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To: LS

I entered all the new polls from RCP this morning into my model, and then compared it to a copy using all the statespoll.com adjustments for September polls.

Unadjusted: Trump has an expected value of 256.9 electoral votes, with a 43% probability of getting 270 or more.

Adjusted: Trump has an expected value of 266.5 electoral votes, with a 50% probability of getting 270 or more.

-PJ

50 posted on 09/22/2016 7:27:02 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)

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To: Political Junkie Too

I’ve already got him at 272. Are you including CO and NM? Recent polls in both are solid Trump.

56 posted on 09/22/2016 7:54:14 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))

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