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Donald Trump is the favorite to be the Republican nominee. Period.
WP ^ | January 22, 2016 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 01/24/2016 4:32:39 AM PST by GonzoII

The Iowa caucuses are 10 days from Friday. And Donald Trump, the larger-than-life real estate reality star, is -- still -- the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination. Not only has Trump not disappeared or imploded -- as everyone everywhere predicted he would -- he appears to be getting stronger in both early-state and national polling as actual votes draw closer.

At this point, Trump's path to putting the nomination away quickly is far easier than the one Hillary Clinton must travel to capture the Democratic nomination. That doesn't mean Trump is a sure thing just yet, but he has, without question, the best chance of any Republican running to claim the party's top prize.

Below, my latest rankings of the six men who have a realistic-to-semi-realistic chance of winning the GOP nomination. If your preferred candidate's name isn't on the list, it's because they, well, aren't going to win.


(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia; US: Iowa; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; chriscillizza; districtofcolumbia; election2016; elections; immigration; iowa; newyork; trump; trumpwasright; washingtoncompost; washingtonpost
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To: BushCountry

Do you really think GOPe voter types will rally behind Cruz?


81 posted on 01/24/2016 7:07:00 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: GonzoII

He has to be considered the favorite, yes, at this point.

But favorites don’t always win. In fact, favorites losing is not an uncommon occurrence. Remember, NOT A SINGLE VOTE HAS YET BEEN CAST.


82 posted on 01/24/2016 7:08:43 AM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: HoustonSam
Excellent. You stated very clearly what many are feeling. I have been watching and waiting for Trump to grow out of his adolescent NYC blustery tycoon persona and emerge as a credible statesman.

If he can do that, and I believe he will, we will have the right man fir the job.

83 posted on 01/24/2016 7:19:47 AM PST by Awgie (truth is always stranger than fiction)
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To: Bulwyf

I think he stands for his Slovenkian wife who probably gets it on Islam.


84 posted on 01/24/2016 7:36:55 AM PST by magna carta
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To: 9YearLurker

Don’t know about the GOPe vote, but there are a lot of the Christian Right in the mix I mentioned. I suspect Cruz would get the majority of these votes.

Again it would be stupid to say that Donald did not have the clear advantage now. All I am saying is that it might be closer than first blush. What I don’t understand is why the losers are still sticking around.


85 posted on 01/24/2016 7:39:19 AM PST by BushCountry (Studies show that one out of three Liberals are as stupid as the other two.)
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To: Caipirabob

Exactly, we don’t want Trump trampling our rights or safety because he wants to build a legacy to satiate his massive ego. That said I will probably vote for him if he’s the nominee. I know the Democrats can’t ever be trusted. It’s who they are.


86 posted on 01/24/2016 7:55:39 AM PST by Crucial (At the heart all leftidsts s the fear that the truth is bigger than themselves.)
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To: toddausauras
Ha...Stand by for "The Office of the Presumptive President Elect...at 1100 Pennsylvania Ave

(...is that Ted down there in front ....^...with a bucket collecting donations......../snicker)

87 posted on 01/24/2016 8:20:26 AM PST by spokeshave (Happy Christmas and a New Year that Trumps all.)
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To: Bulwyf

Well said.


88 posted on 01/24/2016 8:25:25 AM PST by ConservativeMind ("Humane" = "Don't pen up pets or eat meat, but allow infanticide, abortion, and euthanasia.")
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To: LS

Yup been that way for awhile. Now since we’re on the eve of the elections reality has come into focus with media crowd.


89 posted on 01/24/2016 9:01:28 AM PST by Red Steel (Ted Cruz: 'I'm a Big Fan of Donald Trump')
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To: Red Steel

The NRO types are really angry today. The “stupid voter” phrase will be Yuge in vogue.

My concern is that Trump understand he needs a team in place NOW to be ready for the transition to Pres. in November to be ready to affect the FY82-83 budget in March of 2017. And he will be besieged by tons of GOPe types who, all of a sudden, want a job and threaten to stop any real change dead in its tracks.


