Posted on 09/20/2016 4:21:00 AM PDT by PapaBear3625
see link
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
That’s a bold assessment 50 days out with things swinging back and forth. We shall see what happens.
The debates will be crucial
Blacks aren’t going to show for rallies and kids didn’t show for obummer’s rally last time and he got their vote big.
I dont think rallies determine who’s winning very well at all.
I think Trump is ahead, but the size of rallies is not a scientific method in the least.
Not at all. Cool technology though.... No one matches paper ballots to early voting as far as I know
People have made up their minds about Trump.
I see very few going for Hillary regardless of whether or not she shows up at the debates.
Even if she shows up, the only way race could be turned around is if Trump gets KO’ed or he implodes in a meltdown on TV.
Not likely to happen. If its a draw, I expect Trump to win.
Agreed
From your mouth to God’s ear!!!
Its over.
Hillary’s candidacy was deep sixed by 9/11 and then by her lies about her health condition.
Not to mention her insulting half the country with her Deplorables riff.
That’s tough to recover from and Hillary is seemingly phoning it in.
I’m an oddball. I KNOW who I’m voting for so why do I need to go to a rally? Or listen to hundreds of speeches?
What appals me is people over 30 who STILL dont know what they stand for.
Thanks for adding it! It needs to be repeated.
I don't put much stock in even the weekly movement shown by this poll. We know the individuals shift over time (N increase and decrease), which is part of the cause of some of the quick daily shifts. Those sudden daily shifts give me the heebie-jeebies, for exactly the reason you outlined. A big shift in one day means there was a HUGE shift in one sample.
I notice the pollster has revised the graphs so the hover shows "n" for each group. I appreciate that change.
IF I could only be sure that the majority of the country aren’t moochers and/or morons and/or A@@holes.
I would feel better.
Maybe that’s because so many of the RAT voters avoid rallies because they aren’t real live people.
States poll.com analyzes all polls for sample: this one got some of the samples off and he has this as really a 7 point spread now
I’m not going to get too excited by a one-day up, nor depressed by a one-day dip. The long-term trend is what’s important.
The poll on Survey monkey is pure BS. A basic look at the Demos show a 36/28/36 split for D/R/I. Trump still gets 39% with those Demos. I have been saving for a long time that Hillary can not break 32% in a 4 way race. I must adjust because I don’t think she can reach 42% anymore with an accurate poll.
On that internals table, the number of Hispanics polled looks low to me as a percentage of the voting population.
This poll was D+8. The prior “Monkey poll was D+6. Theres your two points. Pretty soon it will be a D+20 poll to save Hillary’s reputation. Not going to work. Too many Freepers(and others) are following and analyzing.
As I’ve said before, it drives the control-freak Clintonistas nuts because they can’t control the timing and issue their patented pre-defense (ie they know what’s coming so they sow their alibis beforehand).
The debates will be a farce because the media will ask ludicrous questions based on even worse premises that confirm the thickness of the bubble in which they live.
But Trump is no fool and has already demonstrated that he can dispense with their unctuous nonsense and say what he wants. Contrast this with McCain and Romney who suffered the delusion that the moderator wanted a proper answer to a silly question.
A healthy Hillary will remind people how much they dislike her.
A sick Hillary will be regarded as such no matter what she says.
Ping-A-Palooza!...................
Trump’s outreach to African-Americans was very effective and brilliant. He needs to keep it up. There’s a reason Illary and the media brought up the birther issue. What else does wikileaks have? How I wish Wikipedia would produce an email of Illary calling Obama a name.
Wikileaks not Wikipedia, I meant.
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