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The first post-hot mic poll is out, and it suggests that Donald Trump is in deep, deep trouble
The Washington Post ^ | October 10th, 2016 | By Philip Bump

Posted on 10/10/2016 5:04:46 PM PDT by Mariner

Even before The Washington Post reported on a 2005 recording of Donald Trump making crude comments about exploiting his celebrity to sexually assault women, Hillary Clinton's campaign was on the upswing. Her strong performance in the first presidential debate had pushed her national polling numbers up fairly quickly. Not as quickly as after the party conventions, mind you, but even before a new NBC-Wall Street Journal poll released on Monday, she led by about five points.

Then the new poll came out. As always, one poll could be an outlier. This poll has a relatively high margin of error of about 4.6 percent. It's always worth being cautious until more polls come in. But with all of those asterisks applied, the results of the poll are dramatic.

Clinton leads Trump in a four-way contest by 11 points with likely voters. In a one-on-one race, she leads by 14. That's up from their last polls by five and seven points, respectively.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; bias; compost; grope; scampoll; skewedpolls
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While the data is obviously skewed, don't be under the illusion that Trump did not suffer major losses since the first debate.

Work harder. Don't patronize, but help women understand why Trump is their best choice.

1 posted on 10/10/2016 5:04:46 PM PDT by Mariner
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To: Mariner

The comPost.


2 posted on 10/10/2016 5:05:28 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: Mariner

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3NcPmrljQ3c#action=share
He said Pu$$y!


3 posted on 10/10/2016 5:05:31 PM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: Mariner

Nobody on Facebook is not voting for Trump.


4 posted on 10/10/2016 5:06:28 PM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: Mariner

Washington Post is part of the Grubering Democrat media.


5 posted on 10/10/2016 5:06:33 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Why isn’t she leading by 50 points?


6 posted on 10/10/2016 5:08:49 PM PDT by 17th Miss Regt
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To: Mariner

The Ministry of Propaganda is working overtime to get as much mileage as they can from the “pussy” tape.

I don’t believe their skewed polls.


7 posted on 10/10/2016 5:08:59 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam , Know Peace)
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To: Mariner

Aftwr the second debate, this is ancient history.


8 posted on 10/10/2016 5:09:14 PM PDT by aquila48
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To: Mariner

could not find a link to the poll....


9 posted on 10/10/2016 5:09:23 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Mariner; All
Breitbart wrote last year about Bump’s massive credibility problem.
10 posted on 10/10/2016 5:09:36 PM PDT by Olog-hai
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To: Mariner

Looks like America likes democrats like teddy the swimmer and his female drowned victim. They can have them if they feel so strongly.

I won’t be urinating on them even if they are on fire. Ain’t got time for their ignorance. The offspring will have to try harder.


11 posted on 10/10/2016 5:10:04 PM PDT by soycd
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To: Mariner

I work with 85% women. Every single woman I know is voting Trump. Hillary sickens them to their core.


12 posted on 10/10/2016 5:10:49 PM PDT by farming pharmer (www.sterlingheightsreport.com)
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To: Mariner

“While the data is obviously skewed, don’t be under the illusion that Trump did not suffer major losses since the first debate. Work harder. Don’t patronize, but help women understand why Trump is their best choice. “

I agree with your assessment, but I also think it’s important to consider the insidious effects of bias. In science, if you are comparing data from group A with group B, it’s important that the person doing the measurements and the assessments both are unbiased. To ensure this, high level science requires that the data be collected in a ‘blinded’ fashion (don’t know which group the data belongs to), and that the assessment/statistical analysis also be done in a ‘blinded’ fashion. It doesn’t appear that this is how these polls are conducted, so there is no way to ensure that there isn’t intrinsic bias in polling.


13 posted on 10/10/2016 5:11:05 PM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: Mariner

If Clinton wins, WE lose.


14 posted on 10/10/2016 5:11:16 PM PDT by tuffydoodle ("Never underestimate the total depravity of the average human being.")
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To: Mariner

Cherry picking one poll. I can find a poll with Trump increasing his lead.


15 posted on 10/10/2016 5:12:12 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Mariner

This poll is fake

It takes weeks for a poll to reflect an event

Not hours like these fools have you believe

The numbers are bogus

Nice try Compost


16 posted on 10/10/2016 5:12:20 PM PDT by arl295
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To: Olog-hai

Who is Bump?


17 posted on 10/10/2016 5:12:47 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: akalinin

Who are all those fools calling CSPAN?

Democrat operatives?


18 posted on 10/10/2016 5:13:09 PM PDT by Califreak (Vote for Batman!)
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To: Mariner

Isn’t WaPo the news bunch that Trump banned from his rallies for telling lies in their coverage?


19 posted on 10/10/2016 5:14:01 PM PDT by FrankR (You're only enslaved to the extent of the charity that you receive!)
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To: Mariner

That NBC ‘poll’ sampled 500 registered voters. Thats right. Registered voters, which is the least accurate of any poll. Why aren’t they polling LV especially this late in the game? The answer is obvious.


20 posted on 10/10/2016 5:14:11 PM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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