90 posted on 01/24/2016 9:06:29 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Theodore R.

How do you know what people want to hear? I speak with God every day. So does my wife. So do dozens of people I know. It’s just presumptuous to think that everyone out there somehow doesn’t want to know God.

George Barna did a study 20 years ago to find out why so many people were leaving church. It wasn’t because there was “too much God.” It was there wasn’t enough, and they weren’t getting enough scriptural teaching.


91 posted on 01/24/2016 9:08:18 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: GonzoII
Not only has Trump not disappeared or imploded -- as everyone everywhere predicted he would -- he appears to be getting s

the "everyones" that predicted it are the LSM who thought they could make Trump "disappear or implode" as they've done to countless people countless times before. This time though they couldn't pull it off. They can't pull the wool over the people's eyes any longer. Trump has exposed the man behind the curtain for what he is. The LSM.

92 posted on 01/24/2016 9:12:26 AM PST by uncitizen
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To: 9YearLurker

And until he forced Cruz to come out against amnesty, he was the best.


??? I don’t understand.


93 posted on 01/24/2016 9:14:47 AM PST by KGeorge
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To: GeorgiaDawg32

One of my favorite stories, GeorgiaDawg. Thank you. (The other is I Was Carrying you. I remember it every day.)


94 posted on 01/24/2016 9:21:14 AM PST by KGeorge
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To: Awgie

I wish I shared your faith that he will, in his late 60s, grow up. My faith requires me to recognize that anyone can be changed, at any age, but my discernment in this case is that it hasn’t yet happened.

My guy Cruz committed an unforced error with the “New York Values” remark, but if Trump’s behavior were associated with my values I’d be ashamed.


95 posted on 01/24/2016 11:16:57 AM PST by HoustonSam
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To: KGeorge

Up until, what 5 or 6 weeks ago?, Cruz refused to answer the question as to what he would do with illegals in the country presently.

And, of course, there is video of him previously having said he’d bring them “out of the shadows” and all of that.

Trump’s the guy who pressed the illegal immigration issue in this campaign, but Trump also only advocates touchback amnesty for too many of the 30 million here illegally currently.

Cruz has now come out totally for enforcing the law with illegals and doing what the government should be doing to get them out of here.


96 posted on 01/24/2016 11:46:02 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

Things have become so eff’d up that only a flawed anti-hero can save us.


97 posted on 01/24/2016 11:58:38 AM PST by Company Man (Trump towers.)
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To: 9YearLurker

Right. But do you mean that Trump put Cruz in a position where he had to lie (about this position on immigration)? I don’t see how that can be contrued as somehow Trump’s fault.

Or did you want Cruz to maintain his position on ‘’bringing them out of the shadows’’ & making them legal, but (allegedly, not citizens)?

I don’t get it.
Sorry if that’s being thick. I just don’t understand how the 2 are connected.

ps. Trump has said repeatedly that everybody leaves. THEN, after the wall is built & everything is under control, people can start applying to come back. AND that we will take the best & the brightest.- they will be ‘’expedited’’. But they’re going to have to make their way through the line first (common sense)

A. This is not going to be a fast process.
2. That’s not going to be very many people.

Most of the people fleeing Mexico are very, very poor & uneducated.

I don’t what he is going to do about the Central Americans.


98 posted on 01/24/2016 12:04:50 PM PST by KGeorge
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To: Bulwyf
Ted Cruz has quite the cult of personality going for him too.

I think we are going to see that with most national political figures.

For instance, the cult of personality around Ronald Reagan is such that even today, posting something bad about him here will immediately draw hundreds of impassioned responses.

99 posted on 01/24/2016 12:11:33 PM PST by SamAdams76
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To: KGeorge

grr bad typing

this= his (position on immigration)
contrued= construed


100 posted on 01/24/2016 12:13:22 PM PST by KGeorge
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