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Polls: Trump Still Leads in IA and NH, But Loses Ground
NBC/WSJ ^ | 10/4/15 | Carrie Dann

Posted on 10/04/2015 7:52:53 AM PDT by BigEdLB

Donald Trump remains ahead in the early Republican nominating contests of Iowa and New Hampshire, but his lead has shrunk from a month ago, according to brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of these two states.

(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: New Hampshire; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; carriedann; clinton; demagogicparty; election2016; fiorina; iowa; memebuilding; nbc; newhampshire; newyork; ntsa; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; sanders; trump; wallstreetjournal; wsj
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To: NKP_Vet

Don’t be too sure!! Fox News Channel is swinging back, in Trump’s favor...at least from a fair & objective viewpoint. The last couple of Megyn programs have been more tempered in “The Donald’s” favor!!

Roger Ailes (FNC) needs to dump Brit Hume, Bret Baier, Karl Rove, Geraldo Riveria, Charles Krauthammer, George Will, Megyn Kelly, and a few more low life Obamabot vermin!!!


21 posted on 10/04/2015 9:04:14 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party!!!)
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To: BigEdLB

,,,,, the source of the poll tells me all I need to know .


22 posted on 10/04/2015 9:05:04 AM PDT by Lionheartusa1 ()-: ISIS is Islam without the lipstick :-()
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To: BigEdLB

Margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 percent.

That means they’ve got an error range of nine percent, right?

Which means the poll is statistically irrelevant.

Trump is down 7 percent? That whole shift could be chalked up the the margin of error!


23 posted on 10/04/2015 9:08:25 AM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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To: BigEdLB

Here is what I don’t understand. A bunch of polls come out showing Trump building up a big lead, and all of the Trumpkins crow about how accurate these polls are, and how inevitable Trump’s nomination is.

Then, a bunch more polls come out, from the same organizations the Trumpkins were praising before, but since they show Trump’s percentage dropping and his lead narrowing, now they are just hacks trying to get Trump to drop out. Instead, the Trumpkins are touting Internet and robo-calling polls as showing the REAL state of the race.

Look, the polling since the second debate has consistently shown Trump losing some ground. He still leads, but others have narrowed his lead, and he has lost some support. That says nothing about the eventual outcome, but it is the state of the race at this point in time. That’s what EVERYONE needs to remember - polls only show where things stand at that point - it provides no insight into what will happen in the months to come.

If you are going to tout polling to support your candidate when it looks good, then expect others to point out the polling when it shows your candidate losing ground. Live by the poll, die by the poll...


24 posted on 10/04/2015 9:14:40 AM PDT by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

“Roger Ailes (FNC) needs to dump Brit Hume, Bret Baier, Karl Rove, Geraldo Riveria, Charles Krauthammer, George Will, Megyn Kelly, and a few more low life Obamabot vermin”.

Add homosexual leftist, Obama apologist Sheppie Smith to the list.


25 posted on 10/04/2015 9:17:19 AM PDT by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: BigEdLB
"For the first time in years I actually bought a People Magazine."

The Mrs subscribes, it'll expose Trump to a whole bunch of just the crowd he needs.

26 posted on 10/04/2015 9:19:21 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: NKP_Vet

I refer you all to my graphic posted on the thread, Carson Leads Trump In Poll


27 posted on 10/04/2015 9:36:33 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: ncalburt

Actually the real random sample polls found in Real Clear Politics all call Cell phones. The two poll most cited by the Trump supporters, Reuter (an internet poll) and OAN (a poll that uses IRV or robocalling and thus cannot by law call cellphones) don’t use cellphone data.


28 posted on 10/04/2015 10:10:44 AM PDT by glabbe
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Aye Carumba, No Esta Mierda Otra Vez!

29 posted on 10/04/2015 11:25:41 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (What do we want? REGIME CHANGE! When do we want it? NOW)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

30 posted on 10/04/2015 11:26:11 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (What do we want? REGIME CHANGE! When do we want it? NOW)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

The only people I find who are not supporting Trump are people who are currently holding, or have held public office. They’ve been co-opted by the “establishment” to think that somehow the Founding Fathers “envisioned career politicians,” which could not be further from the truth!
I remember back to my days as a County Central Committee Member, just exactly who the other turds were and the reason I resigned right after being re-elected to a third two-year term. The only think they were semi successful at doing was putting on the Annual GOP County Barbecue.


31 posted on 10/04/2015 11:31:26 AM PDT by vette6387
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To: GailA

I am squarely in the middle of middle class wage range, and I will benefit a lot from Trump tax plan.

GO DONALD TRUMP!


32 posted on 10/04/2015 11:32:27 AM PDT by entropy12 (When you vote for a candidate, you are actually voting for his rich donors! Trump has no rich donors)
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To: Logical me

“NBC? What in the hell does one intelligent person expect. Real BS.”

The “real BS” is over at SeeBS! NBC still stands for Nothing But Clinton!


33 posted on 10/04/2015 11:33:17 AM PDT by vette6387
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To: ExTexasRedhead
I talk politics everywhere I go and almost everyone I talk to is voting for Trump.

I remember those same kinds of discussions about George Wallace, Barry Goldwater and Ross Perot.

34 posted on 10/04/2015 1:11:01 PM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: NKP_Vet
She’ll blab on about it through the second commercial break with Krauthammer, Will and Rove saying Trump is finished.

I will know what Megan and the Kraut say only if someone posts it here, I am FOX free.

35 posted on 10/04/2015 1:13:03 PM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: GailA
I want facts and stats to base my decision on.

You have plenty of facts to go on. Trump is not one of the ones that have provided all those disgusting facts that you so desire.

36 posted on 10/04/2015 1:15:12 PM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: CA Conservative
Live by the poll, die by the poll...

Which one of your "Others" is breaking single digits?

37 posted on 10/04/2015 1:17:32 PM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: entropy12

And we sit in the Fixed income range. We make to much with 2 SS checks since I am 67 and he is 75, Retired SCPO. Which puts him over the VA cap of $38K.

With out his income I’d be down to $13 hundred per month SS.

We are two widowers who remarried. So I don’t qualify for any thing under his Navy pension. I will retain the health care part which is as gutted and rationed care as Medicare is.

More important I want my Country back. The Constitution working as it was designed to do. I want the terrorist destroyed on their soil not ours. I want the VA issues fixed for our Troops. Question is between Trump or Cruz who will do it. I don’t want any more Collin Powell liberal idiots.


38 posted on 10/05/2015 8:23:07 AM PDT by GailA (Those who break Promises to Our Troops, you won't keep them to anyone. Ret. SCPO's wife)
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To: itsahoot

What is so disgusting in wanting to know how a candidate for President votes when they serve in either Chamber?

Reliable Google sources tells me Trump has a history of giving the most contributions to demoRats, has changed parties 5 times, and that his tax plan is loved by Shillary’s likely voters. I think things of that nature are important to know about. I could careless about small petty stuff they did in grade school. It tells me how conservative they are to the best extent possible, hopefully enough to weed out the RINOS. It’s how we learned Rubio WAS pro amnesty, a very important Factor in this election.


39 posted on 10/05/2015 8:13:56 PM PDT by GailA (Those who break Promises to Our Troops, you won't keep them to anyone. Ret. SCPO's wife)
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To: GailA
What is so disgusting in wanting to know how a candidate for President votes when they serve in either Chamber?

Name on GOP that did not run on killing ObamaCare or Executive Amnesty? Promises mean little in that world unless of course the promise is cash.

40 posted on 10/05/2015 10:40:14 PM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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