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Could It Really Be Cruz-Rubio? Let's Look at the Electoral math
PJ Media ^ | 10/15/2015 | Stephen Green

Posted on 10/15/2015 8:52:27 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

A match made in… politics?
(CQ Roll Call via AP Images)

That what Spengler predicts:

Republican voters think the economy is the number one issue but can’t manage a public discussion on economic policy, as I observed Oct. 4 (“Who are you, and what have you done with the Republican Party?“). They flail at hot-button issues, defunding Planned Parenthood, for example, and look for scapegoats such as illegal Mexican immigrants (whose numbers are actually falling). It seems pointless to make predictions of any sort in the midst of the moral equivalent of a riot, but nonetheless I will go out on a limb: the Republicans will nominate Sen. Ted Cruz as president and Sen. Marco Rubio as vice-president, by process of elimination.

This conclusion seems inevitable by process of elimination.

The path in front of Cruz seems daunting, given that he’s stuck in most polls at about 6%, stubbornly refusing to rise even as Trump’s support slips.

But then there’s some electoral math George Will totaled up a few days ago:

Cruz has county chairs organizing in all 172 counties in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. National Review’s Eliana Johnson reports that through the second quarter, Cruz had raised more “hard” dollars than any of his rivals, and super PACs supporting him have raised more than all but those supporting Jeb Bush. Jason Johnson describes the delegate selection process as follows:

Of the 624 delegates at stake on March 1, 231 are from Cruz’s Texas and Georgia, where Cruz inherited Scott Walker’s entire operation. With Oklahoma, whose closed primary will be especially conservative, these three states have 274 delegates, almost a quarter of the number needed to nominate. Eighty-seven of the 155 delegates allocated on March 5 will be from Louisiana and Kansas. On March 15, when winner-take-all primaries begin and 367 delegates will be allocated, Bush and Marco Rubio will compete for Florida’s 99 delegates, while Cruz is well-positioned for North Carolina’s 72 and Missouri’s 52 (Cruz’s campaign manager, Missourian Jeff Roe, has run many campaigns there).

If that seems a little less daunting, maybe it should. And the kicker? Foreshadowing Spengler, Will writes that the winnowing process might well produce “two young, Southern, first-term Cuban-American senators.”

I’m reminded of the youthful, Southern ticket the Democrats put together in 1992.

 



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; marcorubio; tedcruz
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1 posted on 10/15/2015 8:52:27 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

We won’t vote for any ticket with Rubio on it. Rubio is for Amnesty.


2 posted on 10/15/2015 8:54:55 AM PDT by WENDLE (Trump is not bought . He is no puppet.)
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To: SeekAndFind

That would be fantastic.


3 posted on 10/15/2015 8:55:43 AM PDT by MattinNJ (It's over Johnny. The America you knew is gone. Denial serves no purpose.)
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To: SeekAndFind

even as Trump’s support slips


Definition of “slips”:

Going from mid-20s in NH to mid-30s.

That’s quite a “slip”.


4 posted on 10/15/2015 8:55:48 AM PDT by samtheman (2014: Voters elect Repubs to congress... 2015: Repubs defund NOTHING... 2016: Trump/(Cruz or Palin))
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To: WENDLE

I agree. I am 100% in the tank for Cruz. Always have been. But if he enlists Marco as his second, I am going to stay home. This is probably my last Presidential election and I am not going to waste it on expediency.


5 posted on 10/15/2015 8:55:59 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: SeekAndFind
Republican voters think the economy is the number one issue

And in all the polls Republican overwhelmingly trust Trump on the Economy more then any other candidate. His numbers are so strong that even people who say the are for candidates other then Trump tell pollsters they trust Trump more on the economy then anyone else.

Face it GOPe, you lost this one.

6 posted on 10/15/2015 8:56:41 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ("Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered")
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To: SeekAndFind
Republican voters think the economy is the number one issue

And in all the polls Republican overwhelmingly trust Trump on the Economy more then any other candidate. His numbers are so strong that even people who say the are for candidates other then Trump tell pollsters they trust Trump more on the economy then anyone else.

Face it GOPe, you lost this one.

7 posted on 10/15/2015 8:56:41 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ("Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered")
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To: WENDLE

I’d still vote as long as Cruz was top-of-ticket.


8 posted on 10/15/2015 8:56:45 AM PDT by VictoryGal (Never give up, never surrender! REMEMBER NEDA)
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To: WENDLE
We won’t vote for any ticket with Rubio on it. Rubio is for Amnesty.

I'll extend that to include Bush and Kasich.

Rubio=Bush=Kasich=Amnesty

9 posted on 10/15/2015 8:57:25 AM PDT by Rockitz (This is NOT rocket science - Follow the money and you'll find the truth.)
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To: Rockitz

Excellent Ad-on!!


10 posted on 10/15/2015 8:58:18 AM PDT by WENDLE (Trump is not bought . He is no puppet.)
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To: Gaffer

I’m right there with you in that tank for Cruz……..but I’ve heard that the road to hell is paved with good intentions, so I’ll vote for whomever has an R after his name.


11 posted on 10/15/2015 8:59:03 AM PDT by basil ( God bless the USA!)
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To: basil

Not me. I don’t do that anymore.


12 posted on 10/15/2015 8:59:43 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: SeekAndFind

George Will, in “running the math”, neglected to factor into the equation the votes necessary to get those delegates.


13 posted on 10/15/2015 8:59:44 AM PDT by odawg
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To: SeekAndFind

“It’s a natural: with two Hispanics on the ticket, the Republicans have a better chance of capturing Latino votes.”

But what about capturing the votes of non-Latino voters? I suppose the RINOs (e) think we will still vote Republican no matter what POS they prop up. They are in for a surprise.


14 posted on 10/15/2015 9:03:36 AM PDT by odawg
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To: SeekAndFind

Cruz - Carson.


15 posted on 10/15/2015 9:03:54 AM PDT by beethovenfan (Islam is a cancer on civilization.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Frankly, I could live with Cruz/Rubio provided Cruz was the presidential nominee.


16 posted on 10/15/2015 9:06:01 AM PDT by Calpublican (Republican Party Now Stands for Nothing!!!!!(Except Conniving))
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To: Gaffer

Me either. Cruz all the way, but Rubio can GTH.


17 posted on 10/15/2015 9:07:17 AM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I will not vote for any ticket with Rubio on it.


18 posted on 10/15/2015 9:08:34 AM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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To: samtheman
People make me laugh....

Trump has lead in every poll since he has announced in June...and his support slips....

The supporters of Trump are large in number for several reasons:

One he's not ‘bought and paid for’ like the other candidates that are running, he's on his own, he says it like it is, which is refreshing to us, and he talks like he's known us all his life, we love that...

He has two plans out, he has spent 2 million dollars of his own money, where for instance, Jeb spent 4.million dollars on ONE ad in NH and got nothing...

And if it wasn't for Trump, immigration wouldn't even be talked about...and all the other candidates can do is ask for campaign money and super pacs...and what have they said they will do? Where are their plans? And a book coming out this next month on how bad America really is...and I understand Ben Carson followes Trumps lead in writing about America....notice I said ‘follows’.....

19 posted on 10/15/2015 9:08:50 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 (I have such happy days, and hope you do too!!!)
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To: tumblindice
Cruz SI Rubio No No No way
20 posted on 10/15/2015 9:10:17 AM PDT by Zenjitsuman (A)
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