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Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
FiveThirtyEight ^ | Jan 18, 2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 01/19/2016 9:51:54 AM PST by fifedom

Contra Rupert Murdoch's assertion about Trump having crossover appeal, Trump is extraordinarily unpopular with independent voters and Democrats. Gallup polling conducted over the past six weeks found Trump with a -27-percentage-point net favorability rating among independent voters, and a -70-point net rating among Democrats; both marks are easily the worst in the GOP field. (Trump also has less-than-spectacular favorable ratings among his fellow Republicans.)

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; natesilver; polls
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To: fifedom

Yet it is Trump that is getting the big numbers in regards to the rallies that other canidates can only dream of. Go figure.


21 posted on 01/19/2016 10:01:42 AM PST by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: fifedom

Nate Silver is the leading agent provocateur of the left. And he is sewing disinformation with every breath.


22 posted on 01/19/2016 10:01:53 AM PST by x_plus_one (Obama say, 'no worries, Islam is peace. But the weather is gonna getcha!')
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To: fifedom

YEAH — RIGHT!!!!

As some of us have commented before, the coming RE-ACTION to the ongoing muslim INVASION of the West could easily push the events in Nazi Germany into the back pages of future history books. Bill Whittle explains WHY TRUMP is EN FUEGO and all of that in this excellent and riveting 9 minute video.
When it starts in the U.S., it will make those activities look like – to borrow a phase – JV squad stuff!


23 posted on 01/19/2016 10:02:20 AM PST by Dick Bachert (This entire "administration" has been a series of Reischstag Fires. We know how that turned out!)
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To: MNJohnnie

what are they going to do when the polls come out in New York that she’s way ahead of everyone, including the democrats?


24 posted on 01/19/2016 10:03:15 AM PST by nikos1121 (December 25, 2016 will be the merriest Christmas of all for me.)
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To: Don Corleone

My question is, if Trump is so unpopular among 70% of the democrats and so detested by the majority of Republicans, why does he draw such huge crowds wherever he goes? Why was the interest in the GOP debates so huge, and practically nonexistent with the democrats. Something does not add up here.


25 posted on 01/19/2016 10:05:54 AM PST by erkelly
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To: fifedom

If a pollster, you are only as good as your last correct prediction.

Right, Mr. Rove?

5.56mm


26 posted on 01/19/2016 10:06:37 AM PST by M Kehoe
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To: fifedom

I can’t help but wonder if these favorable ratings aren’t capturing how the public really feels. There could be a lot of voters who don’t really like Trump but who are planning on voting for him anyway. I don’t think favorable ratings are as big of a deal in this election cycle, but I could be wrong.


27 posted on 01/19/2016 10:07:00 AM PST by No Dems 2016
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To: fifedom

Yeah sure there Nate. Everybody knows that !JEB¡ and Rube are rhe most popular and electable republicrat candidates out there!

With that being said, I expect the GOP to annoint !JEB¡ as the nominee via a brokered convention. It’s their party, and they can nominate who they want to. Us stupid voters really habe no say in the matter.

!JEB¡ or hillary, either way the GOP/DNC machine wins


28 posted on 01/19/2016 10:07:13 AM PST by factoryrat (We are the producers, the creators. Grow it, mine it, build it.)
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To: heights

“...Nate Silver is a Meterosexual, leftist Fanboy...”

Perhaps. Regardless, what’s his track record in the polling/prediction game for political campaigns? I hear he’s been fairly accurate in hindsight...


29 posted on 01/19/2016 10:08:41 AM PST by jaydee770
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To: Dick Bachert

Post video please. I like Whittles vids.


30 posted on 01/19/2016 10:09:20 AM PST by paintriot (Desperado...why don't you come to your senses.)
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To: fifedom

He’s not going after leftists and independents. He’s going after conservative white guys and gals.


31 posted on 01/19/2016 10:09:58 AM PST by DouglasKC (I'm pro-choice when it comes to lion killing....)
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To: fifedom

Now I want to know the same predictions, but with Ted Cruz running..so I can see the comparison


32 posted on 01/19/2016 10:11:06 AM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Don Corleone

Yeh Nate just keep pumpin and dumpin. LOL!


33 posted on 01/19/2016 10:11:18 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: fifedom

Guess that’s why they’re sending out for fresh underwear twice a day at the DNC whenever they look at the internals on how Trump is polling with Blacks, eh, Nate?


34 posted on 01/19/2016 10:11:22 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: fifedom

LOL. Silver is violating one of his main rules here to bash Trump. He says don’t pay attention to fantasy general election match up polls during primary season.


35 posted on 01/19/2016 10:12:23 AM PST by lodi90 (TRUMP Force 1 lifting off)
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To: fifedom

Praise God for Trump...No, praise Trump for Trump. He’s the only one who can beat Hillary. The ONLY one. You’re a blasphemer! Unbeliever. Nate Silver has not given fealty to Trump the Most High (may the light find the cracks around his eyes).


36 posted on 01/19/2016 10:13:00 AM PST by demshateGod (Trump: We will have to leave borders behind and go for global unity)
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To: fifedom

I think he’s unpopular because he said if he were president, he would call the election based on polls. So no one gets to vote. We have a dictator now. Why would we want another one?


37 posted on 01/19/2016 10:13:54 AM PST by progunsantichoice
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To: The Iceman Cometh
Posted several times already,

Tweet the whistle. Throw the flag. The whole world is going to stop because people have seen this before.
38 posted on 01/19/2016 10:14:02 AM PST by righttackle44 (Take scalps. Leave the bodies as a warning.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Yeh Nate just keep pumpin and dumpin. LOL!


No worries. Trump has testimonials from Cuomo and Schumer all ready to roll out for the general. I’ll bet they never thought they’d be starring in GOP ads to beat the Hildabeast. LOL.


39 posted on 01/19/2016 10:14:49 AM PST by lodi90 (TRUMP Force 1 lifting off)
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To: fifedom

This election is like no other that I’ve ever seen. Sense when does a primary candidate draw tens of thousands of cheering people, most primary rallies tend to be rather small affairs, more like those of Bush, Rubio and Cruz.

Because of that, I tend to not give as much credence to those trying to forecast what might be based on methods that are more useful to standard campaigns.


40 posted on 01/19/2016 10:14:51 AM PST by euram
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