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Posted on 04/19/2016 3:01:55 PM PDT by Biggirl
New York State Primary Election Thread For Both Lurking And Posting.
What time do polls close in NY?
If anyone cares - there’s been a live thread since 4:00 in the morning.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3422377/posts
They won’t close on time...some wacko judge will allow more voting...after all, they need to figure out how many votes they need. Dibold machines need to be tweaked.
this thread for tonight too
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3422377/posts
9 pm Eastern.
Strange hours if this is correct.
Primary Elections
In New York City and the counties of Nassau, Suffolk, Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Putnam and Erie,
POLLS OPEN AT 6 AM - CLOSE AT 9 PM.
In all other counties,
POLLS OPEN AT 12 NOON and CLOSE AT 9 PM.
General Election
POLLS OPEN AT 6 AM - CLOSE AT 9 PM
http://www.elections.ny.gov/FAQ.html
Thank-you!
Been looking for that thread. It seems threads do not appear unless it is PINGED.
So many threads! Are we unraveling?
BookMark
Polls in NY close at 9PM EST
I do think the judges stay “silent” on this one.
I think they are scheduled to close at 9PM Eastern. Which is 7 PM here in Idaho.
But it sounds like turnout may by really big...which means they may close late.
As I FReep - there are 3 live threads now.
Probably 2-3 more to go.
And yes - all these people did use search.
That is the safe-space, pro-Trump rally thread at his hotel where Cruz supporters are not to tread. Actually it’s a bunch of hens trading recipes.
The real numbers to watch tonight, at this stage of the election cycle, will be a candidate’s final actual vote percentage vs their predicted poll numbers.
Any major shift indicative of “overly verbal non-voters.”
Also known as the “Jessie Jackson Factor”
Ooops. Live thread is now a Dead Thread.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3422651/posts?page=3
What you need to know about New York
1) New York is a modified winner-takes-all-state that requires a candidate to get a majority of the vote (50%+1) to take all of the delegates from either the statewide delegation (14 delegates) or a Congressional District (3 delegates in each of 27 of NY’s districts).
2) If Trump fails to get to 50%+1 statewide, the 14 statewide delegates will be apportioned proportionally between Trump and any candidate that gets 20% or more of the state vote. Ted Cruz is below 20% statewide in a lot of polls.
3) If Trump fails to get to 50%+1 in any Congressional District, Trump will get 2 delegates and the 2nd place finisher will get 1 delegate, so long as they notch 20% of the vote.
4) 0ptimus Research published an in-depth poll of New York (likely a Kasich coordinated internal). Trump had a commanding lead in all 27 of NY’s Congressional Districts.
5) However, there were a number of CDs in the poll where Trump was “vulnerable.” and polled < 50%. They are as follows:
Pro-Kasich CD 7 (Brooklyn), CD 12 (Manhattan. Queens), CD 13 (Manhattan, Bronx), CD 15 (South Bronx), CD 16 (North Bronx/Southern Westchester), CD 19 (Hudson Valley), CD 20 (Albany), CD 21 (Watertown, Plattsburgh, Adirondacks), CD 22 (Rome, Utica, Southern Tier), CD 23 (SW NY, Ithaca, Corning, Fredonia), CD 24 (Syracuse), CD 25 (Rochester), CD 26 (Buffalo), CD 27 (Buffalo Suburbs)
Pro-Cruz CD 9 (Brooklyn) CD 10 (Brooklyn/Manhattan)
6) Remember, most of these polls did not collapse the undecideds. 0ptimus did not push the undecideds that hard and had Trump <50% (the only poll that did so). The released the poll with 13% undecided.
When 0ptimus pushed the undecideds, the undecideds fell to 9% and Trump had 51% of the vote.
The other polls favor a push into the mid-50s for Trump.
7) The closer you get to 60% the closer Trump gets to grabbing all 95 delegates. A safe assumption if the polling is correct is that Trump should get roughly 80-90 of the delegates at the RCP average of 53%.
Handy Links
New York State Board of Elections (includes breakdown by CD)
CNN Results/Exit Poll
Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk
New York Times Exit Poll/Results (has D and R Totals on same page)
Real Clear Politics NY Average
The Green Papers (likely breakdown by CD)
All three candidates will net fewer votes if the polls included independents and Rs who just thought they were correctly registered to vote.
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