Donald Trump Retakes Lead in GOP Race; Ted Cruz Makes Gains: Poll (tied for 2nd place)

NBC News ^ | Nov 20 2015 | Allison Kopicki and John Lapinski

[jpsb]

"Fox News hates Trump.:

The entire corrupt Uniparty Establishment along with the Billionaire donor class hates Trump. Trump is the only real threat to their power. All the rest are owned by the Uniparty, which is why everyday the Uniparty attacks Donald Trump.

[DaxtonBrown]

I’m not disagreeing with your concern. My outlook is shaped by the reality of my dealings trying to expose Harry Reid. The opposition (both em and RINO) play dirty and I am not sure Ted wouldn’t be crushed if not backed up.

[Drew68]

Cruz goes which ever way the political winds blow. go to the 1 minute mark to hear Cruz say we should accept the Syrian refugees.

Yes, I've seen that.

My point was only that it's easy to make a chart showing Cruz as the "most conservative" candidate as long as one conveniently disregards those positions which aren't conservative.

[SeaHawkFan]

As Carson fades, IF he is fading, Cruz is the natural place for his former supporters to go.

Cruz combines the best of both Trump and Carson.

[Georgia Girl 2]

I really like Ted Cruz but his supporters just can’t accept the fact that he has an almost impossible path to the nomination because he is just too conservative for the average republican voter. I’m conservative but I understand that most republicans are middle of the road or slightly right of center. That’s part of Trump’s appeal. He’s not the most conservative candidate but he’s conservative enough. He also has a better chance to win the general election.

[parksstp]

Mr. Levin,

I know you probably don’t get much of a chance to lurk on the boards much anymore, but l feel you need to be notified about the following attacks directed at you and CR since you have been heavily promoting the candidate profiles on your radio show.

Isara has been diligently posting this chart to get the truth out about where each of the candidates stands on the various issues. Almost like clockwork however, supporters of a particular candidate (almost universally Trump) bash him and call the chart “BS” because the truth fails to match up with what they want to be true.

This goes on everytime he posts the chart. They’re too much of a coward to direct criticism of the chart’s information directly to you, so they take it out on him, but I decided to “help” them out and ping you to make you aware.

[Jeff Head]

I have been tracking the averages of the four or five top polls for the GOP Presidential Race fpor the last 12 weeks or so.

At this point the clear front runners are Trump, Carson, Cruz, and Rubio. Fiaroni was in the top group for a few weeks, but she has dropped off steadily. A big recent trend is carson dropping off 3-4 percentage points. Trump is maintaining his lead at just under 30% and Cruz has clibed into 3rd place at 15.5%. HE has been jockying with Rubio for 3rd place, with Rubio now around 10%.

IMHO, they should limit the future debate to the top five contenders and allow the others remaining in the race to have t it in the pre-debat, 2nd tier debate each time.

Here's my numbers from the latest polls:

...and here's my running chart since Septembetr 1st.

[samtheman]

The chart is definitely lying about Trumps stand on 2nd amendment.

Definitely.

Positively.

Absolutely lying.

[for-q-clinton]

I don’t think Trump has a better chance to win the election though. The problem is same as Romney and McCain... Conservatives and Christians evangelicals will sit home.

The way to winning the election is nominate a true conservative because Republicans won’t vote for Hillary and the moderates will have to choose between left and right. In the past it was always the conservative that had to compromise and then Republicans lose.

[Alas Babylon!]

I think you are wrong and here is why: Trump appeals to at least 25% of the Obama 2008 and 2012 voters.

The Brotha ain’t running. Hillary is not going to get the level of support the LIV gave the Magic Negro.

Trump, if he is the nominee, will win next November.

[Isara]

The chart is definitely lying about Trumps stand on 2nd amendment.

"In the past Trump has paid lip service to the Second Amendment. More troubling is that he supported the so-called assault weapons ban and a longer waiting period for gun purchases. However, during the 2015 campaign, Trump has made a major shift on Second Amendment issues. He released a policy paper on the Second Amendment which promises major reforms that gun rights activists have long wanted. Examples include support for national reciprocity for concealed carry permits, the end of weapons and magazine bans, and curtailing of the expansion of a failing background check system. Time will tell if the 180 about face is principled driven or merely political in nature."

- See more at: https://www.conservativereview.com/2016-presidential-candidates/candidates/donald-trump#article-13

[LS]

yes, he was at 28% in a couple, including, I THINK, this one.

[for-q-clinton]

I didn’t say he would win, but I think Cruz will win too and have a better chance to win.

[for-q-clinton]

Meant to say “I didn’t say he would NOT win”

[hawaiianninja]

"But we may need an alpha bull like Trump to clear out the deadwood, so my head tells me it should be Trump/Cruz so we get Ted for 16 years."

I totally agree, and that's what I'm hoping for. Ted for VP this time around, and then another 8 as prez. Trump may have shown liberal tendencies in the past (and present?) but he is a man with a can-do attitude who builds things and puts people to work. Ideally, with Ted influencing him as VP about constitutional matters, and Trump giving Ted "showmanship" pointers, they would make a strong presidential team.

[HamiltonJay]

I don’t buy that for one minute... Maybe in an individual state he got there, but nationally? Someones playing with the sampling or something. I don’t doubt polls published the number, I just doubt the veracity of the data they used to get it.

[LS]

You don’t buy what, that Carson shot up inexplicably in about 3-4 polls, then immediately descended? It’s exactly like what happened with Fiorina, except with a few more poll points. I see Carson under 10 in latest NH poll.

[editor-surveyor]

Cruz was subject to a near complete media blackout, while Trump has been steadily kept afloat by the media.

There is no assassination possible with Cruz, which is part of the reason for the blackout instead of attack.

Cruz has wisely revealed every element of his life in print, thus inoculating himself from any significant attack.

The media will soon run out of mediocre candidates to puff, and at that point the noise level will recede and Cruz’ true numbers will be discernible; presently they are not, and guesswork is worthless.
.

[LS]

Ah, so Cruz can’t get above 10% cause he can’t get media coverage. Ok.

[HamiltonJay]

Yes, I don’t buy. I do believe Fiorina got a slight bump after the 1 debate, and subsequent talking head propping of her up...Carson had nothing, no event, no good performance, no talking heads trying to promote him, no nothing then suddenly he’s doubled his support, nope... Someone was playing with the numbers.

I don’t doubt polls published with a bump, just I don’t believe for one minute there wasn’t some manipulation of the data going on to create it.