I don’t think Trump has a better chance to win the election though. The problem is same as Romney and McCain... Conservatives and Christians evangelicals will sit home.
The way to winning the election is nominate a true conservative because Republicans won’t vote for Hillary and the moderates will have to choose between left and right. In the past it was always the conservative that had to compromise and then Republicans lose.
I think you are wrong and here is why: Trump appeals to at least 25% of the Obama 2008 and 2012 voters.
The Brotha ain’t running. Hillary is not going to get the level of support the LIV gave the Magic Negro.
Trump, if he is the nominee, will win next November.
I think one of biggest myths in this cycle is that the evangelicals don’t like Trump. He has garnered a lot of support especially with the black evangelicals. He had 20 plus black pastors surrounding him at the press conference prior to the Norcross, GA rally and he had about 40 evangelical/Christian pastors and leaders show up at his office in Trump Tower recently to perform a laying on of hands.
In the general election Trump is going to pull from a very broad base including Blacks and Democrats as well and independents. I believe he will beat Hillary Clinton in a landslide.