
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To: Mariner

These polls are BS. Not talking “margin of error” BS, I’m talking about flat-out falsification and manipulation of the data.

You say it’s not? I say “Prove it’s not”. My assertion that it’s rigged is just as valid as anyone’s claim that it is legit. They flat-out made up data to support climate change and I say they’re doing it right now.

Forget all polls. Yes, even if they favor Trump. Put your faith in polls when they are favorable and you’ll have no choice but to believe them when they switch on the Phony Fact Machine and start just making crap up.


48 posted on 10/10/2016 5:32:02 PM PDT by bigbob (The Hillary indictment will have to come from us.)
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To: soycd
Looks like America likes democrats like teddy the swimmer and his female drowned victim. They can have them if they feel so strongly.

Fifty years of allowing the Democrats to import voters from the Third World is not without consequences.

49 posted on 10/10/2016 5:32:11 PM PDT by Drew68
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To: Mariner
Does anybody remember the early days of the Clinton administration when WJC refused to release his medical records to the WH physician, who then refused to administer an injection (purportedly B-12) without looking at the medical history of the new President?

Seems Clinton had refused to release his full medical records. Only two brief and evasive "summaries" had been shown to the press.

On the David Brinkley TV show, reporter Sam Donaldson repeated White House Press Secretary Mike McCurry's observation..... that Clinton had not revealed his complete medical records because it would be "embarrasing."

Sensing his poor choice of words, McCurry hurriedly changed that word to "confidential."

Compounding McCurry's blunder, Clinton immediately released a statement claiming to have taken both an AIDS and venereal disease test.

Absent from the long list of diseases NOT afflicting Clinton was DRUG ADDICTION AND CONDITIONS RELATED TO DRUG ADDICTION.

50 posted on 10/10/2016 5:34:23 PM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing penetrates it.)
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To: Mariner

“don’t be under the illusion”

You seem very concerned. Glad you are here to dispel our illusions with your Washington Post opinion pieces.


51 posted on 10/10/2016 5:35:31 PM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: aquila48
"Aftwr the second debate, this is ancient history."

Pretty much.

Pollster (young, female voice): "Trump said something really, really awful. He said "*****". Are you going to vote for him?" Polled: "Trump who?"

I would take any poll that includes in its sample any data obtained prior to this evening with several pounds of salt.

52 posted on 10/10/2016 5:36:28 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Mariner

comPost is trying to sell this as “PussyGate” effect.

It isn’t. 500 registered voters. For NBC. IMMEDIATELY after the tapes hit the news. Nothing but a push poll.

BTW, I think the panic among RINOs is because they’ve been told more Trump crap is going to come out.

Let’s not go wobbly.


53 posted on 10/10/2016 5:37:34 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

One lame attempt to change the narrative away from Donald Trump destroying Hillary in the 2nd debate.


54 posted on 10/10/2016 5:39:59 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Helicondelta

That’s an unfounded allusion to facts not in evidence.


55 posted on 10/10/2016 5:40:41 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

Trump is in deep, deep trouble?

He had two record capacity crowds in PA today.

Deep trouble, LOL! Jeff Bezos’s goons can go f*ck themselves.


56 posted on 10/10/2016 5:41:53 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Mariner

“facts not in evidence”
____________

Democrats clearly in denial and Brian Williams alluded to that today suggesting maybe the MSM is delusional.


57 posted on 10/10/2016 5:44:04 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: seastay
"This was a setup with Ryan and the RINos partnering with Hillary".

It was most certainly a hit job by the Republican Party.

58 posted on 10/10/2016 5:44:50 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

Philip Bump and Charles Blow should get together and take turns twerking each other.


59 posted on 10/10/2016 5:46:49 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (I had a cool idea for a new tagline and I forgot it!)
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To: Mariner

NO she doesn’t.

This manufactured narrative brought to you by Communists and Traitors for Cinton.


60 posted on 10/10/2016 5:48:20 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (28 days: Until Presdient Pre-elect becomes President Elect Donald J. Trump. Help is on the way!)
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