Posted on 09/22/2016 3:42:54 AM PDT by PapaBear3625
see chart at site
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
I don’t get excited when Trump is a little bit up, and don’t get depressed when he’s a little down.
The trend is our friend.
No jpeg, it’s over, Trump is doomed. Didn’t you get the memo.
Your conclusions could not be more wrong. No data what so ever to support this theory. Why then in 2008 with terrorism still in mind did people vote for Obama? Also look at immediately after WWII, the Brits threw out Churchill. I hate to comment in polls threads, full of moronic handwringers, who clutch at any shred of negativity to bolster their sh*tty attitude about life.
Ras: Trump +5, biggest lead yet
What's changed?-- Iowa (6) moves from from "battleground" to "lean Republican"
-- Utah (6) moves from "lean Republican" to "solid Republican"
-- Maine's 2nd Congressional District (1) moves from "solid Democrat" to "battleground"
-- Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District (1) moves from "solid Republican" to "battleground"
I hate to comment in polls threads, full of moronic handwringers, who clutch at any shred of negativity to bolster their sh*tty attitude about life.
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BRAVO!!!!!
What will totally innoculate against this charge once and for all?
1. Perhaps if it is reframed as he acts while others freeze and get disoriented.
2. Trump fights while others cower
3. Active beats passive
4. Advisors are good but a leader must be able to read signs/trends with clarity in emergent events
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All the above proven in one statement by General Patton:
“I would rather have a good plan TODAY, than a perfect plan three weeks from now.”
States poll.com which looks at samples for real world breakdowns, adjusts this to just over 5 today-—right where Rasmussen is.
Yep...Trump and Patton
Cast from the same mold
Unadjusted: Trump has an expected value of 256.9 electoral votes, with a 43% probability of getting 270 or more.
Adjusted: Trump has an expected value of 266.5 electoral votes, with a 50% probability of getting 270 or more.
-PJ
Fear based, for sure, fear of the American people!
Tough tone from you. You misinterpreted my post. My point about terrorist attacks and natural disasters refers to the immediate (within 1-2 weeks) aftermath and sentiment — not towards the long term feelings after these events pass into more distant memory. Your examples of 2008 and WWII are more akin to the “climate” and not the “weather”. Further, there were other extenuating factors (e.g., a stock market meltdown) in 2008, for example, that mitigated any fearful mood surrounding terrorism.
Is Charlotte like Dallas now heavily Democrat; once were both Republican cities c. 1980.
Yeah, but I thought the state polls lag the national poll. Meaning in a few days they’ll start going south in Trump and possibly have some of them flip to Hillary.
That’s the dilemma isn’t it? As with formerly Republican states, conservative (or at least non-liberal) governance creates an appealing place to work and live, then lots of liberals move in and bring their politics with them. Add in mass immigration and its importation of natural Democrats, and then it’s not a Republican city or state any more.
I’ve already got him at 272. Are you including CO and NM? Recent polls in both are solid Trump.
However, 538 just posted a Colorado poll today from Franklin and Marshal College that is Clinton +9% (44%-35%) from 9/14 to 9/18!
-PJ
Reuters had Trump up in CO. There was a third, up by 2+ or more.
Oh, I think also Insights West had CO in Trump’s column.
I believe so. At any rate, a thousand times better than Clinton.
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