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Opinion Savvy Poll: Trump, Cruz, Rubio in Iowa Dead Heat Trump 20 Cruz 19 Rubio 19
Newsmax ^

Posted on 01/31/2016 7:24:23 PM PST by springwater13

Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are in a statistical dead heat in the latest poll of likely Republican caucus-goers by Opinion Savvy, which shows less than 2 points separating first from third — well within the margin of error.

Here's how the candidates line up in the poll: • Donald Trump: 20.1 percent • Ted Cruz: 19.4 • Marco Rubio: 18.6 • Ben Carson: 9.0 • Rand Paul: 8.6 • Jeb Bush: 4.9 • Mike Huckabee: 4.4 • John Kasich: 4.0 • Carly Fiorina: 3.8 • Chris Christie: 3.0 • Rick Santorum: 2.1 • Undecided: 2.2

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Canada; Cuba; US: Florida; US: Iowa; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; canada; canadian; cruz; cuba; election2016; eneligible; ineligible; newyork; tedcruz; texas; trump
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Twitter is going crazy about this poll. The thing to know about it is that they used a VERY TIGHT screen. They only included people that said they were "definite" caucus goers and then they included a second question asking where there caucus location was. If they didn't know, they were removed from the sample.

This understates Trump's support. And could show late movement from Cruz to Rubio thanks to the mailer scandal. I guess we'll see tomorrow. It would be crazy if Rubio won though. Free Republic would meltdown I think.

1 posted on 01/31/2016 7:24:23 PM PST by springwater13
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To: springwater13

Holy cow. I think it might be Trump - Rubio - Cruz. Talk about another Christmas Morning. It would be an embarrassment of riches. And if Carson somehow gets 3 and Cruz gets 4..........woh.


2 posted on 01/31/2016 7:26:02 PM PST by napscoordinator
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To: springwater13

After months of “ground game” threads, has anyone said anything about Rubio’s?

Not that I’ve seen.


3 posted on 01/31/2016 7:26:12 PM PST by datura (Proud Infidel)
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To: springwater13

Do Rubio and Trump have thousands of volunteers calling people as we speak to encourage caucusing? Cruz does.


4 posted on 01/31/2016 7:26:40 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: springwater13
All the other Trump polls say : 33.1 39.0 34.0 33.0 31.0 30.0 32.0 31.0 31.0 28.0 34.0
This one 20.1 Is someone drunk?
5 posted on 01/31/2016 7:27:08 PM PST by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: springwater13

LOL ..There is no way Jeb is at 4.9% ... something is very wrong with this poll ...


6 posted on 01/31/2016 7:27:34 PM PST by Neu Pragmatist (Trump is the only one who will secure our borders . Vote Trump)
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To: springwater13

Even if the magnetic poles switched tomorrow and Rubio won Iowa, do you really think he’ll go any further?


7 posted on 01/31/2016 7:27:51 PM PST by txnativegop (Tired of liberals, even a few in my own family.)
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To: datura

There’s a young guy sitting in a strip mall in Ankeny, vaping and eating a slice of Casey’s pizza. That ground game?


8 posted on 01/31/2016 7:28:32 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: springwater13

This is a majorly flawed poll. Not possible that Trump is at 20% in Iowa. Just stupid.


9 posted on 01/31/2016 7:28:49 PM PST by TexasCruzin ( He always hits back.)
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To: Neu Pragmatist

Rubio 19% ? I find it hard to believe that 19% of Iowan Repubs. are morons .


10 posted on 01/31/2016 7:28:58 PM PST by sushiman
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To: Neu Pragmatist

Iowa still has some Ripon Republicans.


11 posted on 01/31/2016 7:29:20 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: springwater13

Fox would be all over themselves if Rubio made a good showing. They’ve been pushing him. Of course I’ll never know, as I quit watching.


12 posted on 01/31/2016 7:30:32 PM PST by JudyinCanada
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To: springwater13

I think the debate had more of an impact than the flyer.


13 posted on 01/31/2016 7:30:42 PM PST by hawkaw
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

In this day and age, that’s about as efficient as having an outhouse instead if indoor plumbing.


14 posted on 01/31/2016 7:30:47 PM PST by DoughtyOne (the Free Republic Caucus: what FReepers are thinking, 100s or 1000s of them. It's up to you.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yes Trump caucus goers are getting calls and emails.


15 posted on 01/31/2016 7:30:57 PM PST by TexasCruzin ( He always hits back.)
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To: napscoordinator

19 for Rubio. What kind of morons live in Iowa?


16 posted on 01/31/2016 7:32:19 PM PST by School of Rational Thought
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To: springwater13

Interesting. We shall see.


17 posted on 01/31/2016 7:33:14 PM PST by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittancez)
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To: School of Rational Thought

I know. They are really on a Rubiomentum right now. He probably will get over 20 percent. However, he is easier to take out then Cruz so let’s destroy Cruz tomorrow and then Trump can go after Rubio next week before New Hampshire. I want Cruz to drop out February 2nd and Rubio February 9th.


18 posted on 01/31/2016 7:34:25 PM PST by napscoordinator
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To: School of Rational Thought

Trump: “How stupid are the people of Iowa?” Trump will win Iowa.


19 posted on 01/31/2016 7:34:34 PM PST by TexasCruzin ( He always hits back.)
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To: TexasCruzin

I never claimed they weren’t.


20 posted on 01/31/2016 7:34:47 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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